master-roshi

Elections 84% +$2,586 $178,025 vol · 31 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	6¢	0¢	$-1	loss
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	58¢	61¢	+$5	win
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	No	80¢	80¢	+$2	win
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	58¢	58¢	+$7	win
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	18¢	18¢	+$5	win
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	27¢	24¢	$-33	loss
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	33¢	34¢	$-12	loss

Other 100% +$435 $3,601 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	63¢	58¢	+$1	win
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	83¢	82¢	+$0	—
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	70¢	95¢	+$26	win
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?	Yes	81¢	100¢	+$22	win
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting?	No	72¢	100¢	+$157	win

Sports 80% +$20 $1,029 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?	No	31¢	14¢	$-27	loss
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	56¢	56¢	+$1	win