Win rate
44.6%
575 W / 713 L
Total PnL
$-10,963
realized $-33,268 · unrealized $22,305
Portfolio
$22,305
volume $748,033
Predictions
1,361
11.2/day · avg $550
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 24/10/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Crypto 48% +$2,445
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 34¢ | 0¢ | $-905 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? | 150k | 18¢ | 0¢ | $-401 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 29¢ | 16¢ | $-60 | loss |
| First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | ETH | 36¢ | 0¢ | $-56 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April? | Yes | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$91 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? | No | 16¢ | 92¢ | +$386 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on April 13? | No | 32¢ | 100¢ | +$203 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 April 6-12? | Yes | 52¢ | 100¢ | +$192 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on April 12? | Yes | 26¢ | 0¢ | $-103 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin reach $73,000 on April 9? | Yes | 28¢ | 100¢ | +$152 | win |
Geopolitics 46% +$636
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 48¢ | 76¢ | +$334 | win |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 29¢ | 36¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 59¢ | 84¢ | +$372 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | Yes | 26¢ | 30¢ | +$18 | win |
| Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026? | Yes | 23¢ | 100¢ | +$416 | win |
| US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026? | No | 66¢ | 0¢ | $-624 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 63¢ | 94¢ | +$475 | win |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | No | 46¢ | 36¢ | $-16 | loss |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 56¢ | 66¢ | +$46 | win |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | Yes | 8¢ | 6¢ | $-10 | loss |
Politics 77% +$521
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 8¢ | 9¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 80¢ | 92¢ | +$92 | win |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | No | 42¢ | 50¢ | +$0 | — |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | Yes | 45¢ | 50¢ | +$14 | win |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 55¢ | 68¢ | +$64 | win |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026? | Yes | 10¢ | 6¢ | $-42 | loss |
| Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026? | Yes | 11¢ | 7¢ | $-19 | loss |
| Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31? | No | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$150 | win |
| Will Trump visit China by June 30? | No | 7¢ | 8¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | No | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$166 | win |
Weather 100% +$331
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Jose Earthquakes vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 2.5 | Under | 49¢ | 100¢ | +$155 | win |
Finance 50% +$240
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? | Yes | 45¢ | 20¢ | $-28 | loss |
| Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30? | No | 75¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
| S&P 500 all time high by December 31? | Yes | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$123 | win |
Elections 50% +$11
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 18¢ | 19¢ | +$12 | win |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 64¢ | 64¢ | $-0 | loss |
Culture 0% $-115
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 23¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 26¢ | 0¢ | $-13 | loss |
| Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | loss |
| Will Hamnet win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | loss |
| Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 9¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | loss |
Tech 20% $-223
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | No | 32¢ | 100¢ | +$548 | win |
| Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Yes | 12¢ | 0¢ | $-103 | loss |
| Will Kendrick Lamar be the #2 searched person on Google this year? | No | 80¢ | 0¢ | $-352 | loss |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Yes | 71¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | loss |
| Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | No | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-88 | loss |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 20¢ | 0¢ | $-114 | loss |
Other 49% $-881
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Petr Yan fight Merab Dvalishvili next? | Yes | 62¢ | 67¢ | $-325 | loss |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 51¢ | 52¢ | $-96 | loss |
| Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027? | Yes | 43¢ | 22¢ | $-16 | loss |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by March 31, 2026? | No | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$110 | win |
| Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Yes | 54¢ | 98¢ | +$240 | win |
| Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings? | Yes | 50¢ | 17¢ | $-244 | loss |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 49¢ | 36¢ | $-211 | loss |
| Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 17¢ | 12¢ | $-17 | loss |
| Netanyahu out by April 30? | Yes | 2¢ | 1¢ | $-13 | loss |
| Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-16? | No | 44¢ | 0¢ | $-69 | loss |
Esports 42% $-1,217
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner | MOUZ | 41¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner | Natus Vincere | 27¢ | 0¢ | $-53 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Team Falcons | 31¢ | 100¢ | +$344 | win |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner | MOUZ | 33¢ | 0¢ | $-66 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | FURIA | 47¢ | 100¢ | +$159 | win |
| Counter-Strike: G2 vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | 3DMAX | 26¢ | 0¢ | $-130 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Voca vs Marsborne (BO3) - CCT North America Series #4 Playoffs | Voca | 45¢ | 0¢ | $-143 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | Legacy | 55¢ | 0¢ | $-136 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | HOTU | 12¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | RED Canids | 32¢ | 100¢ | +$189 | win |
Sports 35% $-12,325
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthony Hernandez be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | Yes | 15¢ | 0¢ | $-56 | loss |
