Win rate
59.2%
1167 W / 804 L
Total PnL
$122,620
realized $66,451 · unrealized $56,169
Portfolio
$56,169
volume $31,077,000
Predictions
1,737
5.3/day · avg $17,891
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 13/05/2023 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 20/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 20/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Sports 67% +$92,043
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 38¢ | 48¢ | +$367 | win |
| Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angels | San Diego Padres | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$2,500 | win |
| New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs | Chicago Cubs | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$2,219 | win |
| Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | Pittsburgh Pirates | 58¢ | 0¢ | $-1,975 | loss |
| Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres | Seattle Mariners | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-2,500 | loss |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets | New York Mets | 61¢ | 0¢ | $-521 | loss |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Sox | Boston Red Sox | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$1,540 | win |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division? | Yes | 31¢ | 100¢ | +$1,380 | win |
| Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs? | No | 24¢ | 100¢ | +$160 | win |
Politics 45% +$67,850
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1¢ | 2¢ | +$42 | win |
| Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-124 | loss |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? | No | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$2,458 | win |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | No | 62¢ | 100¢ | $-250 | loss |
| Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? | Yes | 56¢ | 84¢ | +$568 | win |
| Will Harris English win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-231 | loss |
| Trump out as President by March 31? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$275 | win |
| Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | No | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$650 | win |
| Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense? | No | 19¢ | 100¢ | +$2,878 | win |
Geopolitics 80% +$30,665
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$140 | win |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | Yes | 29¢ | 0¢ | $-90 | loss |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31? | Yes | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$3,324 | win |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17? | Yes | 25¢ | 100¢ | +$1,695 | win |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10? | Yes | 14¢ | 100¢ | +$120 | win |
| US military action against Iran before July? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$150 | win |
| US military action against Iran before July? | No | 60¢ | 0¢ | +$79 | win |
| Maple Leafs vs. Senators | Senators | 52¢ | 0¢ | $-520 | loss |
| Senators vs. Maple Leafs | Senators | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Senators vs. Maple Leafs | Maple Leafs | 61¢ | 0¢ | $-492 | loss |
Other 61% +$23,256
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-631 | loss |
| Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$450 | win |
| Call of Duty: FaZe Vegas vs OpTic Texas - Game 1 Winner | OpTic Texas | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$261 | win |
| Will Paris Gentle Mates win DreamHack Major 2? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Call of Duty: FaZe Vegas vs Cloud9 New York (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 2 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers | FaZe Vegas | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | win |
| Call of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs OpTic Texas (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 2 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers | OpTic Texas | 72¢ | 0¢ | $-1,440 | loss |
| Call of Duty: Miami Heretics vs Carolina Royal Ravens (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 2 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers | Miami Heretics | 62¢ | 0¢ | $-2,509 | loss |
| Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 2 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers | FaZe Vegas | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$2,500 | win |
| Call of Duty: Cloud9 New York vs Carolina Royal Ravens (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 2 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers | Carolina Royal Ravens | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$162 | win |
Economy 59% +$9,295
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Florida Gators | Florida Gators | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$47 | win |
| US recession in 2025? | Yes | 58¢ | 0¢ | $-2,158 | loss |
| Samford Bulldogs vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs (W) | Mississippi State Bulldogs | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Mississippi State vs. Texas A&M | Texas A&M | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$139 | win |
| Arizona State vs. Mississippi State | Mississippi State | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Mississippi State vs. Southern Mississippi | Mississippi State | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$570 | win |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting? | Yes | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | loss |
| Will Mississippi State win the SEC Tournament? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024? | Yes | 8¢ | 0¢ | $-1,195 | loss |
Crypto 75% +$2,966
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-231 | loss |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31? | No | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$407 | win |
| Will Anthony Joshua win by KO/TKO/DQ? | Yes | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$1,350 | win |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$80 | win |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November? | No | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$2,013 | win |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in November? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$74 | win |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in November? | Yes | 28¢ | 0¢ | $-744 | loss |
| Will Solana reach $130 in November? | Yes | 29¢ | 0¢ | $-974 | loss |
| Will $BTC reach 75k before September? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| Bitcoin all time high in August? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
Culture 100% +$976
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Anora" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars? | Yes | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$667 | win |
| Will "Conclave" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Fact check: Was it a rogue actor? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
Esports 100% +$712
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana Pacers vs. Boston Celtics: Game 3 | Celtics | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$712 | win |
Weather 100% +$4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will RFK Jr. say "climate change" during Friday address? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer say "Climate Change" in DNC speech? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Obama say "Climate change" at DNC speech? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Tech 89% $-223
