mr.ozi

Other 75% +$193,250 $1,869,359 vol · 296 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	73¢	84¢	+$1,800	win
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to at least 30 years in prison?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$1,273	win
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	89¢	100¢	+$572	win
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	58¢	56¢	+$374	win
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	38¢	48¢	+$1,029	win
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	56¢	87¢	+$18,212	win
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	81¢	100¢	+$923	win
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	Yes	31¢	0¢	$-66	loss
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	23¢	62¢	+$35,258	win
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	93¢	99¢	+$1,590	win

Geopolitics 71% +$153,128 $4,056,696 vol · 294 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	31¢	0¢	$-46,227	loss
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	87¢	88¢	+$64	win
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	72¢	100¢	+$64	win
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	30¢	0¢	$-1,598	loss
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	96¢	100¢	$-5,236	loss
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	57¢	74¢	+$26,454	win
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	64¢	69¢	+$620	win
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	77¢	81¢	+$3,805	win
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	84¢	88¢	+$668	win
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	64¢	94¢	+$17,751	win

Politics 68% +$117,873 $2,849,273 vol · 985 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$2,532	win
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	62¢	58¢	$-504	loss
Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?	No	70¢	0¢	$-2,165	loss
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	Yes	35¢	50¢	+$3,248	win
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	No	91¢	92¢	+$72	win
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?	No	96¢	100¢	+$985	win
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?	No	95¢	100¢	+$765	win
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?	No	100¢	100¢	+$262	win
Zelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?	No	94¢	100¢	+$110	win
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?	Yes	39¢	0¢	$-16,436	loss

Culture 100% +$8,491 $56,929 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	66¢	100¢	+$3,638	win
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?	No	98¢	100¢	+$380	win
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?	Yes	64¢	100¢	+$210	win
Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $124m?	Yes	80¢	100¢	+$945	win
Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $116-124m?	No	82¢	100¢	+$355	win
Will "Wander to Wonder" win Best Animated Short Film at the 2025 Oscars?	No	73¢	100¢	+$945	win
Will Sean Baker win Best Director at the 2025 Oscars for "Anora"?	Yes	69¢	100¢	+$660	win
Will "The Substance" win Best Original Screenplay at the 2025 Oscars?	No	86¢	100¢	+$326	win
Will 'BRAT' win Album of the Year?	No	87¢	100¢	+$424	win
Will 'BIRDS OF A FEATHER' win Song of the Year?	No	38¢	100¢	+$224	win

Economy 67% +$6,286 $169,059 vol · 15 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US recession in 2025?	No	78¢	100¢	+$713	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$450	win
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?	Yes	24¢	0¢	$-867	loss
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?	No	97¢	100¢	+$656	win
Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?	No	50¢	100¢	+$995	win
Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?	Yes	56¢	0¢	+$486	win
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$1,001	win
Houthis agree to end attacks on shipping before July?	Yes	53¢	100¢	$-124	loss
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?	Yes	79¢	100¢	$-430	loss
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$92	win

Finance 67% +$1,931 $20,125 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	58¢	0¢	$-950	loss
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day?	No	83¢	100¢	+$532	win

Weather 70% +$1,064 $29,870 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Palisades fire burn between 20-30k acres in total?	No	44¢	0¢	+$148	win
Will the Palisades fire burn between 20-30k acres in total?	Yes	90¢	100¢	$-511	loss
Earthquake 7.0 or above in June?	Yes	49¢	0¢	$-490	loss
Will global temperature increase by between 1.32-1.36ºC in March 2025?	Yes	52¢	100¢	$-165	loss
Will all LA wildfires be fully contained before February?	No	95¢	0¢	+$876	win
Will all LA wildfires be fully contained before February?	Yes	29¢	100¢	+$327	win
Will Palisades wildfire spread to Santa Monica by Sunday?	No	65¢	100¢	+$424	win
Will Palisades wildfire spread to Malibu by Sunday?	No	94¢	100¢	+$264	win
Will Palisades wildfire spread to Malibu by Sunday?	Yes	53¢	0¢	+$161	win
Will the Sunset wildfire reach Hollywood Blvd by Friday?	No	98¢	100¢	+$31	win

Tech 69% +$165 $58,782 vol · 16 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?	No	76¢	100¢	+$331	win
Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?	Yes	13¢	0¢	+$13	win
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$288	win
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?	No	51¢	0¢	$-1,068	loss
Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$649	win
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?	No	92¢	100¢	+$695	win
Will Amazon buy TikTok?	No	80¢	100¢	+$17	win
Will Elon say "Tesla" during Baier interview on Thursday?	No	38¢	0¢	$-1,090	loss
Will Google have the top AI model on February 28?	Yes	88¢	0¢	$-878	loss
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$416	win

Esports 100% +$20 $100 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Kai and Speed win Fortnite in 75-99 tries?	No	83¢	100¢	+$20	win

Elections 47% $-59 $1,093,388 vol · 210 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	Yes	25¢	0¢	$-1,710	loss
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	94¢	75¢	$-199	loss
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	60¢	66¢	+$2,101	win
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	82¢	100¢	+$2,700	win
Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?	No	53¢	0¢	$-2,516	loss
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?	Yes	60¢	100¢	+$1,600	win
Will Luís Marques Mendes qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	No	76¢	100¢	+$720	win
Polish snap election called in 2025?	No	76¢	100¢	+$922	win
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?	Yes	51¢	0¢	$-31,634	loss
Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?	No	97¢	100¢	+$0	—

Sports 67% $-10,474 $76,211 vol · 31 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Eastern Conference?	No	71¢	74¢	+$40	win
Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?	Yes	19¢	0¢	$-2,815	loss
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?	No	65¢	0¢	$-1,860	loss
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	54¢	0¢	$-5,405	loss
Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?	No	42¢	0¢	$-2,559	loss
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?	No	92¢	100¢	+$613	win
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Tuesday?	No	77¢	100¢	+$221	win
Wimbledon Final – Anisimova vs. Swiatek	Swiatek	96¢	100¢	+$160	win
Wimbledon Final – Anisimova vs. Swiatek	Anisimova	2¢	0¢	+$-0	—
Wimbledon: Bencic vs. Swiatek (W)	Bencic	10¢	0¢	$-40	loss

Crypto 69% $-18,003 $220,512 vol · 51 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Frans Timmermans become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	Yes	34¢	0¢	$-124	loss
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?	No	92¢	100¢	+$644	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 February 23-March 1?	No	97¢	100¢	+$87	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?	No	79¢	100¢	+$946	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?	Yes	5¢	0¢	$-360	loss
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?	No	33¢	100¢	+$176	win
US national XRP reserve in 2025?	No	43¢	100¢	+$9	win
US national Solana reserve in 2025?	No	47¢	100¢	$-266	loss
US national Solana reserve in 2025?	Yes	44¢	0¢	$-304	loss
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?	Yes	58¢	0¢	$-2,444	loss