| Will Ciryl Gane be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | Yes | 21¢ | 26¢ | +$13 | win |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 17¢ | +$6 | win |
| UFC Fight Night: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal (Featherweight, Main Card) | Youssef Zalal | 56¢ | 56¢ | $-4 | loss |
| UFC Fight Night: Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo (Flyweight, Prelims) | Mitch Raposo | 28¢ | 50¢ | +$44 | win |
| UFC Fight Night: Kyler Phillips vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Main Card) | Kyler Phillips | 40¢ | 46¢ | +$87 | win |
| UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott (Welterweight, Main Card) | Gilbert Burns | 21¢ | 28¢ | +$85 | win |
| UFC Fight Night: Robert Valentin vs. Julien LeBlanc (Middleweight, Main Card) | Robert Valentin | 45¢ | 60¢ | +$137 | win |
| UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | Paulo Costa | 34¢ | 100¢ | +$1,571 | win |
| UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | Carlos Ulberg | 52¢ | 100¢ | +$291 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner | MOUZ | 41.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | $41 | 17/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner | Natus Vincere | 27.0¢ | 0¢ | $-53 | $54 | 17/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Team Falcons | 31.2¢ | 100¢ | +$344 | $156 | 16/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | MOUZ | 22.0¢ | 0¢ | $-121 | $123 | 16/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner | MOUZ | 33.0¢ | 0¢ | $-66 | $66 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-16? | No | 44.0¢ | 0¢ | $-69 | $70 | 16/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | FURIA | 47.0¢ | 100¢ | +$159 | $141 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 60.0¢ | 100¢ | +$100 | $500 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | 80.0¢ | 0¢ | $-560 | $560 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: G2 vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | 3DMAX | 26.0¢ | 0¢ | $-130 | $130 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Voca vs Marsborne (BO3) - CCT North America Series #4 Playoffs | Voca | 45.2¢ | 0¢ | $-143 | $145 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | Legacy | 55.0¢ | 0¢ | $-136 | $138 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | HOTU | 11.6¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | $29 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on April 13? | No | 32.2¢ | 100¢ | +$203 | $97 | 14/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | RED Canids | 31.6¢ | 100¢ | +$189 | $164 | 14/04/2026 |
| Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs RED Canids (+1.5) | RED Canids | 60.5¢ | 100¢ | +$158 | $242 | 14/04/2026 |
| Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) | B8 | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$88 | $82 | 14/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | B8 | 23.4¢ | 0¢ | $-115 | $117 | 14/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Spirit | 29.2¢ | 0¢ | $-116 | $117 | 14/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | Legacy | 24.5¢ | 0¢ | $-96 | $98 | 14/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner | B8 | 19.0¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | $40 | 14/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | HOTU | 20.5¢ | 0¢ | $-41 | $41 | 14/04/2026 |
| Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs HOTU (+1.5) | HOTU | 48.0¢ | 0¢ | $-96 | $96 | 14/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner | Spirit | 29.0¢ | 0¢ | $-57 | $58 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14? | No | 64.0¢ | 0¢ | $-127 | $128 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14? | No | 46.0¢ | 0¢ | $-91 | $92 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 April 6-12? | Yes | 52.0¢ | 100¢ | +$192 | $208 | 13/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Gentle Mates | 36.0¢ | 0¢ | $-355 | $360 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 April 6-12? | Yes | 33.2¢ | 0¢ | $-132 | $133 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on April 12? | Yes | 26.5¢ | 0¢ | $-103 | $106 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 April 6-12? | Yes | 17.0¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | $34 | 13/04/2026 |
| UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | Paulo Costa | 33.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1,571 | $803 | 12/04/2026 |
| UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | Carlos Ulberg | 52.0¢ | 100¢ | +$291 | $616 | 12/04/2026 |
| UFC 327: Chris Padilla vs. MarQuel Mederos (Lightweight, Early Prelims) | MarQuel Mederos | 36.9¢ | 50¢ | +$52 | $148 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | Yes | 0.7¢ | 0¢ | $-12 | $36 | 12/04/2026 |
| UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) | Curtis Blaydes | 53.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,167 | $1,431 | 12/04/2026 |
| UFC 327: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Prelims) | Esteban Ribovics | 38.1¢ | 0¢ | $-806 | $962 | 12/04/2026 |
| UFC 327: Tatiana Suarez vs. Loopy Godínez (Women's Strawweight, Early Prelims) | Loopy Godínez | 41.0¢ | 0¢ | $-688 | $697 | 12/04/2026 |
| UFC 327: Patricio Pitbull vs. Aaron Pico (Featherweight, Prelims) | Patricio Pitbull | 32.5¢ | 0¢ | $-209 | $319 | 12/04/2026 |
| UFC 327: Kevin Holland vs. Randy Brown (Welterweight, Prelims) | Randy Brown | 52.7¢ | 0¢ | $-313 | $316 | 12/04/2026 |
| UFC 327: Charles Radtke vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Early Prelims) | Francisco Prado | 38.0¢ | 0¢ | $-200 | $203 | 12/04/2026 |
| UFC 327: Cub Swanson vs. Nate Landwehr (Featherweight, Prelims) | Nate Landwehr | 19.7¢ | 0¢ | $-98 | $101 | 12/04/2026 |
| UFC 327: Johnny Walker vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | Johnny Walker | 40.7¢ | 0¢ | $-115 | $283 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will FUT Esports win PGL Bucharest 2026? | Yes | 22.8¢ | 100¢ | +$193 | $57 | 11/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 3 Winner | Astralis | 40.4¢ | 100¢ | +$62 | $42 | 11/04/2026 |
| Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5) | FUT Esports | 61.0¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $122 | 11/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 3 Winner | FUT Esports | 59.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $59 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will MIBR win PGL Bucharest 2026? | Yes | 4.9¢ | 0¢ | $-46 | $46 | 11/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports (BO5) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs | Astralis | 25.9¢ | 0¢ | $-157 | $159 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will The MongolZ win PGL Bucharest 2026? | Yes | 14.7¢ | 0¢ | $-75 | $75 | 11/04/2026 |