Win rate
75.9%
41 W / 13 L
Total PnL
$630
realized $-68 · unrealized $698
Portfolio
$698
volume $17,237
Predictions
81
0.2/day · avg $213
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 16/11/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Economy 100% +$502
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | 23¢ | 100¢ | +$481 | win |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Sports 40% +$39
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul? | Yes | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | win |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Racing Bulls be the 2025 Constructors Champion? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2025 NBA Finals? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Mentions 91% +$37
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Geopolitics 100% +$32
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by July 31? | No | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | win |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before July? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Crypto 100% +$11
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $800 in February? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $77000 on Mar 21? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88000 on Mar 7? | No | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
Culture 100% +$2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Other 62% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of March? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Francis Arinze be the next pope? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 World Series? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Australia win Eurovision 2025? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will 'Minecraft' gross less than 46m on opening weekend? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Was JFK assassination an inside job? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Politics 0% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will AOC win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Elections 25% $-2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the New Democratic Party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will SPD win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the SPD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $609 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of March? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $295 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of March? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $491 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $240 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $184 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $268 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $268 | 13/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026? | No | 95.2¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | $552 | 10/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $145 | 10/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $712 | 06/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $221 | 03/03/2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $800 in February? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $620 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $57 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will Italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $613 | 22/02/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026? | No | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $94 | 20/02/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $222 | 17/02/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $264 | 13/02/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $105 | 01/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026? | No | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $53 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $127 | 31/01/2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | No | 95.4¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $131 | 28/01/2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $345 | 28/01/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | No | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $220 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Yes | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $311 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $175 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Francis Arinze be the next pope? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $161 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul? | Yes | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | $257 | 19/12/2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | 23.0¢ | 100¢ | +$481 | $144 | 10/12/2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $64 | 10/12/2025 |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 07/12/2025 |
| Will Racing Bulls be the 2025 Constructors Champion? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $146 | 07/12/2025 |
| Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2025 World Series? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $148 | 31/10/2025 |
| Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2025 World Series? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $156 | 31/10/2025 |
| Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 World Series? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $300 | 31/10/2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting? | Yes | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $172 | 29/10/2025 |
| Will the New Democratic Party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $38 | 20/10/2025 |
| Will Pirates win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $365 | 30/09/2025 |
| Will SPD win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $149 | 30/09/2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? | No | 97.8¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $153 | 17/09/2025 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by July 31? | No | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $154 | 31/07/2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 30/07/2025 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before July? | No | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $145 | 01/07/2025 |
| Will Whitney Tilson win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $132 | 24/06/2025 |
| Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $189 | 24/06/2025 |
| Will AOC win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $172 | 24/06/2025 |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $39 | 23/06/2025 |
| Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2025 NBA Finals? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $40 | 23/06/2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $165 | 18/06/2025 |
| Will Australia win Eurovision 2025? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $149 | 17/05/2025 |
| Will 'Minecraft' gross less than 46m on opening weekend? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $32 | 07/04/2025 |