Win rate
60.6%
43 W / 28 L
Total PnL
$5,082
realized $3,823 · unrealized $1,259
Portfolio
$1,259
volume $75,612
Predictions
184
0.2/day · avg $411
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 21/02/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 65% +$4,679
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings? | Yes | 13¢ | 88¢ | +$791 | win |
| Will PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad win on 2026-01-22? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-64 | loss |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-07? | Yes | 33¢ | 0¢ | $-58 | loss |
| Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31? | No | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? | Yes | 31¢ | 0¢ | $-76 | loss |
| Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope? | Yes | 7¢ | 0¢ | +$52 | win |
| Elon no longer world's richest before 2026? | No | 10¢ | 100¢ | +$252 | win |
| New Pope in 2025? | Yes | 44¢ | 100¢ | +$115 | win |
| Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope? | No | 29¢ | 100¢ | +$98 | win |
| Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Tech 79% +$801
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| OpenAI social app in 2025? | No | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-181 | loss |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | Yes | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | win |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $435 end of November? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of November? | Yes | 42¢ | 0¢ | $-104 | loss |
| Will Meta (META) close above $560 end of November? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Apple (AAPL) close above $260 end of November? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$1,094 | win |
| OpenAI browser by October 31? | No | 25¢ | 0¢ | $-94 | loss |
Economy 100% +$31
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | +$31 | win |
Crypto 78% +$26
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025? | No | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$194 | win |
| Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in November? | Yes | 53¢ | 0¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Solana dip to $100 in November? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in November? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October? | Yes | 16¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | loss |
| Will Solana reach $240 in October? | Yes | 73¢ | 0¢ | $-184 | loss |
| Will Kanye launch a coin in February? | No | 35¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | win |
| Will Kanye launch a coin in February? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | +$17 | win |
Finance 100% +$4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Robinhood Markets (HOOD) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by September 30? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Elections 50% $-33
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Matt Goodwin – Reform win the Gorton and Denton by-election? | Yes | 21¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | loss |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | 11¢ | 0¢ | +$6 | win |
Sports 0% $-66
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua? | Yes | 7¢ | 0¢ | $-66 | loss |
Geopolitics 14% $-217
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | No | 34¢ | 22¢ | $-38 | loss |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | No | 63¢ | 50¢ | $-75 | loss |
| Israel strikes Iran by September 30? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| NATO downs another Russian drone by October 31? | Yes | 13¢ | 0¢ | $-45 | loss |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-11 | loss |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | loss |
| US military action against Iran before July? | Yes | 52¢ | 100¢ | $-24 | loss |
Politics 33% $-279
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025? | Yes | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025? | Yes | 7¢ | 0¢ | $-42 | loss |
| Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration in 2025? | Yes | 33¢ | 0¢ | $-48 | loss |
| Will Trump say "Santa Claus" in December? | Yes | 30¢ | 0¢ | $-57 | loss |
| Will Trump say "Mustache" in November? | Yes | 20¢ | 0¢ | $-84 | loss |
| Will Trump endorse Andrew Cuomo for NYC Mayor? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Trump pardon SBF by September 30? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet? | No | 18¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | loss |
| Trump releases Epstein list today? | No | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Matt Goodwin – Reform win the Gorton and Denton by-election? | Yes | 21.0¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | $39 | 26/02/2026 |
| Will PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad win on 2026-01-22? | Yes | 4.9¢ | 0¢ | $-64 | $64 | 22/01/2026 |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-07? | Yes | 32.7¢ | 0¢ | $-58 | $58 | 07/01/2026 |
| Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025? | No | 56.1¢ | 100¢ | +$194 | $272 | 01/01/2026 |
| Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31? | No | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $40 | 01/01/2026 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? | Yes | 30.6¢ | 0¢ | $-76 | $76 | 01/01/2026 |
| Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope? | Yes | 1.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3,642 | $36 | 31/12/2025 |
| Elon no longer world's richest before 2026? | No | 10.0¢ | 100¢ | +$252 | $30 | 31/12/2025 |
| New Pope in 2025? | Yes | 43.5¢ | 100¢ | +$115 | $90 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope? | No | 29.0¢ | 100¢ | +$98 | $40 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope? | Yes | 7.3¢ | 0¢ | +$52 | $45 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 9.0¢ | 0¢ | +$37 | $27 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 71.4¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $78 | 31/12/2025 |
| TikTok sale announced by September 30? | No | 70.3¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $35 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025? | Yes | 89.7¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $77 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | No | 89.7¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $27 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025? | Yes | 7.0¢ | 0¢ | $-42 | $151 | 31/12/2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? | Yes | 5.3¢ | 0¢ | $-48 | $48 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration in 2025? | Yes | 32.9¢ | 0¢ | $-48 | $50 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Trump say "Santa Claus" in December? | Yes | 30.1¢ | 0¢ | $-57 | $57 | 31/12/2025 |
| OpenAI social app in 2025? | No | 10.3¢ | 0¢ | $-181 | $183 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-30? | Yes | 6.9¢ | 0¢ | $-68 | $68 | 30/12/2025 |
| Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua? | Yes | 6.6¢ | 0¢ | $-66 | $77 | 19/12/2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $20 | 10/12/2025 |
| Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in November? | Yes | 53.0¢ | 0¢ | +$3 | $26 | 01/12/2025 |
| Will Solana dip to $110 in November? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 01/12/2025 |
| Will Solana dip to $100 in November? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 01/12/2025 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in November? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 01/12/2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | Yes | 86.1¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $159 | 30/11/2025 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | No | 93.2¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $42 | 30/11/2025 |
| Will Trump say "Mustache" in November? | Yes | 20.0¢ | 0¢ | $-84 | $84 | 30/11/2025 |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $465 end of November? | Yes | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $35 | 28/11/2025 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $160 end of November? | Yes | 95.6¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $48 | 28/11/2025 |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $435 end of November? | Yes | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 28/11/2025 |
| Will Meta (META) close above $560 end of November? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $160 | 28/11/2025 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) close above $260 end of November? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 28/11/2025 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of November? | Yes | 42.0¢ | 0¢ | $-104 | $126 | 28/11/2025 |
| Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-24? | Yes | 27.1¢ | 0¢ | $-122 | $122 | 24/11/2025 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 76.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1,094 | $4,071 | 19/11/2025 |
| Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-08? | Yes | 23.0¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | $23 | 08/11/2025 |
| Will Robinhood Markets (HOOD) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 92.3¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $31 | 05/11/2025 |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | 10.8¢ | 0¢ | +$6 | $50 | 04/11/2025 |
| Will Trump endorse Andrew Cuomo for NYC Mayor? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $60 | 03/11/2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October? | Yes | 16.0¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | $37 | 01/11/2025 |
| Will Solana reach $240 in October? | Yes | 72.9¢ | 0¢ | $-184 | $184 | 01/11/2025 |
| Marwan Barghouti released by October 31? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $221 | 31/10/2025 |
| HasanAbi arrested by October 31? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $43 | 31/10/2025 |
| TikTok sale announced by October 31? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $65 | 31/10/2025 |
| OpenAI browser by October 31? | No | 25.0¢ | 0¢ | $-94 | $107 | 31/10/2025 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 15.7¢ | 0¢ | +$138 | $200 | 26/10/2025 |