Jc86

Crypto 28% +$1,255 $2,552 vol · 60 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 19?	No	5¢	4¢	$-7	loss
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 7-13?	No	5¢	0¢	$-24	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 10?	No	9¢	0¢	$-30	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 9?	No	21¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 8?	No	13¢	0¢	$-50	loss
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 31-April 6?	No	8¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 5?	Yes	7¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 3?	No	5¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?	Yes	7¢	0¢	$-35	loss
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?	No	16¢	0¢	$-21	loss

Geopolitics 50% +$66 $70 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?	No	8¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	Yes	19¢	100¢	+$86	win

Other 30% +$44 $1,499 vol · 27 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?	Yes	17¢	14¢	$-4	loss
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	25¢	18¢	$-5	loss
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	Yes	31¢	3¢	+$12	win
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-14	loss
John Daghita arrested by March 31?	Yes	18¢	100¢	+$117	win
Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?	Yes	16¢	100¢	+$105	win
Nothing Ever Happens: US Strike Edition	No	43¢	100¢	+$48	win
Will Artemis II launch by March 31?	Yes	34¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Will the DHS shutdown last 48 days or more?	No	1¢	0¢	$-26	loss
Nothing Ever Happens: February	Something	64¢	100¢	+$56	win

Finance 50% $-2 $184 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2?	Down	76¢	100¢	+$48	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2?	Up	6¢	0¢	$-50	loss

Culture 0% $-12 $30 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will A Minecraft Movie be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15?	Yes	28¢	0¢	$-12	loss

Sports 11% $-27 $298 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	16¢	16¢	+$1	win

Mentions 25% $-60 $165 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?	Yes	35¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?	Yes	25¢	0¢	$-80	loss

Politics 0% $-87 $87 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	0¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >5% by Friday?	Yes	38¢	0¢	$-38	loss
Trump x Elon talk before August?	Yes	22¢	0¢	$-29	loss

Economy 0% $-92 $96 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	3¢	1¢	$-21	loss
Nothing Ever Happens: Interest Rates	No	28¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-25	loss