Maultiermann

Other 50% +$151 $2,350 vol · 56 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	83¢	81¢	$-0	loss
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	52¢	52¢	$-1	loss
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	52¢	40¢	$-0	loss
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	75¢	84¢	+$3	win
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	31¢	34¢	+$1	win
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	65¢	72¢	$-9	loss
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	Yes	76¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	57¢	56¢	$-6	loss
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	61¢	70¢	+$5	win
X Money released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	60¢	34¢	$-1	loss

Geopolitics 38% +$50 $539 vol · 13 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	60¢	100¢	+$68	win
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	89¢	95¢	+$4	win
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	45¢	60¢	$-12	loss
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	69¢	18¢	$-19	loss
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	50¢	100¢	$-4	loss
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	70¢	68¢	$-1	loss
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	Yes	68¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	80¢	77¢	$-1	loss
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by April 30?	No	85¢	90¢	+$2	win
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?	No	84¢	74¢	$-3	loss

Politics 57% +$35 $553 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?	Yes	63¢	100¢	+$51	win
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	84¢	83¢	$-0	loss
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	57¢	40¢	$-8	loss
Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?	Yes	72¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	84¢	90¢	+$1	win

Esports 83% +$25 $183 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffs	MANA eSports	61¢	100¢	+$16	win
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffs	G2	78¢	100¢	+$7	win
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs	Natus Vincere	57¢	100¢	+$19	win
Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs Last Bullet (BO3) - MaceMedia VOID Cup Playoffs	Rare Atom	76¢	100¢	+$11	win
Counter-Strike: Monte vs 9INE (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffs	9INE	73¢	0¢	$-43	loss
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A	Natus Vincere	66¢	100¢	+$16	win

Tech 0% +$0 $65 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	71¢	71¢	+$0	—
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $360 on April 6?	No	60¢	100¢	+$0	—

Economy 0% $-19 $63 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	63¢	7¢	$-19	loss

Culture 0% $-22 $50 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	64¢	18¢	$-13	loss
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m?	Yes	58¢	0¢	$-8	loss

Sports 71% $-29 $195 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	14¢	16¢	+$2	win
Warriors vs. Clippers	Clippers	68¢	0¢	$-35	loss
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationals	Los Angeles Dodgers	61¢	100¢	+$20	win
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?	Yes	66¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Nuggets vs. Suns	Nuggets	83¢	100¢	+$6	win

Crypto 33% $-39 $81 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 7?	Yes	62¢	0¢	$-31	loss
Netherlands vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score	Yes	59¢	100¢	+$17	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 19?	Yes	75¢	0¢	$-25	loss

Finance 40% $-114 $240 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	69¢	84¢	+$6	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 8?	Down	49¢	0¢	$-3	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 7?	Down	75¢	0¢	$-112	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 6?	Up	65¢	100¢	+$12	win
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	42¢	38¢	$-17	loss

Elections 57% $-170 $1,421 vol · 14 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?	Yes	67¢	88¢	$-17	loss
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?	Yes	84¢	18¢	$-163	loss
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	70¢	100¢	+$75	win
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	76¢	99¢	+$41	win
Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	65¢	1¢	$-9	loss
Will Fuerza Popular (FP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?	Yes	67¢	99¢	+$9	win
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	52¢	18¢	$-181	loss
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	66¢	81¢	+$6	win
Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	71¢	46¢	$-3	loss
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?	Yes	61¢	100¢	+$30	win