0x5f59...e61d

Politics 81% +$35 $513 vol · 16 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?	No	84¢	93¢	+$3	win
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	No	47¢	37¢	+$3	win
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?	No	71¢	94¢	$-2	loss
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?	No	80¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?	No	93¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Address to the Nation?	No	98¢	100¢	+$0	win

Other 88% +$32 $213 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
P2P FDV above $10M one day after launch?	Yes	77¢	100¢	+$6	win
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	No	84¢	90¢	+$0	win
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	Yes	34¢	0¢	$-24	loss
Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?	No	87¢	100¢	+$4	win
50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by April 30?	No	75¢	98¢	+$7	win
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	No	73¢	92¢	+$4	win
Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by April 5?	No	77¢	100¢	+$6	win

Geopolitics 60% +$19 $1,167 vol · 40 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	43¢	78¢	+$17	win
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	51¢	62¢	+$5	win
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	62¢	17¢	$-3	loss
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	13¢	30¢	+$3	win
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	82¢	92¢	+$2	win
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	85¢	36¢	$-6	loss
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?	Yes	69¢	100¢	+$9	win
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?	Yes	60¢	100¢	+$8	win
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	No	40¢	22¢	$-12	loss
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	73¢	96¢	+$3	win

Tech 100% +$13 $30 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	31¢	100¢	+$13	win

Elections 67% +$12 $74 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	80¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	No	79¢	100¢	+$9	win

Crypto 0% $-5 $27 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	74¢	60¢	$-5	loss

Esports 50% $-16 $40 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Counter-Strike: Unsettled Resentment vs TYLOO (BO3) - GangKui Cup Playoffs	Unsettled Resentment	62¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffs	G2	85¢	100¢	+$4	win

Sports 14% $-118 $169 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Jrue Holiday: Rebounds O/U 4.5	Yes	46¢	0¢	$-22	loss
NRFI: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	No	44¢	100¢	+$28	win
NRFI: Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Orioles	No	47¢	0¢	$-21	loss
NRFI: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Yes	53¢	0¢	$-22	loss
NRFI: Colorado Rockies vs. Toronto Blue Jays	No	49¢	0¢	$-24	loss
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals	Minnesota Twins	46¢	0¢	$-26	loss
Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5	Under	54¢	0¢	$-31	loss