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kylian Mbappé rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will 'Metaphor: ReFantazio' win Game of the Year? | Yes | 8¢ | 0¢ | $-300 | loss |
| Will Kamala say "Artificial Intelligence" at debate? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
Elections 36% $-90,847
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 4¢ | 4¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election? | No | 60¢ | 0¢ | $-14,695 | loss |
| Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election? | Yes | 46¢ | 0¢ | $-15,483 | loss |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$561 | win |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$432 | win |
| Will Jay Jones win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election? | No | 39¢ | 0¢ | $-1,905 | loss |
| Will Andrew Cuomo run as a non-Democrat in the general election? | No | 87¢ | 0¢ | $-1,047 | loss |
| Will another candidate win? | Yes | 14¢ | 0¢ | $-1,353 | loss |
| Will Nicușor Dan win by more than 12%? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Democrats win popular vote by 4-5%? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets | New York Mets | 61.0¢ | 0¢ | $-521 | $521 | 16/04/2026 |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Sox | Boston Red Sox | 56.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1,540 | $1,960 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 1.0¢ | 100¢ | +$23,027 | $231 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $23,235 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $9,966 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 1.0¢ | 0¢ | $-131 | $131 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 1.0¢ | 0¢ | $-175 | $231 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 1.0¢ | 0¢ | $-208 | $231 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Ben Griffin win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 1.0¢ | 0¢ | $-211 | $230 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 1.0¢ | 0¢ | $-221 | $230 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 1.0¢ | 0¢ | $-221 | $230 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Tyrrell Hatton win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 1.0¢ | 0¢ | $-221 | $230 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 1.0¢ | 0¢ | $-221 | $230 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Max Homa win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 1.0¢ | 0¢ | $-221 | $230 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Gary Woodland win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 1.0¢ | 0¢ | $-231 | $231 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Chris Gotterup win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 1.0¢ | 0¢ | $-231 | $231 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Tiger Woods win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 1.0¢ | 0¢ | $-231 | $231 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Nick Taylor win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 1.0¢ | 0¢ | $-231 | $231 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Tom Kim win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 1.0¢ | 0¢ | $-231 | $231 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Matt McCarty win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 1.0¢ | 0¢ | $-231 | $231 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Pongsapak Laopakdee win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 1.0¢ | 0¢ | $-231 | $231 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Byeong Hun An win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 1.0¢ | 0¢ | $-231 | $231 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Alexander Noren win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 1.0¢ | 0¢ | $-231 | $231 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Min Woo Lee win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 1.0¢ | 0¢ | $-231 | $231 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Joaquin Niemann win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 1.0¢ | 0¢ | $-231 | $231 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Nicolai Hojgaard win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 1.0¢ | 0¢ | $-231 | $231 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Will Zalatoris win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 1.0¢ | 0¢ | $-231 | $231 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Sahith Theegala win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 1.0¢ | 0¢ | $-231 | $231 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will J.J. Spaun win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 1.0¢ | 0¢ | $-231 | $231 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Si Woo Kim win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 1.0¢ | 0¢ | $-231 | $231 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 1.0¢ | 0¢ | $-231 | $231 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Andrew Novak win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 1.0¢ | 0¢ | $-231 | $231 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Nicolas Echavarria win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 1.0¢ | 0¢ | $-231 | $231 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Ryan Fox win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 1.0¢ | 0¢ | $-231 | $231 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Brian Harman win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 1.0¢ | 0¢ | $-231 | $231 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Brian Campbell win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 1.0¢ | 0¢ | $-231 | $231 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Harry Hall win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 1.0¢ | 0¢ | $-231 | $231 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Cameron Smith win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 1.0¢ | 0¢ | $-231 | $231 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Justin Thomas win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 1.0¢ | 0¢ | $-231 | $231 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 1.0¢ | 0¢ | $-231 | $231 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Kurt Kitayama win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 1.0¢ | 0¢ | $-231 | $231 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Denny McCarthy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 1.0¢ | 0¢ | $-231 | $231 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Aldrich Potgieter win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 1.0¢ | 0¢ | $-231 | $231 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Akshay Bhatia win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 1.0¢ | 0¢ | $-231 | $231 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Tony Finau win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 1.0¢ | 0¢ | $-231 | $231 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Tom McKibbin win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 1.0¢ | 0¢ | $-231 | $231 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 1.0¢ | 0¢ | $-231 | $231 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Thomas Detry win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 1.0¢ | 0¢ | $-231 | $231 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Johnny Keefer win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 1.0¢ | 0¢ | $-231 | $231 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Zach Johnson win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 1.0¢ | 0¢ | $-231 | $231 | 13/04/2026 |