Win rate
44.4%
24 W / 30 L
Total PnL
$458
realized $-429 · unrealized $887
Portfolio
$887
volume $143,225
Predictions
180
1.3/day · avg $796
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 08/02/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Sports 61% +$857
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 35¢ | 46¢ | +$139 | win |
| UFC Fight Night: John Castaneda vs. Mark Vologdin (Bantamweight, Prelims) | John Castaneda | 56¢ | 50¢ | $-13 | loss |
| UFC Fight Night: Michael Chiesa vs. Niko Price (Welterweight, Main Card) | Niko Price | 11¢ | 0¢ | $-55 | loss |
| UFC Fight Night: Felipe Bunes vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Main Card) | Cháirez | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$71 | win |
| UFC Fight Night: Brandon Moreno vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card) | Moreno | 64¢ | 0¢ | $-141 | loss |
| Will the fight be won by KO or TKO? | Yes | 10¢ | 100¢ | +$191 | win |
| Will the announcers say "Dana White" during Strickland vs. Hernandez? | Yes | 60¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
| Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? | Yes | 21¢ | 100¢ | +$107 | win |
| Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be orange? | Yes | 12¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | loss |
Geopolitics 0% $-28
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? | Yes | 19¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | loss |
Politics 33% $-43
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 15¢ | 16¢ | +$13 | win |
| Trump out as President by March 31? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Trump out as President in 2025? | Yes | 8¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | loss |
Other 21% $-365
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gwendolyn Beck be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein in 2026? | Yes | 47¢ | 12¢ | $-17 | loss |
| Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 11¢ | 0¢ | $-76 | loss |
| Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-42 | loss |
| Will Brooks Koepka finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational? | Yes | 16¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Will Robert MacIntyre finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational? | Yes | 47¢ | 0¢ | $-42 | loss |
| Will Sam Burns finish as leader after Round 1? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31? | Yes | 24¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | loss |
| Will the 2026 State of the Union address be between 80 and 90 minutes long? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Dallas Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Reilly Opelka | Opelka | 51¢ | 50¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Reyes vs. Torres | Torres | 32¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 5.2¢ | 0¢ | $-42 | $49 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Brooks Koepka finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational? | Yes | 16.0¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $22 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Robert MacIntyre finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational? | Yes | 47.0¢ | 0¢ | $-42 | $42 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Sam Burns finish as leader after Round 1? | Yes | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $39 | 03/04/2026 |
| Trump out as President by March 31? | Yes | 2.7¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $22 | 31/03/2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31? | Yes | 24.3¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | $29 | 31/03/2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Michael Chiesa vs. Niko Price (Welterweight, Main Card) | Niko Price | 11.0¢ | 0¢ | $-55 | $55 | 29/03/2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Felipe Bunes vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Main Card) | Cháirez | 70.4¢ | 100¢ | +$71 | $169 | 01/03/2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Brandon Moreno vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card) | Moreno | 64.0¢ | 0¢ | $-141 | $141 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will the 2026 State of the Union address be less than 60 minutes long? | Yes | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | $-8 | $27 | 24/02/2026 |
| Will the 2026 State of the Union address be between 60 and 70 minutes long? | Yes | 0.6¢ | 0¢ | +$12 | $26 | 24/02/2026 |
| Will the 2026 State of the Union address be between 70 and 80 minutes long? | Yes | 1.9¢ | 0¢ | $-7 | $21 | 24/02/2026 |
| Will the 2026 State of the Union address be between 80 and 90 minutes long? | Yes | 5.9¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | $21 | 24/02/2026 |
| Will the fight be won by KO or TKO? | Yes | 10.2¢ | 100¢ | +$191 | $22 | 22/02/2026 |
| Will the announcers say "Dana White" during Strickland vs. Hernandez? | Yes | 60.0¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $28 | 21/02/2026 |
| Dallas Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Reilly Opelka | Opelka | 51.0¢ | 50¢ | $-2 | $102 | 16/02/2026 |
| Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? | Yes | 20.8¢ | 100¢ | +$107 | $28 | 09/02/2026 |
| No Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX? | Yes | 0.6¢ | 0¢ | +$91 | $98 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be clear/water? | Yes | 2.3¢ | 0¢ | +$204 | $327 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be purple? | Yes | 2.2¢ | 0¢ | +$61 | $39 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be red/pink? | Yes | 0.9¢ | 0¢ | +$104 | $25 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be blue? | Yes | 5.3¢ | 0¢ | +$179 | $141 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be green/yellow? | No | 52.0¢ | 0¢ | $-52 | $52 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be orange? | Yes | 12.2¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | $27 | 08/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? | Yes | 19.0¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | $28 | 31/01/2026 |
| Trump out as President in 2025? | Yes | 7.8¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | $34 | 31/12/2025 |
| UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Royval (Flyweight, Main Card) | Royval | 31.0¢ | 0¢ | $-115 | $115 | 14/12/2025 |
| UFC 323: Dawson vs. Torres (Lightweight, Prelims) | Torres | 30.0¢ | 100¢ | +$175 | $75 | 07/12/2025 |
| Reyes vs. Torres | Torres | 32.0¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | $28 | 01/10/2025 |
| Franco vs. Vidal | Franco | 30.9¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 11/09/2025 |
| UFC 317: Price vs. Smith | Price | 7.6¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $21 | 29/06/2025 |
| UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira | Oliveira | 21.1¢ | 0¢ | $-68 | $68 | 29/06/2025 |
| UFC Fight Night: Shahbazyan vs. Petroski | Shahbazyan | 60.0¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | $60 | 15/06/2025 |
| Williams vs. Gustafsson | Gustafsson | 35.0¢ | 100¢ | +$91 | $49 | 08/06/2025 |
| Gastelum vs. Pyfer | Gastelum | 26.0¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | $38 | 08/06/2025 |
| da Silva vs. Cong | da Silva | 20.9¢ | 0¢ | $-190 | $278 | 08/06/2025 |
| Blanchfield vs. Barber | Barber | 32.0¢ | 50¢ | +$82 | $173 | 01/06/2025 |
| Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2025? | Yes | 0.7¢ | 0¢ | +$8 | $51 | 17/05/2025 |
| Will Belgium finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10? | No | 62.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $138 | 17/05/2025 |
| Will Spain finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10? | Yes | 7.7¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | $30 | 17/05/2025 |
| Will Czechia win Eurovision 2025? | Yes | 2.4¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | $36 | 17/05/2025 |
| Dan Ige vs. Sean Woodson | Ige | 38.0¢ | 100¢ | +$155 | $95 | 12/04/2025 |
| McKee vs. Frunza | McKee | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$47 | $43 | 06/04/2025 |
| Goldman Sachs lays off 1000+ in March? | Yes | 12.1¢ | 0¢ | $-17 | $26 | 31/03/2025 |
| 500+ Measles cases in U.S. before April? | Yes | 22.8¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 31/03/2025 |
| Morales vs. Smith | Smith | 49.4¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $25 | 15/02/2025 |
| Avila vs. Cavalcanti | Cavalcanti | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $99 | 15/02/2025 |
| Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be green/yellow? | No | 41.4¢ | 0¢ | $-203 | $203 | 09/02/2025 |
| UFC Fight Night: John Castaneda vs. Mark Vologdin (Bantamweight, Prelims) | John Castaneda | 56.0¢ | 50¢ | $-13 | $112 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 10.7¢ | 0¢ | $-76 | $96 | 31/05/2026 |