0x5f39d698C8B1f2efadB1042a3C6085E82ae3d603-1763288270743

Esports 58% +$620 $4,030 vol · 86 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B	FURIA	46¢	100¢	+$30	win
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs HOTU - Map 1 Winner	Natus Vincere	71¢	100¢	+$8	win
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A	3DMAX	48¢	100¢	+$45	win
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A	Spirit	48¢	0¢	$-36	loss
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	G2 Esports	63¢	0¢	$-2	loss
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner	Hanwha Life Esports	94¢	100¢	+$2	win
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage	3DMAX	47¢	100¢	+$53	win
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage	MIBR	50¢	100¢	+$57	win
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group B	Nigma Galaxy	67¢	100¢	+$25	win
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner	FUT Esports	51¢	100¢	+$25	win

Geopolitics 63% +$284 $6,334 vol · 95 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	38¢	72¢	+$24	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	66¢	70¢	$-5	loss
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	50¢	68¢	+$24	win
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	65¢	81¢	+$17	win
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?	No	82¢	90¢	+$6	win
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	No	56¢	84¢	+$11	win
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	86¢	92¢	+$2	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	27¢	30¢	+$12	win
Will there be a US x Iran ceasefire before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	49¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	20¢	100¢	+$80	win

Elections 56% +$128 $1,753 vol · 36 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	84¢	83¢	$-4	loss
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	86¢	88¢	+$1	win
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	94¢	94¢	$-11	loss
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	79¢	90¢	$-9	loss
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	22¢	0¢	$-51	loss
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	35¢	23¢	+$5	win
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	No	95¢	100¢	$-6	loss
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 70 seats?	Yes	47¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?	No	71¢	0¢	$-58	loss
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	70¢	76¢	+$17	win

Politics 74% +$113 $2,443 vol · 53 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	1¢	1¢	$-3	loss
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	Yes	38¢	0¢	$-52	loss
Trump declassifies UFO files before 2027?	No	9¢	0¢	+$12	win
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	83¢	84¢	+$1	win
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	48¢	100¢	+$1	win
Trump declassifies UFO files before 2027?	Yes	89¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	84¢	92¢	$-10	loss
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	10¢	8¢	+$18	win
Will Donald Trump visit Arizona in 2026?	Yes	74¢	99¢	+$7	win
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	74¢	86¢	+$4	win

Tech 72% +$78 $633 vol · 18 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	75¢	0¢	$-21	loss
GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026?	No	93¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026	No	91¢	100¢	+$3	win
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?	No	48¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Will Threads be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?	No	61¢	100¢	+$16	win
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?	Yes	71¢	100¢	+$18	win
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	No	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Kendrick Lamar be the #2 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	Yes	60¢	0¢	$-8	loss

Crypto 65% +$70 $901 vol · 26 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?	No	82¢	100¢	$-4	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 30?	Yes	28¢	0¢	$-15	loss
Miami Open: Ethan Quinn vs Jiri Lehecka	Ethan Quinn	22¢	0¢	$-5	loss
Miami Open: Ethan Quinn vs Jiri Lehecka	Jiri Lehecka	80¢	100¢	$-9	loss
Miami Open: Casper Ruud vs Ethan Quinn	Ethan Quinn	50¢	100¢	+$38	win
Miami Open: Solana Sierra vs Kamilla Rakhimova	Kamilla Rakhimova	85¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 24?	Yes	9¢	0¢	$-24	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 23?	Yes	20¢	100¢	+$134	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 21?	No	23¢	0¢	$-22	loss

Culture 78% +$0 $684 vol · 18 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Asuncion: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Hernando Escurra	Pedro Boscardin Dias	87¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will "Run Away" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)	Yes	74¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	91¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will SZA release a new song in 2025?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?	No	97¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?	Yes	33¢	0¢	$-28	loss
Will "Emily in Paris: Season 5" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)	No	90¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)	No	56¢	0¢	$-13	loss

Finance 67% $-14 $152 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Credit One Charleston Open: Anna Bondar vs Magdalena Frech	Anna Bondar	63¢	100¢	+$3	win
Credit One Charleston Open: Anna Bondar vs Magdalena Frech	Magdalena Frech	25¢	0¢	$-17	loss
Will Medline's market cap be between $55B and $65B at market close on IPO day?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win

Economy 75% $-24 $133 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	74¢	100¢	+$2	win
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	7¢	0¢	$-27	loss
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win

Weather 54% $-293 $1,743 vol · 28 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	95¢	96¢	+$0	win
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
New Mexico Lobos vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane	New Mexico Lobos	47¢	0¢	$-510	loss
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils	St. Johns Red Storm	28¢	0¢	$-12	loss
Wichita State Shockers vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane	Wichita State Shockers	37¢	0¢	$-17	loss
Spread: Tulsa Golden Hurricane (-4.5)	Tulsa Golden Hurricane	61¢	0¢	$-5	loss
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-3.5)	Kansas Jayhawks	50¢	100¢	+$91	win
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 144.5	Under	49¢	100¢	+$84	win
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 147.5	Over	50¢	100¢	+$28	win
Miami Open, Qualification: Storm Hunter vs Rebeka Masarova	Rebeka Masarova	73¢	100¢	+$11	win

Other 52% $-1,059 $42,358 vol · 919 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Kodiak FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	46¢	100¢	+$13	win
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	78¢	100¢	+$10	win
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	95¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	69¢	66¢	$-3	loss
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	17¢	8¢	$-24	loss
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	64¢	62¢	$-1	loss
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$26	win
Epstein client list released by June 30?	No	48¢	88¢	$-3	loss
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	27¢	28¢	$-1	loss
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	No	86¢	89¢	$-10	loss

Sports 46% $-6,384 $84,591 vol · 1127 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	91¢	91¢	$-26	loss
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	17¢	2¢	$-22	loss
Will Denver Nuggets advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	No	24¢	26¢	+$2	win
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Atlantic Division?	Yes	59¢	0¢	$-22	loss
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the Pacific Division?	Yes	58¢	0¢	$-20	loss
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	63¢	100¢	+$14	win
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians	Baltimore Orioles	46¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves	Atlanta Braves	60¢	100¢	+$20	win
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs	Chicago Cubs	54¢	100¢	+$17	win
Will the Philadelphia Flyers make the NHL Playoffs?	Yes	79¢	100¢	+$5	win