Eyebrows

Other 67% +$3,698 $57,475 vol · 284 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?	No	89¢	94¢	+$4	win
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?	Yes	89¢	100¢	$-33	loss
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?	No	3¢	0¢	$-42	loss
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	Yes	8¢	0¢	$-361	loss
Epstein client list released by June 30?	Yes	13¢	12¢	$-1	loss
Netanyahu out by June 30?	Yes	6¢	6¢	$-6	loss
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	78¢	83¢	+$4	win
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	34¢	17¢	+$1	win
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 325M by May 1?	Yes	8¢	1¢	$-17	loss
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in April?	No	26¢	0¢	$-330	loss

Economy 100% +$412 $1,102 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Houthis successfully target shipping by April 15?	No	82¢	100¢	+$12	win
Nothing Ever Happens: Interest Rates	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$2	win
US recession in 2025?	Yes	34¢	0¢	+$28	win
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	73¢	100¢	+$7	win
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?	Yes	2¢	0¢	+$12	win
Powell says "unemployment" 5+ times in FOMC statement?	No	77¢	100¢	+$14	win
Unemployment rate over 4.2% in August?	No	45¢	100¢	+$289	win

Politics 63% +$273 $54,418 vol · 421 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	96¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	42¢	53¢	+$11	win
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	16¢	16¢	+$253	win
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?	Yes	12¢	12¢	$-45	loss
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	30¢	64¢	$-60	loss
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?	Yes	6¢	3¢	$-38	loss
Trump out as President by June 30?	Yes	6¢	6¢	$-4	loss
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	16¢	58¢	$-62	loss
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 13, 2026?	No	94¢	100¢	+$12	win

Culture 50% +$99 $577 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	83¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?	No	41¢	100¢	+$92	win
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?	No	94¢	0¢	$-8	loss
Will Henry Kissinger be named in newly released Epstein files?	No	82¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will 'Balatro' win Game of the Year in the 2024 Steam Awards?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-21	loss

Finance 100% +$52 $310 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,500 on the final trading day of March 2026?	No	81¢	0¢	+$52	win

Weather 100% +$24 $102 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Obama say "Climate change" at DNC speech?	Yes	52¢	100¢	+$19	win
Will Obama say "Climate change" at DNC speech?	No	38¢	0¢	+$4	win

Mentions 55% +$5 $833 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "Kaczynski" be in the manifesto?	No	80¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times November 1-8?	No	91¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Elon tweet 350-374 times November 1-8?	Yes	28¢	0¢	$-21	loss
Will Elon tweet 275-299 times October 4-11?	Yes	24¢	0¢	$-4	loss
Will Elon tweet 225-249 times?	Yes	27¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will Elon tweet 250-274 times?	No	90¢	100¢	$-26	loss
Will Elon tweet 300 or more times?	No	95¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will Elon tweet 150 or more times?	Yes	50¢	100¢	+$12	win
Will Elon tweet between 80-99 times?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$21	win

Tech 57% $-128 $478 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	No	98¢	0¢	$-49	loss
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during January press conference?	No	72¢	0¢	$-36	loss
Will Kamala say "Artificial Intelligence" at debate?	No	68¢	0¢	$-68	loss

Geopolitics 66% $-331 $31,439 vol · 116 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	No	6¢	0¢	$-145	loss
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	33¢	28¢	$-2	loss
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	Yes	21¢	100¢	+$197	win
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$0	win
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?	No	57¢	0¢	+$3	win
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	No	93¢	100¢	+$2	win
US x Iran meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$1	win
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	55¢	92¢	$-6	loss
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	4¢	0¢	$-62	loss
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	9¢	4¢	$-12	loss

Sports 51% $-557 $5,553 vol · 68 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	6¢	5¢	+$4	win
Pelicans vs. Clippers	Clippers	95¢	100¢	+$2	win
Jazz vs. Rockets	Rockets	87¢	100¢	+$6	win
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor	Demoor	15¢	100¢	+$166	win
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?	Yes	8¢	0¢	$-62	loss
Giants vs. Rockies	Giants	69¢	100¢	+$16	win
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the Eastern Conference?	Yes	19¢	0¢	+$55	win
Will BYU win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-13	loss
Super Bowl LIX Winner	Eagles	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the 49ers win Super Bowl 2025?	Yes	14¢	0¢	$-44	loss

Crypto 57% $-1,355 $12,957 vol · 141 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	47¢	36¢	+$6	win
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$60k	52¢	28¢	+$9	win
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	24¢	14¢	$-13	loss
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April?	No	29¢	0¢	$-44	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	76¢	100¢	+$12	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	93¢	100¢	+$4	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	87¢	100¢	+$3	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	87¢	100¢	+$3	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	87¢	100¢	+$3	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	97¢	100¢	+$3	win

Elections 42% $-13,984 $40,228 vol · 137 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	13¢	14¢	+$5	win
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	93¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will John Cornyn win the first round of the Republican Senate primary election in Texas?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025	Yes	85¢	100¢	+$58	win
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	No	93¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	17¢	0¢	$-393	loss
Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?	Yes	75¢	100¢	+$12	win
Will Abigail Spanberger win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%?	Yes	16¢	0¢	$-12	loss
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?	Yes	59¢	0¢	$-59	loss