Win rate
87.1%
385 W / 57 L
Total PnL
$1,352
realized $-67,321 · unrealized $68,673
Portfolio
$68,673
volume $4,521,908
Predictions
577
8.9/day · avg $7,837
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 29/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Esports 98% +$752
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | MOUZ | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | FURIA | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Valorant: Team Envy vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha | LOUD | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Raptors vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5 | Under | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | — |
| Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winner | Vici Gaming | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | win |
| Counter-Strike: aimclub vs FaZe - Map 1 Winner | FaZe | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
| Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner | Team Yandex | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | win |
| Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner | PARIVISION | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | win |
| Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner | Xtreme Gaming | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs | Natus Vincere | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | win |
Other 92% +$709
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | No | 93¢ | 96¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Paradex FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Trove FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Fogo FDV above $3B one day after launch? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-14 | loss |
| Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 87¢ | 80¢ | $-23 | loss |
| USD.AI FDV above $6B one day after launch? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 31? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi? | Yes | 46¢ | 9¢ | $-19 | loss |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 77¢ | 64¢ | $-8 | loss |
Crypto 90% +$488
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Opinion launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$78 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Ethereum all time high by March 31, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET | Down | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Paradex launch a token on March 9? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-14 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on March 21? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 20? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on March 20? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on March 17? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Elections 50% +$39
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 50¢ | 81¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 50¢ | 19¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections? | Yes | 83¢ | 90¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) finish in second place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? | Yes | 70¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election? | Yes | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | win |
| Will Omar Fateh win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
Economy 80% +$31
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Bulldogs vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs | Georgia Bulldogs | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Jackson State Tigers | Jackson State Tigers | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. South Carolina Gamecocks | South Carolina Gamecocks | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Grambling State Tigers (W) | Grambling State Tigers | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | 70¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
Mentions 80% +$18
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026? | No | 75¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Weather 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane: O/U 161.5 | Under | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-03-15? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Geopolitics 70% $-25
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | No | 73¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | loss |
| Will Russia enter Khatnie by March 31, 2026? | No | 80¢ | 100¢ | $-74 | loss |
| Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-03-13? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | $-10 | loss |
Politics 25% $-35
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 3¢ | 3¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 50¢ | 61¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 50¢ | 39¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 50¢ | 72¢ | +$14,988 | win |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 7th? | No | 73¢ | 100¢ | $-34 | loss |
Tech 60% $-43
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026? | Yes | 66¢ | 87¢ | $-36 | loss |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Over $200M committed to the Ranger public sale? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Meta (META) close above $520 end of December? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Sports 52% $-497
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins | Minnesota Twins | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants | San Francisco Giants | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Spread: Suns (-4.5) | Suns | 46¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| Spread: Suns (-4.5) | Trail Blazers | 68¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Spread: Pistons (-14.5) | Pistons | 82¢ | 0¢ | $-301 | loss |
| Grizzlies vs. Jazz: O/U 248.5 | Under | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5) | Trail Blazers | 65¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Spread: Magic (-15.5) | Magic | 77¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Spread: Capitals (-1.5) | Penguins | 68¢ | 0¢ | $-10 | loss |
| Spread: Rockets (-3.5) | Rockets | 50¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | MOUZ | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | $1,250 | 16/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | FURIA | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $9,990 | 15/04/2026 |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants | San Francisco Giants | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 15/04/2026 |
| Spread: Suns (-4.5) | Suns | 46.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $460 | 15/04/2026 |
| Spread: Suns (-4.5) | Trail Blazers | 68.0¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $28 | 15/04/2026 |
| GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026? | Yes | 66.0¢ | 87¢ | $-36 | $396 | 15/04/2026 |
| Pistons vs. Pacers | Pistons | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $4,997 | 12/04/2026 |
| Valorant: Team Envy vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha | LOUD | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $1,224 | 12/04/2026 |
| Spread: Pistons (-14.5) | Pistons | 82.0¢ | 0¢ | $-301 | $820 | 12/04/2026 |
| Grizzlies vs. Jazz: O/U 248.5 | Under | 53.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $39 | 11/04/2026 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5) | Trail Blazers | 65.0¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | $298 | 11/04/2026 |
| Spread: Magic (-15.5) | Magic | 77.0¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | $387 | 11/04/2026 |
| Spread: Capitals (-1.5) | Penguins | 68.0¢ | 0¢ | $-10 | $680 | 11/04/2026 |
| Spread: Rockets (-3.5) | Rockets | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $47 | 06/04/2026 |
| Lakers vs. Mavericks | Lakers | 52.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $1,040 | 05/04/2026 |
| Raptors vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5 | Under | 71.0¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | $710 | 05/04/2026 |
| Wizards vs. Nets | Nets | 68.0¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $680 | 05/04/2026 |
| Wild vs. Red Wings | Red Wings | 63.0¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | $231 | 05/04/2026 |
| Suns vs. Bulls | Suns | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | $-33 | $1,106 | 05/04/2026 |
| LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Season | Team Vitality | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | $28,032 | 04/04/2026 |
| Magic vs. Mavericks | Magic | 72.0¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $55 | 04/04/2026 |
| LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winner | Team Vitality | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $8,395 | 04/04/2026 |
| LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winner | Natus Vincere | 87.8¢ | 0¢ | $-200 | $200 | 04/04/2026 |
| Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winner | Vici Gaming | 81.0¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $100 | 03/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$78 | $12,853 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in March? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $1,504 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in March? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $1,500 | 01/04/2026 |
| Ethereum all time high by March 31, 2026? | No | 97.4¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $253 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $1,500 | 01/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET | Down | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $200 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Paradex launch a token on March 9? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-14 | $4,995 | 01/04/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 94.9¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $508 | 31/03/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | No | 72.8¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | $902 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | No | 69.0¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | $483 | 31/03/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 7th? | No | 73.3¢ | 100¢ | $-34 | $200 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Russia enter Khatnie by March 31, 2026? | No | 80.3¢ | 100¢ | $-74 | $281 | 31/03/2026 |
| LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 1 Winner | KT Rolster Challengers | 78.0¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | $156 | 30/03/2026 |
| LoL: Natus Vincere vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winner | SK Gaming | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | $36,734 | 30/03/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: aimclub vs FaZe - Map 1 Winner | FaZe | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $67 | 30/03/2026 |
| LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winner | Movistar KOI | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $8,991 | 30/03/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Nuggets | Nuggets | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $1,186 | 30/03/2026 |
| LoL: Natus Vincere vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winner | Natus Vincere | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $945 | 30/03/2026 |
| Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner | Team Yandex | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | $39,960 | 29/03/2026 |
| Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs | Xtreme Gaming | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $25,067 | 29/03/2026 |
| LoL: SK Gaming vs Team Heretics - Game 2 Winner | Team Heretics | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $20,175 | 29/03/2026 |
| LoL: SK Gaming vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Group Stage | Team Heretics | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $657 | 29/03/2026 |
| Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner | PARIVISION | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $49,533 | 28/03/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs | Natus Vincere | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $24,975 | 28/03/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner | PARIVISION | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $22,710 | 28/03/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner | Vitality | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $19,980 | 28/03/2026 |