1walrus

Other 69% +$10,072 $167,108 vol · 285 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Over $200K committed to the Foresee public sale?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$17	win
Over $15M committed to the Trove public sale?	No	61¢	100¢	+$7	win
Over $1M committed to the Foresee public sale?	No	90¢	100¢	$-3	loss
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?	No	68¢	42¢	$-35	loss
Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$217	win
Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$86	win
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?	Yes	25¢	57¢	+$2	win
Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$12	win
Will the US strike 3 countries in 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	95¢	96¢	$-5	loss

Geopolitics 74% +$3,342 $196,138 vol · 140 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the US strike Iran next?	No	98¢	100¢	+$333	win
Will the US strike Iran next?	No	95¢	100¢	+$33	win
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	12¢	11¢	$-4	loss
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	85¢	100¢	+$44	win
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	37¢	8¢	+$3	win
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$2	win
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	62¢	100¢	$-14	loss

Politics 79% +$2,210 $36,192 vol · 73 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	97¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	Yes	82¢	100¢	$-5	loss
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Joe Biden by April 30, 2026?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	59¢	70¢	+$6	win
Will Trump post "Banned" this week on Truth Social?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$12	win
Will Trump post "Stupid" this week on Truth Social?	No	51¢	49¢	$-2	loss
Will Trump dance during TPUSA event on April 17?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$22	win
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 13, 2026?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will Trump post "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" on Truth Social this week?	Yes	48¢	100¢	+$321	win
Will Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this week?	No	50¢	100¢	+$41	win

Mentions 100% +$283 $4,750 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Khamenei tweet again by March 5?	No	93¢	100¢	+$180	win
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 11, 2026?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$50	win

Tech 79% +$172 $3,908 vol · 14 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 8?	Yes	50¢	100¢	+$12	win
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$19	win
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?	No	25¢	0¢	$-18	loss
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 28?	Yes	65¢	100¢	+$25	win
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	Yes	29¢	0¢	$-23	loss
Will Roblox say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during earnings call?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Amazon say "Trainium" during earnings call?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Jensen Huang say "Grok" during NVIDIA keynote?	Yes	29¢	100¢	+$88	win
Will Jensen Huang say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during NVIDIA keynote?	No	98¢	100¢	+$45	win

Esports 100% +$142 $1,948 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Sketch & Ryley Bart win Jynxzi's Rocket League tournament?	No	93¢	100¢	+$63	win

Economy 100% +$83 $424 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be ≥2.7%?	Yes	77¢	100¢	+$61	win
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Germany GDP growth in Q4 2025 be above 0.4%?	Yes	89¢	100¢	+$20	win

Culture 73% +$68 $1,088 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Daniel Radcliffe say "Grammy" or "Tony" on Hot Ones?	No	92¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Bad Bunny perform at the 2026 Grammy Awards?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will Cirkut win 2 Grammys?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	1¢	0¢	+$74	win
Will Zootopia 2 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?	No	92¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?	Yes	9¢	0¢	$-63	loss
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Second Weekend Box Office be between 62m and 67m?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?	Yes	23¢	0¢	$-70	loss
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?	No	48¢	0¢	+$27	win

Sports 71% +$25 $3,772 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Clavicular be unbanned from Kick by March 31?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$132	win
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 226.5	Over	48¢	100¢	$-221	loss
Will the announcers say "Holloway" or "Oliveira" 15+ times during Holloway vs. Oliveira 2?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?	Yes	85¢	100¢	+$87	win
Will Rauw Alejandro perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?	No	77¢	100¢	+$5	win
Clavicular unbanned from Kick by January 31?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$39	win
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during January press conference?	Yes	83¢	0¢	$-25	loss

Crypto 56% +$18 $2,426 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$60k	98¢	100¢	+$42	win
Blast Open Rotterdam 2026: Will a player break something during a game?	No	82¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Blast Open Rotterdam 2026: Will a player break something during a game?	Yes	50¢	0¢	$-43	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	90¢	100¢	+$6	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	88¢	100¢	+$6	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	74¢	0¢	$-78	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	86¢	100¢	+$17	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	49¢	0¢	$-24	loss
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?	Yes	13¢	100¢	+$94	win

Elections 75% $-11 $57,135 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	50¢	81¢	+$0	—
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	50¢	19¢	+$0	—
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	28¢	29¢	+$1	win
Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?	No	8¢	0¢	$-29	loss
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	No	94¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?	Yes	48¢	100¢	+$17	win

Weather 71% $-32 $5,935 vol · 15 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Yes	75¢	80¢	+$2	win
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 31, 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Spread: Miami Hurricanes (-1.5)	Miami Hurricanes	52¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanes	Missouri Tigers	45¢	0¢	+$0	—
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in January 2026?	No	68¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 18?	No	98¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?	Yes	36¢	100¢	+$28	win
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?	No	98¢	0¢	$-33	loss
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 4?	No	100¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Finance 67% $-1,193 $3,221 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	No	46¢	54¢	+$19	win
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	33¢	52¢	+$4	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 19?	Up	60¢	0¢	$-38	loss
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	49¢	0¢	$-165	loss
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?	No	78¢	0¢	$-1,030	loss
Will Roblox say "Language" during earnings call?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$1	win