Win rate
79.3%
69 W / 18 L
Total PnL
$-25,810
realized $-27,126 · unrealized $1,316
Portfolio
$1,316
volume $2,620,934
Predictions
96
4.6/day · avg $27,301
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 30/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Politics 100% +$23
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 10, 2026? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
Economy 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
Other 80% $-21
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | Yes | 86¢ | 66¢ | $-32 | loss |
| Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Kolkata Knight Riders | Chennai Super Kings | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will a dozen eggs cost <$2.00 in March? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Crypto 86% $-3,796
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET | Down | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET | Down | 7¢ | 0¢ | $-151 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET | Down | 18¢ | 0¢ | $-512 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET | Down | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-130 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET | Down | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$96 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET | Down | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET | Down | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET | Down | 55¢ | 0¢ | $-620 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET | Up | 27¢ | 100¢ | +$202 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET | Down | 50¢ | 0¢ | +$27 | win |
Geopolitics 30% $-25,259
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$2 | win |
| Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 48¢ | 38¢ | $-139 | loss |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? | Yes | 80¢ | 68¢ | $-49 | loss |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | 6¢ | 100¢ | $-22 | loss |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-668 | loss |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | Yes | 88¢ | 79¢ | $-20 | loss |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET | Down | 96.4¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $210 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET | Down | 6.6¢ | 0¢ | $-151 | $151 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET | Down | 17.5¢ | 0¢ | $-512 | $503 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15? | No | 91.9¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $210 | 15/04/2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | No | 97.4¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $100 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | 5.8¢ | 100¢ | $-22 | $70 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET | Down | 51.1¢ | 100¢ | +$96 | $100 | 14/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET | Down | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $100 | 14/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET | Down | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $200 | 14/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET | Down | 5.3¢ | 0¢ | $-130 | $130 | 14/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET | Down | 5.3¢ | 0¢ | $-251 | $130 | 14/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET | Up | 26.6¢ | 100¢ | +$202 | $130 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET | Down | 50.2¢ | 0¢ | +$27 | $200 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET | Down | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $990 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 95.8¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $200 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET | Down | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $500 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET | Down | 55.4¢ | 0¢ | $-620 | $620 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET | Down | 55.4¢ | 0¢ | $-1,220 | $620 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET | Down | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $715 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 99.2¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $300 | 12/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET | Down | 91.6¢ | 0¢ | $-600 | $600 | 12/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET | Down | 91.6¢ | 0¢ | $-1,196 | $600 | 12/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET | Up | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $330 | 10/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET | Down | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $300 | 10/04/2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 10, 2026? | No | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $100 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will a dozen eggs cost <$2.00 in March? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $632 | 10/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET | Down | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | $400 | 09/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET | Up | 95.8¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $400 | 09/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET | Up | 92.4¢ | 100¢ | +$82 | $1,000 | 08/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET | Up | 95.7¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | $1,000 | 08/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET | Up | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | $1,000 | 08/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET | Up | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $1,000 | 08/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET | Down | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $700 | 08/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET | Up | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $1,000 | 08/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET | Up | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $500 | 08/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET | Up | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$68 | $500 | 07/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET | Down | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $450 | 07/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET | Up | 86.7¢ | 0¢ | $-175 | $175 | 07/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 0.2¢ | 0¢ | $-668 | $662 | 07/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | Yes | 87.9¢ | 79¢ | $-20 | $200 | 07/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET | Up | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | $1,000 | 06/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET | Up | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$56 | $500 | 05/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET | Up | 95.5¢ | 100¢ | +$47 | $1,000 | 05/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET | Up | 95.6¢ | 100¢ | +$46 | $1,000 | 05/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET | Down | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | $600 | 05/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET | Up | 96.8¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $400 | 05/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET | Up | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $1,089 | 05/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET | Up | 96.6¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $300 | 05/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET | Down | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $100 | 05/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET | Up | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $1,000 | 05/04/2026 |