Susska

Geopolitics 67% +$10 $362 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	79¢	83¢	$-0	loss
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	59¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	86¢	100¢	+$4	win
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?	No	80¢	80¢	+$1	win
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?	No	97¢	100¢	+$1	win
Iran leadership change by March 31?	No	87¢	100¢	+$3	win
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	92¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?	No	87¢	100¢	$-1	loss
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	No	98¢	100¢	$-3	loss

Finance 100% +$3 $68 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,450 (HIGH) in June?	No	90¢	40¢	+$0	win
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?	No	92¢	100¢	+$3	win

Elections 25% +$1 $156 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	6¢	0¢	+$4	win
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	69¢	68¢	$-1	loss
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	No	69¢	65¢	$-2	loss
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	39¢	34¢	$-0	loss

Other 69% $-5 $1,190 vol · 13 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	67¢	57¢	+$1	win
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	84¢	43¢	$-16	loss
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June?	No	84¢	96¢	+$2	win
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in April?	No	95¢	90¢	$-3	loss
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	No	95¢	94¢	$-0	loss
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	63¢	24¢	$-11	loss
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	91¢	94¢	+$2	win
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?	No	97¢	100¢	+$7	win
Netanyahu out by March 31?	No	94¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?	Yes	82¢	100¢	+$4	win

Politics 50% $-11 $153 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Trump out as President by June 30?	No	94¢	94¢	+$0	win
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?	No	88¢	100¢	$-11	loss