terelich

Sports 63% +$11,083 $105,868 vol · 44 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	59¢	96¢	+$119	win
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5	Yes	41¢	0¢	$-66	loss
Nuggets vs. Clippers	Nuggets	61¢	0¢	$-1,830	loss
LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffs	Disguised	44¢	0¢	$-52	loss
Clippers vs. Rockets	Rockets	71¢	100¢	+$1,589	win
Pacers vs. Knicks	Knicks	82¢	0¢	$-100	loss
Pacers vs. Raptors	Raptors	74¢	100¢	+$1,300	win
Clippers vs. Kings	Clippers	66¢	100¢	+$680	win
Spurs vs. Mavericks	Spurs	66¢	100¢	+$1,360	win
Magic vs. Thunder	Thunder	79¢	100¢	+$1,050	win

Esports 45% +$3,102 $42,918 vol · 173 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs	Natus Vincere	10¢	0¢	$-37	loss
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs	Spirit	55¢	100¢	+$43	win
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage	PARIVISION	52¢	0¢	$-58	loss
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner	Vitality	69¢	100¢	+$10	win
Counter-Strike: B8 vs NRG (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A	B8	36¢	0¢	$-55	loss
Dota 2: Astini+5 vs L1ga Team (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Play-In Group B	L1ga Team	37¢	100¢	+$193	win
Dota 2: LiXO eSports vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - European Pro League Group A	VP.Prodigy	60¢	100¢	+$166	win
Counter-Strike: HAVU vs Leo Team - Map 1 Winner	Leo Team	51¢	50¢	$-33	loss
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	FUT Esports	17¢	0¢	$-46	loss
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	FUT Esports	30¢	100¢	+$105	win

Culture 50% +$468 $935 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Vitality Dominates HLTV Awards Parlay	Yes	61¢	100¢	+$529	win
Will Rémy "⁠XTQZZZ⁠" Quoniam win the HLTV Coach of the Year award	No	5¢	0¢	$-26	loss
Will Mathieu "ZywOo" Herbaut win the HLTV Player of the Year award?	No	8¢	0¢	$-40	loss
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)	Yes	86¢	100¢	+$4	win

Crypto 33% +$204 $1,274 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 7?	Up	50¢	0¢	$-24	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 4?	Up	52¢	100¢	+$398	win
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?	No	65¢	100¢	+$161	win
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?	Yes	30¢	0¢	$-255	loss
Over 25,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?	Yes	10¢	0¢	$-56	loss

Weather 56% +$137 $3,030 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in London be between 52-53°F on November 29?	Yes	47¢	0¢	$-213	loss
Will the highest temperature in London be between 53-54°F on November 28?	Yes	6¢	0¢	$-36	loss
Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on November 27?	Yes	60¢	100¢	+$121	win
Will the highest temperature in London be between 44-45°F on November 26?	No	94¢	100¢	+$41	win
Will the highest temperature in London be between 48-49°F on November 26?	Yes	66¢	100¢	$-133	loss
Will the highest temperature in London be between 44-45°F on November 25?	Yes	86¢	100¢	+$59	win
Will the highest temperature in London be between 44-45°F on November 24?	Yes	76¢	100¢	+$76	win

Finance 50% +$86 $2,100 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	No	33¢	10¢	+$90	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 10?	Up	59¢	100¢	$-4	loss

Tech 50% $-50 $146 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of January?	Yes	68¢	100¢	+$18	win
Will Taylor Swift be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-68	loss

Elections 38% $-256 $4,012 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	23¢	17¢	$-332	loss
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	65¢	100¢	+$262	win
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	Yes	50¢	100¢	+$13	win
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	No	28¢	0¢	$-107	loss
Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?	Yes	28¢	0¢	$-93	loss
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?	No	2¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	Yes	45¢	0¢	$-52	loss

Politics 35% $-1,034 $4,734 vol · 17 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	5¢	4¢	$-12	loss
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	No	56¢	64¢	+$56	win
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	Yes	15¢	0¢	$-7	loss
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	18¢	0¢	$-270	loss
Will Kamala Harris say "Biden" on Jimmy Kimmel Live?	Yes	57¢	0¢	$-28	loss
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia?	No	96¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will Trump's UN speech be less than 20 minutes?	Yes	17¢	0¢	$-140	loss
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?	No	43¢	0¢	$-43	loss
Will Trump visit Russia before July?	Yes	34¢	0¢	$-104	loss
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?	Yes	63¢	0¢	$-266	loss

Geopolitics 19% $-1,550 $9,771 vol · 47 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	85¢	94¢	$-1	loss
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 5, 2026?	Yes	80¢	0¢	$-502	loss
Russia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by February 28, 2026?	Yes	73¢	100¢	+$82	win
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	No	62¢	0¢	$-184	loss
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 24, 2026?	Yes	64¢	100¢	+$168	win
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	30¢	0¢	+$14	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?	Yes	12¢	0¢	$-2	loss
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?	Yes	23¢	0¢	$-32	loss
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 26?	Yes	19¢	0¢	$-60	loss
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by January 17, 2026?	Yes	34¢	0¢	$-124	loss

Other 52% $-6,814 $59,060 vol · 120 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Unit FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	70¢	56¢	+$0	—
Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	19¢	0¢	$-33	loss
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	48¢	43¢	+$35	win
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	12¢	24¢	+$20	win
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	34¢	36¢	+$1	win
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	52¢	74¢	+$66	win
Will Vitality win IEM Rio 2026?	Yes	57¢	60¢	+$5	win
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)	Spirit	36¢	100¢	+$63	win
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)	Spirit	33¢	100¢	+$67	win
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?	Yes	29¢	100¢	+$357	win