Win rate
53.1%
17 W / 15 L
Total PnL
$7,117
realized $4,168 · unrealized $2,949
Portfolio
$2,949
volume $44,800
Predictions
45
1.3/day · avg $996
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 26/11/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 55% +$6,305
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | Yes | 27¢ | 30¢ | +$4 | win |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | Yes | 54¢ | 57¢ | +$17 | win |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | Yes | 12¢ | 38¢ | +$64 | win |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10? | Yes | 23¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | Yes | 18¢ | 0¢ | $-31 | loss |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | Yes | 44¢ | 100¢ | +$127 | win |
Elections 89% +$1,743
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kim Young-hwan win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election? | Yes | 33¢ | 1¢ | $-108 | loss |
| Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election? | Yes | 56¢ | 94¢ | +$263 | win |
| Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 67¢ | 92¢ | +$234 | win |
| Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | Yes | 53¢ | 89¢ | +$158 | win |
| Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election? | Yes | 52¢ | 96¢ | +$75 | win |
| Will Kim Dong-yeon win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election? | No | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$66 | win |
| Will Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election? | Yes | 67¢ | 88¢ | +$61 | win |
| Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election? | Yes | 39¢ | 80¢ | +$265 | win |
Other 0% $-362
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30? | Yes | 15¢ | 6¢ | $-59 | loss |
| Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 18¢ | 0¢ | $-253 | loss |
| Park Sung-jae in jail by March 31? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
Politics 33% $-479
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026? | Yes | 28¢ | 34¢ | +$34 | win |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Yes | 18¢ | 16¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will Trump visit North Korea by April 30? | Yes | 5¢ | 1¢ | $-235 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026? | Yes | 17¢ | 14¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April? | Yes | 16¢ | 8¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st? | Yes | 27¢ | 38¢ | +$20 | win |
Recent Trades (32)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | 18.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2,809 | $651 | 15/04/2026 |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10? | Yes | 23.4¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 10/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | Yes | 17.7¢ | 0¢ | $-31 | $31 | 10/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Yes | 5.5¢ | 100¢ | +$3,660 | $216 | 07/04/2026 |
| Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 17.6¢ | 0¢ | $-253 | $253 | 31/03/2026 |
| Park Sung-jae in jail by March 31? | Yes | 5.4¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 31/03/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | Yes | 44.0¢ | 100¢ | +$127 | $100 | 01/01/1970 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 6? | Yes | 1.4¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 01/01/1970 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | Yes | 3.2¢ | 0¢ | $-95 | $95 | 01/01/1970 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? | Yes | 13.1¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 01/01/1970 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st? | Yes | 27.3¢ | 38¢ | +$20 | $50 | 21/04/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | Yes | 12.3¢ | 38¢ | +$64 | $30 | 22/04/2026 |
| Will Trump visit North Korea by April 30? | Yes | 5.1¢ | 1¢ | $-235 | $271 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 13, 2026? | Yes | 5.3¢ | 0¢ | $-170 | $170 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 13.0¢ | 0¢ | $-110 | $110 | 30/04/2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | Yes | 54.2¢ | 57¢ | +$17 | $300 | 30/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | Yes | 53.6¢ | 55¢ | +$5 | $210 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026? | Yes | 17.4¢ | 14¢ | $-6 | $35 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April? | Yes | 16.0¢ | 8¢ | $-9 | $20 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Shin Yong-han win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election? | Yes | 32.7¢ | 94¢ | +$731 | $390 | 03/06/2026 |
| Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election? | Yes | 38.8¢ | 80¢ | +$265 | $250 | 03/06/2026 |
| Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election? | Yes | 56.2¢ | 94¢ | +$263 | $402 | 03/06/2026 |
| Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 67.1¢ | 92¢ | +$234 | $632 | 03/06/2026 |
| Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | Yes | 52.7¢ | 89¢ | +$158 | $242 | 03/06/2026 |
| Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election? | Yes | 51.7¢ | 96¢ | +$75 | $201 | 03/06/2026 |
| Will Kim Dong-yeon win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election? | No | 64.0¢ | 100¢ | +$66 | $200 | 03/06/2026 |
| Will Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election? | Yes | 66.5¢ | 88¢ | +$61 | $201 | 03/06/2026 |
| Will Kim Young-hwan win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election? | Yes | 33.0¢ | 1¢ | $-108 | $136 | 03/06/2026 |
| Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30? | Yes | 14.7¢ | 6¢ | $-59 | $100 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026? | Yes | 28.4¢ | 34¢ | +$34 | $190 | 31/12/2026 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Yes | 18.0¢ | 16¢ | $-8 | $100 | 31/12/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | Yes | 27.0¢ | 30¢ | +$4 | $40 | 31/12/2026 |