Konium

Elections 100% +$106 $30 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?	Yes	22¢	100¢	+$106	win

Tech 100% +$20 $385 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 2 above $160?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $170 end of February?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $185 on February 25?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$2	win

Weather 0% $-4 $26 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	Yes	42¢	36¢	$-4	loss

Sports 50% $-9 $79 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	11¢	9¢	$-10	loss
Celtics vs. Suns	Celtics	97¢	100¢	+$1	win

Politics 58% $-10 $1,252 vol · 13 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	27¢	0¢	$-34	loss
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	No	97¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	No	90¢	0¢	$-36	loss
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?	No	95¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by January 31?	No	89¢	100¢	+$18	win
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$1	win
Biden drops out of presidential race?	Yes	38¢	100¢	+$82	win
Will Donald Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his Pennsylvania rally?	Yes	5¢	0¢	$-28	loss

Economy 20% $-59 $254 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	19¢	0¢	$-22	loss
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?	Yes	74¢	0¢	$-50	loss
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2024 meeting?	Yes	6¢	0¢	$-42	loss
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2024 meeting?	Yes	4¢	0¢	$-88	loss

Finance 71% $-68 $2,465 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 6?	Down	98¢	100¢	+$3	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 4?	Up	100¢	100¢	+$4	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 26?	Down	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 28?	Up	86¢	0¢	$-96	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 23?	Up	38¢	100¢	+$16	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 22?	Up	99¢	100¢	$-4	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 21?	Up	80¢	100¢	+$8	win

Geopolitics 60% $-135 $2,050 vol · 21 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	55¢	100¢	+$22	win
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	No	82¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	36¢	12¢	$-22	loss
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	73¢	96¢	+$18	win
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?	No	80¢	100¢	+$4	win
Houthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026?	No	88¢	100¢	+$4	win
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?	No	97¢	100¢	+$3	win
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	Yes	98¢	100¢	$-24	loss
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	No	84¢	0¢	$-101	loss
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?	Yes	26¢	0¢	$-38	loss

Other 50% $-413 $1,723 vol · 16 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?	Yes	14¢	0¢	+$30	win
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	15¢	18¢	+$67	win
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	91¢	82¢	$-108	loss
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	52¢	52¢	$-3	loss
Will the State of the Union be 80 minutes or longer?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$1	win
Odds of Khamenei out by February over 50% in January?	No	94¢	100¢	+$5	win
US government shutdown Saturday?	Yes	20¢	100¢	+$14	win
Will Silver (SI) settle over $80 on the final trading day of January 2026?	Yes	96¢	0¢	$-8	loss
Wright State Raiders vs. Detroit Titans	Wright State Raiders	92¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?	Yes	46¢	0¢	$-40	loss

Crypto 71% $-1,313 $54,057 vol · 404 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	58¢	74¢	+$6	win
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	63¢	86¢	+$18	win
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	No	52¢	51¢	$-2	loss
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	Gold	89¢	100¢	+$52	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	32¢	0¢	+$12	win
XRP Up or Down - April 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	72¢	100¢	$-7	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	87¢	100¢	$-15	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	65¢	0¢	$-52	loss
XRP Up or Down - March 24, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
XRP Up or Down - March 24, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	98¢	100¢	+$1	win

Mentions 39% $-10,078 $167,700 vol · 618 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?	No	85¢	88¢	+$1	win
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?	No	88¢	94¢	+$3	win
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?	No	94¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?	Yes	24¢	14¢	$-11	loss
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?	Yes	3¢	0¢	+$235	win
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	$-49	loss
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?	Yes	10¢	0¢	$-78	loss
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?	No	98¢	100¢	$-95	loss
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-120	loss
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	$-249	loss