Win rate
71.2%
37 W / 15 L
Total PnL
$28,111
realized $-7,808 · unrealized $35,919
Portfolio
$35,919
volume $1,052,374
Predictions
54
0.6/day · avg $19,488
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 26/04/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 20/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 20/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 93% +$22,921
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kinetiq FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April? | No | 84¢ | 98¢ | +$1,370 | win |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 46¢ | 100¢ | +$1,350 | win |
| Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$76 | win |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? | No | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$4,082 | win |
| Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open? | Yes | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$1,578 | win |
| Will "Golden - KPop Demon Hunters" win Best Original Song - Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes? | Yes | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$65 | win |
| Hyperliquid all time high by December 31? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$920 | win |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$1,010 | win |
Sports 67% +$15,892
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 45¢ | 58¢ | +$80 | win |
| Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Yes | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$52 | win |
| Heat vs. Raptors | Raptors | 54¢ | 100¢ | +$138 | win |
| Will Michigan State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$2,434 | win |
| Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$400 | win |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots | Patriots | 18¢ | 0¢ | $-180 | loss |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | 8¢ | 0¢ | $-1,000 | loss |
| Timberwolves vs. Raptors | Raptors | 81¢ | 0¢ | $-2,832 | loss |
| Spread: Seahawks (-2.5) | Seahawks | 48¢ | 100¢ | +$2,600 | win |
Geopolitics 100% +$10,582
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | Yes | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$7,892 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? | No | 34¢ | 50¢ | +$48 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | No | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$2,625 | win |
Politics 100% +$1,400
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$1,333 | win |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31? | Yes | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$67 | win |
Elections 50% +$259
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada? | Yes | 27¢ | 0¢ | $-988 | loss |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$1,248 | win |
Economy 0% $-2,235
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 16¢ | 0¢ | $-2,235 | loss |
Crypto 40% $-20,632
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? | No | 94¢ | 94¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February? | Yes | 64¢ | 0¢ | $-8,185 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? | No | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-5,295 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET | Up | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET | Up | 67¢ | 0¢ | $-670 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$675 | win |
| Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$346 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025? | Yes | 85¢ | 0¢ | $-11,390 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November? | No | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$4,306 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 89.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1,333 | $11,485 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 46.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1,350 | $1,150 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 84.7¢ | 100¢ | +$76 | $424 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada? | Yes | 27.4¢ | 0¢ | $-988 | $988 | 13/04/2026 |
| Heat vs. Raptors | Raptors | 54.0¢ | 100¢ | +$138 | $162 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 68.0¢ | 100¢ | +$128 | $272 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Michigan State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 2.5¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? | No | 84.5¢ | 100¢ | +$4,082 | $22,270 | 31/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 95.7¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $381 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 16.0¢ | 0¢ | $-2,235 | $2,400 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February? | Yes | 32.0¢ | 0¢ | $-416 | $416 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? | No | 0.9¢ | 0¢ | $-5,295 | $5,295 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February? | Yes | 64.2¢ | 0¢ | $-8,185 | $8,185 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 72.6¢ | 100¢ | +$2,434 | $6,463 | 22/02/2026 |
| Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$400 | $4,044 | 22/02/2026 |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots | Patriots | 18.0¢ | 0¢ | $-180 | $180 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | 8.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,000 | $1,000 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded? | Yes | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $4,000 | 05/02/2026 |
| Timberwolves vs. Raptors | Raptors | 81.0¢ | 0¢ | $-2,832 | $2,835 | 05/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET | Up | 5.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 04/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET | Up | 67.0¢ | 0¢ | $-670 | $670 | 04/02/2026 |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open? | Yes | 73.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1,578 | $4,422 | 01/02/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | No | 79.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2,625 | $9,875 | 31/01/2026 |
| Spread: Seahawks (-2.5) | Seahawks | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2,600 | $2,400 | 25/01/2026 |
| Will "Golden - KPop Demon Hunters" win Best Original Song - Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes? | Yes | 88.5¢ | 100¢ | +$65 | $500 | 11/01/2026 |
| Hyperliquid all time high by December 31? | No | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$920 | $7,442 | 01/01/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025? | No | 95.5¢ | 100¢ | +$675 | $14,325 | 01/01/2026 |
| Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | Yes | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$346 | $4,593 | 01/01/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025? | Yes | 85.0¢ | 0¢ | $-11,390 | $11,390 | 01/01/2026 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? | No | 89.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1,010 | $8,990 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 Open Championship? | Yes | 83.8¢ | 100¢ | +$899 | $4,666 | 31/12/2025 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | No | 80.0¢ | 80¢ | +$48 | $7,664 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November? | No | 69.9¢ | 100¢ | +$4,306 | $10,000 | 01/12/2025 |
| LAR vs. Panthers | Panthers | 14.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4,300 | $700 | 30/11/2025 |
| Giants vs. Lions | Lions | 67.0¢ | 100¢ | +$825 | $1,675 | 30/11/2025 |
| Panthers vs. 49ers | Panthers | 18.7¢ | 0¢ | $-467 | $467 | 25/11/2025 |
| Panthers vs. Falcons | Panthers | 33.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8,040 | $3,960 | 23/11/2025 |
| Spread: Packers (-6.5) | Vikings | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-750 | $750 | 23/11/2025 |
| Bills vs. Texans: O/U 43.5 | Under | 47.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1,325 | $1,175 | 21/11/2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later? | No | 94.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1,248 | $23,374 | 15/11/2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | 92.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1,248 | $16,154 | 04/11/2025 |
| Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series? | Yes | 51.4¢ | 0¢ | +$262 | $771 | 31/10/2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31? | Yes | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$67 | $703 | 31/10/2025 |
| Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority? | Yes | 75.2¢ | 100¢ | +$12,486 | $38,101 | 28/04/2025 |
| Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | Yes | 26.9¢ | 0¢ | $-1,745 | $1,751 | 28/04/2025 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? | No | 34.0¢ | 50¢ | +$48 | $106 | 21/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April? | No | 97.8¢ | 99¢ | +$204 | $12,703 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April? | No | 84.0¢ | 98¢ | +$1,370 | $8,400 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Yes | 94.9¢ | 97¢ | +$52 | $2,493 | 10/06/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | Yes | 62.4¢ | 100¢ | +$7,892 | $13,098 | 30/06/2026 |