MINIQC

Other 67% +$67 $2,405 vol · 12 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	63¢	63¢	$-14	loss
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	No	92¢	96¢	$-20	loss
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	65¢	56¢	$-10	loss
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	72¢	73¢	+$2	win
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	68¢	86¢	+$18	win
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	Yes	82¢	100¢	+$22	win
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	No	96¢	97¢	+$2	win
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	83¢	37¢	$-12	loss
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	92¢	94¢	+$12	win
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	No	89¢	97¢	+$8	win

Weather 67% +$24 $141 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?	Yes	48¢	100¢	+$26	win
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 11?	No	70¢	0¢	$-7	loss
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?	No	93¢	100¢	+$5	win

Politics 100% +$19 $569 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	91¢	92¢	+$3	win
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?	No	92¢	100¢	+$5	win
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?	No	90¢	100¢	+$11	win

Crypto 100% +$2 $106 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 6-12?	No	97¢	100¢	+$2	win

Finance 0% $-6 $450 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	90¢	90¢	$-6	loss

Geopolitics 75% $-12 $1,932 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	76¢	100¢	+$72	win
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	91¢	91¢	+$2	win
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	72¢	74¢	+$5	win
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	72¢	78¢	+$34	win
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	84¢	33¢	$-45	loss
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?	No	85¢	56¢	$-88	loss
US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?	Yes	91¢	100¢	+$8	win
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?	No	97¢	100¢	+$1	win

Tech 0% $-63 $101 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	48¢	14¢	$-63	loss

Sports 18% $-234 $446 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	11¢	11¢	$-1	loss
Warriors vs. Clippers	Clippers	65¢	0¢	+$14	win
Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 218.5	Under	54¢	0¢	$-30	loss
Magic vs. 76ers	Magic	43¢	0¢	$-48	loss
Capitals vs. Blue Jackets	Blue Jackets	73¢	0¢	$-36	loss
Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?	Yes	56¢	0¢	$-61	loss
Timberwolves vs. Rockets	Rockets	83¢	0¢	$-34	loss
Pistons vs. Hornets	Hornets	60¢	0¢	$-22	loss