Win rate
54.0%
20 W / 17 L
Total PnL
$4,836
realized $877 · unrealized $3,959
Portfolio
$3,959
volume $104,253
Predictions
36
1.0/day · avg $2,896
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 14/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Other 64% +$1,736
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | 8¢ | 5¢ | $-27 | loss |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? | No | 49¢ | 71¢ | +$240 | win |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 62¢ | 57¢ | +$75 | win |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | Yes | 77¢ | 85¢ | +$22 | win |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 41¢ | 42¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30? | Yes | 23¢ | 8¢ | $-39 | loss |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | No | 51¢ | 49¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | No | 45¢ | 100¢ | +$121 | win |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $17 million? | No | 55¢ | 100¢ | +$801 | win |
Geopolitics 55% +$594
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | No | 35¢ | 0¢ | +$1,125 | win |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 44¢ | 76¢ | +$144 | win |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | Yes | 70¢ | 100¢ | $-243 | loss |
| Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 35¢ | 100¢ | +$86 | win |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 42¢ | 49¢ | $-42 | loss |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | No | 56¢ | 6¢ | +$18 | win |
| Iran leadership change by April 30? | Yes | 43¢ | 3¢ | $-23 | loss |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | No | 44¢ | 0¢ | $-1,818 | loss |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | No | 58¢ | 65¢ | +$30 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Yes | 5¢ | 100¢ | $-15 | loss |
Esports 100% +$220
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2 | Astralis | 34¢ | 100¢ | +$194 | win |
| Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO3) | FURIA Esports | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | win |
Crypto 0% $-39
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? | Yes | 61¢ | 56¢ | $-39 | loss |
Politics 0% $-71
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? | Yes | 27¢ | 21¢ | $-39 | loss |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? | Yes | 45¢ | 45¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | No | 71¢ | 100¢ | $-32 | loss |
Recent Trades (37)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | 21.0¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | $50 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Yes | 5.2¢ | 100¢ | $-15 | $51 | 07/04/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | Yes | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1,396 | $6,601 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | No | 45.5¢ | 100¢ | +$121 | $200 | 31/03/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? | No | 69.9¢ | 100¢ | +$90 | $250 | 31/03/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | No | 71.0¢ | 100¢ | $-32 | $200 | 31/03/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2 | Astralis | 34.0¢ | 100¢ | +$194 | $100 | 06/03/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 46.3¢ | 0¢ | $-514 | $3,037 | 28/02/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | No | 74.0¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $529 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | No | 85.0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 31/01/2026 |
| Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO3) | FURIA Esports | 49.6¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $25 | 17/01/2026 |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $17 million? | No | 54.7¢ | 100¢ | +$801 | $1,038 | 01/01/1970 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | Yes | 30.9¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | $99 | 01/01/1970 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | No | 58.1¢ | 65¢ | +$30 | $250 | 22/04/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | No | 43.8¢ | 0¢ | $-1,818 | $3,918 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? | Yes | 45.1¢ | 45¢ | $-1 | $100 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | No | 51.2¢ | 49¢ | $-4 | $100 | 30/04/2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 52.3¢ | 54¢ | +$78 | $345 | 30/04/2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 62.2¢ | 57¢ | +$75 | $292 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | Yes | 76.8¢ | 85¢ | +$22 | $500 | 30/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | No | 56.0¢ | 6¢ | +$18 | $200 | 30/04/2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 41.0¢ | 42¢ | $-20 | $100 | 30/04/2026 |
| Iran leadership change by April 30? | Yes | 43.0¢ | 3¢ | $-23 | $100 | 30/04/2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30? | Yes | 23.0¢ | 8¢ | $-39 | $100 | 30/04/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 42.3¢ | 49¢ | $-42 | $606 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? | Yes | 60.8¢ | 56¢ | $-39 | $437 | 01/05/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 15? | Yes | 45.0¢ | 100¢ | +$167 | $150 | 15/05/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 58.0¢ | 66¢ | +$117 | $800 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? | No | 53.7¢ | 82¢ | +$489 | $929 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? | No | 49.2¢ | 71¢ | +$240 | $539 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? | Yes | 26.5¢ | 21¢ | $-39 | $170 | 30/06/2026 |
| Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026? | Yes | 60.5¢ | 100¢ | +$172 | $467 | 30/06/2026 |
| Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 34.9¢ | 100¢ | +$86 | $50 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | 7.6¢ | 5¢ | $-27 | $100 | 31/10/2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | No | 35.0¢ | 0¢ | +$1,125 | $2,373 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 44.0¢ | 76¢ | +$144 | $200 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | Yes | 70.2¢ | 100¢ | $-243 | $2,617 | 31/12/2026 |