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0x60f7293958a1b49f25a00a6af0199cbc7a1c050
0x60f7293958a1b49f25a00a6af0199cbc7a1c050b · polymarket profile ↗
Win rate
74.9%
441 W / 148 L
Total PnL
$28,999
realized $-60,912 · unrealized $89,911
Portfolio
$89,911
volume $1,595,301
Predictions
559
3.0/day · avg $2,854
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 08/07/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 70% +$32,022
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 27¢ | 16¢ | +$4,843 | win |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | Yes | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$1,315 | win |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | Yes | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$562 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | No | 34¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | loss |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027? | No | 68¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 12¢ | 9¢ | $-45 | loss |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | Yes | 43¢ | 30¢ | $-83 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 67¢ | 84¢ | +$5,345 | win |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 37¢ | 22¢ | $-525 | loss |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | Yes | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$238 | win |
Tech 80% +$4,545
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | Yes | 54¢ | 24¢ | $-841 | loss |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | Yes | 71¢ | 0¢ | $-816 | loss |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | Yes | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$105 | win |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | Yes | 81¢ | 0¢ | $-1,027 | loss |
| Will Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026? | Yes | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$166 | win |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$115 | win |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$82 | win |
| Will Google have the third-best AI model at the end of January 2026? | Yes | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | win |
| Will Google have the top AI model on December 31? | Yes | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$2,724 | win |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$1,669 | win |
Economy 100% +$2,108
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$356 | win |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$1,192 | win |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting? | Yes | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$48 | win |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$398 | win |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%? | Yes | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$89 | win |
Sports 69% +$1,331
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtics vs. Hornets | Celtics | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Thunder vs. Knicks | Thunder | 88¢ | 100¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$292 | win |
| Will Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 48¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | loss |
| Will the United States win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$81 | win |
| LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs | Dplus KIA | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$81 | win |
| Will Germany win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | win |
| LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs | T1 | 83¢ | 0¢ | $-1,398 | loss |
| LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs | Gen.G | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$101 | win |
| Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? | Yes | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$128 | win |
Elections 75% +$1,310
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 50¢ | 81¢ | +$22 | win |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 50¢ | 19¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 83¢ | 84¢ | +$147 | win |
| Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? | Yes | 62¢ | 0¢ | $-552 | loss |
| Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | Yes | 40¢ | 8¢ | $-70 | loss |
| Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election? | Yes | 83¢ | 94¢ | +$67 | win |
| Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 32¢ | 11¢ | +$57 | win |
| Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections? | Yes | 89¢ | 97¢ | +$41 | win |
| Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election? | No | 85¢ | 97¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Kim Young-hwan win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election? | No | 91¢ | 99¢ | +$5 | win |
Crypto 88% +$1,305
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET | Up | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$98 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET | Up | 82¢ | 0¢ | $-335 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET | Up | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET | Up | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET | Down | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET | Up | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET | Up | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET | Up | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET | Down | 70¢ | 0¢ | $-240 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET | Down | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$106 | win |
Esports 69% +$782
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Hanwha Life Esports | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$140 | win |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Anyones Legend | 85¢ | 0¢ | $-210 | loss |
| LoL: T1 Academy vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffs | Nongshim Esports Academy | 25¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivals | Team WE | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$479 | win |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stage | Gen.G | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$179 | win |
| Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs | Vitality | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$82 | win |
| LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5) | T1 | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$132 | win |
| LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winner | Gen.G | 58¢ | 0¢ | $-146 | loss |
| LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winner | Hanwha Life Esports | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | win |
| League of Legends: Invictus Gaming vs. Bilibili Gaming | Invictus Gaming | 56¢ | 0¢ | $-56 | loss |
Culture 33% $-229
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Yes | 69¢ | 0¢ | $-201 | loss |
| Fact check: Was Tyler Robinson a lone actor? | Yes | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
| Will "The Naked Gun" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $17m and $20m? | Yes | 71¢ | 0¢ | $-45 | loss |
Mentions 43% $-494
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon tweet 255 or more times August 1–August 8? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 25–August 1? | Yes | 25¢ | 0¢ | $-75 | loss |
| Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 18–25? | Yes | 17¢ | 0¢ | $-51 | loss |
| Will Elon tweet 255 or more times July 18–25? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
