dube

Other 68% +$11,777 $644,694 vol · 101 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Kodiak FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	78¢	100¢	+$2,184	win
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$225	win
Brevis FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	32¢	0¢	$-8	loss
Fogo FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	98¢	100¢	+$172	win
Over $10M committed to the Trove public sale?	Yes	46¢	100¢	$-58	loss
Over $15M committed to the Trove public sale?	No	99¢	100¢	+$114	win
Over $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$109	win
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	90¢	100¢	+$97	win
Over $20M committed to the Space public sale?	Yes	95¢	100¢	$-451	loss
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	83¢	100¢	+$22	win

Geopolitics 73% +$11,579 $1,129,359 vol · 120 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the US strike Iran next?	No	96¢	100¢	+$2,119	win
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	88¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the US strike Iran next?	No	97¢	100¢	+$401	win
Will the US strike Iran next?	No	100¢	100¢	+$226	win
Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	86¢	100¢	+$42	win
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	No	72¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will the US strike Iran next?	No	96¢	100¢	+$0	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	50¢	70¢	+$0	—
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	50¢	30¢	+$0	—
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	100¢	100¢	$-3	loss

Culture 53% +$3,343 $37,215 vol · 19 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "Ready or Not 2: Here I Come" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8.5m?	Yes	38¢	0¢	$-78	loss
Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?	No	99¢	100¢	+$88	win
Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will "Hoppers" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 29m and 32m?	No	88¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will "Hoppers" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 26m and 29m?	Yes	87¢	100¢	$-3	loss
Will Zootopia 2 be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will "Greenland 2: Migration" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10.5m and 12m?	No	79¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 27m?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$131	win
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 40m?	Yes	6¢	0¢	$-22	loss
Will Zootopia 2 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?	No	71¢	100¢	+$1,900	win

Sports 100% +$1,954 $47,591 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Karol G perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?	Yes	85¢	100¢	+$167	win

Tech 77% +$1,813 $108,740 vol · 14 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$45	win
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$441	win
GPT ads by March 31?	Yes	91¢	100¢	+$114	win
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?	Yes	40¢	0¢	$-28	loss
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	No	95¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	Yes	29¢	0¢	$-16	loss
Over $120M committed to the Ranger public sale?	No	95¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Jensen Huang say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during NVIDIA keynote?	No	99¢	100¢	+$24	win
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?	Yes	39¢	0¢	$-286	loss

Crypto 100% +$1,476 $160,230 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$371	win
Will Paradex launch a token on March 6?	No	94¢	100¢	+$21	win
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$487	win
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$524	win
Will Grayscale be accused of insider trading?	No	100¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Elections 75% +$52 $808,997 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	50¢	4¢	+$0	—
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	50¢	96¢	+$0	—
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	88¢	90¢	+$0	—
Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$43	win
Will Luong Cuong be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?	No	100¢	100¢	+$9	win

Politics 66% +$34 $183,756 vol · 34 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	50¢	61¢	+$0	—
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	50¢	39¢	+$0	—
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$145	win
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	53¢	0¢	$-0	loss
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	100¢	100¢	+$21	win
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	No	75¢	100¢	+$0	—
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	82¢	82¢	$-65	loss
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	No	91¢	91¢	+$0	—
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?	No	95¢	100¢	$-202	loss
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?	No	88¢	100¢	+$47	win

Mentions 20% $-62 $159 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Khamenei tweet every day through March 20?	No	55¢	100¢	+$22	win
Will Khamenei tweet every day through March 20?	Yes	50¢	0¢	$-7	loss
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 20, 2026?	No	20¢	0¢	$-36	loss
Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet again on March 24?	Yes	13¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Will Netanyahu tweet again by Saturday?	Yes	4¢	0¢	$-20	loss

Finance 50% $-109 $46,074 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	5¢	0¢	$-257	loss

Economy 0% $-112 $10,769 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	96¢	100¢	$-112	loss