Win rate
54.5%
30 W / 25 L
Total PnL
$-669
realized $-1,296 · unrealized $627
Portfolio
$627
volume $19,904
Predictions
316
10.8/day · avg $63
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 14/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Sports 47% +$95
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Yes | 14¢ | 14¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 89¢ | 86¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the Washington Wizards have the worst record in the NBA? | No | 15¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Oilers vs. Utah | Oilers | 44¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | loss |
| Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 227.5 | Over | 55¢ | 100¢ | +$53 | win |
| Spread: Thunder (-9.5) | Thunder | 49¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
| Spread: Raptors (-14.5) | Kings | 55¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | win |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) | Pistons | 35¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | win |
| Suns vs. Hornets: O/U 221.5 | Over | 52¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | win |
| Ducks vs. Sharks | Sharks | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | win |
Geopolitics 100% +$7
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 13? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 31? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Elections 0% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Revival (Vazrazhdane) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
Mentions 83% $-14
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 95¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
Crypto 0% $-23
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3PM ET | Down | 7¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | loss |
Weather 67% $-31
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in March 2026? | No | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on March 29? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Other 53% $-110
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | Yes | 82¢ | 94¢ | +$24 | win |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)? | Yes | 75¢ | 90¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Sporting Kansas City win on 2026-04-17? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Mexico City: Nicolas Mejia vs Vladyslav Orlov | Nicolas Mejia | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Denis Shapovalov vs Alexander Blockx | Alexander Blockx | 36¢ | 100¢ | +$110 | win |
| Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Campinas: Nicolas Alvarez Varona vs Lucio Ratti | Nicolas Alvarez Varona | 24¢ | 0¢ | $-58 | loss |
| Miyazaki: Blake Ellis vs Maximus Jones | Blake Ellis | 38¢ | 100¢ | +$87 | win |
| Menorca: Fabrizio Andaloro vs Andrew Paulson | Fabrizio Andaloro | 31¢ | 0¢ | $-63 | loss |
| Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-09? | No | 44¢ | 0¢ | $-41 | loss |
Tech 33% $-213
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? | No | 72¢ | 69¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)? | No | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31? | No | 9¢ | 0¢ | $-212 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | No | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $25 | 15/04/2026 |
| Mexico City: Nicolas Mejia vs Vladyslav Orlov | Nicolas Mejia | 78.2¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $29 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 95.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 14/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Denis Shapovalov vs Alexander Blockx | Alexander Blockx | 35.5¢ | 100¢ | +$110 | $61 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 94.8¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $75 | 13/04/2026 |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 13? | Yes | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $36 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3PM ET | Down | 6.9¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | $24 | 13/04/2026 |
| Campinas: Nicolas Alvarez Varona vs Lucio Ratti | Nicolas Alvarez Varona | 24.1¢ | 0¢ | $-58 | $59 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the Washington Wizards have the worst record in the NBA? | No | 15.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026? | No | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $26 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in March 2026? | No | 9.8¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | $36 | 10/04/2026 |
| Miyazaki: Blake Ellis vs Maximus Jones | Blake Ellis | 37.7¢ | 100¢ | +$87 | $52 | 09/04/2026 |
| Menorca: Fabrizio Andaloro vs Andrew Paulson | Fabrizio Andaloro | 31.0¢ | 0¢ | $-63 | $63 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-09? | No | 44.0¢ | 0¢ | $-41 | $42 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-04-07? | No | 38.3¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $41 | 08/04/2026 |
| Oilers vs. Utah | Oilers | 44.0¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | $39 | 08/04/2026 |
| Barletta: Remy Bertola vs Tom Gentzsch | Remy Bertola | 51.4¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | $45 | 06/04/2026 |
| Menorca: Sandro Kopp vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez | Sandro Kopp | 53.4¢ | 0¢ | $-45 | $45 | 06/04/2026 |
| Derby County FC vs. Stoke City FC: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 30.9¢ | 0¢ | $-83 | $83 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2026-04-06? | Yes | 35.1¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | $36 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-04-06? | Yes | 33.3¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | $33 | 06/04/2026 |
| Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 227.5 | Over | 55.0¢ | 100¢ | +$53 | $65 | 03/04/2026 |
| Spread: Thunder (-9.5) | Thunder | 49.2¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $24 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 85.5¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $22 | 03/04/2026 |
| Spread: Raptors (-13.5) | Kings | 51.1¢ | 100¢ | +$78 | $82 | 02/04/2026 |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) | Pistons | 35.3¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | $25 | 02/04/2026 |
| Spread: Raptors (-14.5) | Kings | 55.0¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | $53 | 02/04/2026 |
| Suns vs. Hornets: O/U 221.5 | Over | 52.0¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | $45 | 02/04/2026 |
| Ducks vs. Sharks | Sharks | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | $38 | 02/04/2026 |
| Blues vs. Kings: O/U 5.5 | Under | 52.0¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | $29 | 02/04/2026 |
| Red Wings vs. Flyers | Flyers | 25.0¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | $37 | 02/04/2026 |
| Timberwolves vs. Pistons: O/U 223.5 | Over | 52.6¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | $39 | 02/04/2026 |
| Timberwolves vs. Pistons | Timberwolves | 43.1¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | $34 | 02/04/2026 |
| New York Mets vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 4.5 | Under | 53.6¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $25 | 01/04/2026 |
| Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 233.5 | Over | 55.0¢ | 0¢ | $-43 | $43 | 01/04/2026 |
| Cavaliers vs. Lakers | Cavaliers | 23.3¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 01/04/2026 |
| Spread: 76ers (-15.5) | Wizards | 48.0¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | $29 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 31? | No | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $75 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of March 2026? | Yes | 96.5¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $100 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | No | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $25 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | Yes | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $49 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31? | No | 8.7¢ | 0¢ | $-212 | $250 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026? | No | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $74 | 30/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on March 29? | No | 95.2¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $75 | 29/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on March 29? | No | 95.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $25 | 29/03/2026 |
| Will The MongolZ win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? | No | 95.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $25 | 29/03/2026 |
| Will Sporting Kansas City win on 2026-04-17? | No | 96.0¢ | 96¢ | $-0 | $25 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026? | No | 97.4¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | $25 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Revival (Vazrazhdane) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? | No | 98.8¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $25 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | Yes | 81.7¢ | 94¢ | +$24 | $150 | 30/04/2026 |