| Will Elon tweet 210–224 times July 11–18? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 11–18? | Yes | 55¢ | 100¢ | $-94 | loss |
| Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 4–11? | Yes | 39¢ | 0¢ | $-212 | loss |
| Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 4–11? | No | 76¢ | 0¢ | $-112 | loss |
Weather 0% $-1,801
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31? | No | 37¢ | 0¢ | $-257 | loss |
| Earthquake 7.0 or above by July 31? | No | 77¢ | 0¢ | $-447 | loss |
| Earthquake 7.0 or above before August? | No | 48¢ | 0¢ | $-1,096 | loss |
Politics 69% $-2,221
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 76¢ | 0¢ | $-124 | loss |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? | No | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | Yes | 84¢ | 40¢ | $-683 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$501 | win |
| Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025? | Yes | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$284 | win |
| Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025? | Yes | 7¢ | 0¢ | $-81 | loss |
| Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025? | No | 58¢ | 0¢ | $-289 | loss |
| Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025? | No | 88¢ | 0¢ | $-1,694 | loss |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31? | Yes | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will Trump release more Epstein files by August 31? | No | 88¢ | 0¢ | $-228 | loss |
Other 70% $-9,142
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to at least 30 years in prison? | Yes | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$3,522 | win |
| Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? | Yes | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$483 | win |
| Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to no prison time? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$295 | win |
| Will Han Duck-soo be sentenced to prison before 2027? | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$229 | win |
| Will Yoon be sentenced to prison before 2027? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$4 | win |
| Megaquake by June 30? | No | 62¢ | 82¢ | +$21 | win |
| Claude 4.7 released by May 31? | Yes | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? | Yes | 86¢ | 15¢ | $-786 | loss |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | Yes | 57¢ | 55¢ | $-13 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | 85.2¢ | 0¢ | $-2,617 | $4,933 | 15/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | No | 80.7¢ | 9¢ | $-443 | $750 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 81.3¢ | 99¢ | +$303 | $1,416 | 12/04/2026 |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Hanwha Life Esports | 72.0¢ | 100¢ | +$140 | $360 | 10/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 97.1¢ | 0¢ | $-5,314 | $10,555 | 07/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | No | 68.3¢ | 9¢ | $-245 | $309 | 07/04/2026 |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Anyones Legend | 85.0¢ | 0¢ | $-210 | $255 | 05/04/2026 |
| LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | DN SOOPers | 60.0¢ | 100¢ | +$240 | $360 | 02/04/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | 89.1¢ | 100¢ | +$3,169 | $37,738 | 31/03/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | Yes | 94.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1,386 | $22,321 | 31/03/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? | No | 75.6¢ | 100¢ | +$501 | $1,686 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | Yes | 83.5¢ | 100¢ | +$485 | $2,723 | 31/03/2026 |
| Kang Sun-woo in jail by March 31? | Yes | 79.9¢ | 100¢ | +$363 | $1,492 | 31/03/2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 53.5¢ | 100¢ | +$326 | $375 | 31/03/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7? | No | 91.5¢ | 100¢ | +$186 | $2,126 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$116 | $5,818 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7? | No | 90.7¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | $580 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4? | No | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | $294 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5? | No | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | $641 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Kim Keon Hee be sentenced to prison by March 31? | Yes | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | $3,680 | 31/03/2026 |
| Yoon out of custody by March 31? | No | 95.3¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $1,511 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $1,899 | 31/03/2026 |
| US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? | Yes | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $222 | 31/03/2026 |
| Megaquake by March 31? | No | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $80 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March? | Yes | 94.2¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $122 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March? | Yes | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $174 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6? | No | 80.2¢ | 100¢ | $-9 | $922 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | Yes | 68.9¢ | 100¢ | $-19 | $163 | 31/03/2026 |
| Iran leadership change by March 31? | Yes | 26.4¢ | 0¢ | $-31 | $263 | 31/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Yes | 34.8¢ | 0¢ | $-43 | $229 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8? | No | 75.6¢ | 0¢ | $-94 | $346 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2? | Yes | 32.5¢ | 0¢ | $-117 | $120 | 31/03/2026 |
| Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31? | Yes | 71.8¢ | 0¢ | $-124 | $234 | 31/03/2026 |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31? | Yes | 87.4¢ | 0¢ | $-721 | $1,217 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | Yes | 70.6¢ | 0¢ | $-816 | $1,088 | 31/03/2026 |
| Celtics vs. Hornets | Celtics | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $288 | 29/03/2026 |
| Final Stage: USA vs. Venezuela | Venezuela | 71.5¢ | 100¢ | +$388 | $973 | 25/03/2026 |
| Final Stage: Italy vs. Venezuela | Venezuela | 90.1¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $207 | 24/03/2026 |
| Final Stage: Japan vs. Venezuela | Venezuela | 94.4¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | $682 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 95.8¢ | 100¢ | +$356 | $20,307 | 18/03/2026 |
| First Round Pool B: USA vs. Italy | Italy | 89.2¢ | 100¢ | +$130 | $1,073 | 18/03/2026 |
| First Round Pool B: Mexico vs. Italy | Italy | 90.7¢ | 100¢ | +$56 | $544 | 18/03/2026 |
| First Round Pool B: Mexico vs. Italy | Mexico | 49.3¢ | 0¢ | $-137 | $170 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic? | No | 70.5¢ | 100¢ | $-43 | $141 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will Venezuela make the 2026 World Baseball Classic final? | Yes | 64.0¢ | 100¢ | $-84 | $192 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic? | Yes | 31.6¢ | 0¢ | $-114 | $170 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will Italy make the 2026 World Baseball Classic final? | Yes | 61.2¢ | 0¢ | $-114 | $146 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic? | Yes | 23.2¢ | 0¢ | $-197 | $208 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic? | Yes | 73.7¢ | 0¢ | $-262 | $663 | 17/03/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15? | No | 88.7¢ | 100¢ | +$62 | $908 | 15/03/2026 |