Win rate
27.4%
359 W / 950 L
Total PnL
$9,443
realized $2,424 · unrealized $7,019
Portfolio
$7,019
volume $1,048,967
Predictions
2,645
209.6/day · avg $397
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 29/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Crypto 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | -0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will "Something Very Bad Is Going to Happen: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Esports 0% $-28
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will LNG Esports win the LPL 2026 season? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-15 | loss |
Mentions 26% $-150
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will CZ post 60-79 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Will Khamenei post 160-179 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | No | 71¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026? | Yes | -0¢ | 0¢ | +$27 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-28 | loss |
Finance 5% $-261
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Revolut have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Arxis’s market cap be less than $10B at market close on IPO day? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day? | No | 100¢ | 94¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Will SpaceX list on the NYSE? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-40 | loss |
Culture 64% $-341
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will "Lorne" be the April film with the highest domestic gross on May 31? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will "Lee Cronin's The Mummy" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 20m? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 44m and 48m? | No | 91¢ | 97¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will "Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle" be the top global Netflix movie this week? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will "Anaconda" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will "Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | $-35 | loss |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 70m? | Yes | 27¢ | 100¢ | +$55 | win |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Will "Project Hail Mary" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 20m | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Weather 18% $-489
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 78°F or higher on April 15? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 11? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5? | Yes | -1¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on April 5? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-42 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C on April 3? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-15 | loss |
Politics 38% $-814
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | Yes | -0¢ | 0¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will Doug Burgum be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-38 | loss |
| Will ACA premium tax credits be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? | Yes | -1¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? | No | 84¢ | 88¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Chellie Pingree be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Randall Arrington be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Will Harris English win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | -0¢ | 0¢ | +$198 | win |
| Will Harris English win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-196 | loss |
| Will White House post 160-179 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | -1¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
Economy 43% $-825
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | No | 97¢ | 96¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-526 | loss |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2¢ | 4¢ | +$452 | win |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 33¢ | 0¢ | +$315 | win |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-469 | loss |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | No | 85¢ | 93¢ | +$0 | — |
Tech 42% $-1,756
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 89¢ | 90¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | No | 96¢ | 97¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-119 | loss |
| Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-237 | loss |
| Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-200 | loss |
| Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Will Amazon have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will Microsoft have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Geopolitics 40% $-7,067
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-233 | loss |
| Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-250 | loss |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | +$200 | win |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-223 | loss |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country? | Yes | -0¢ | 0¢ | +$32 | win |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-109 | loss |
| Will the winner of the Albania/Poland/Sweden/Ukraine playoff win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 85¢ | 86¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Israel be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Military action against Iran ends before April 2026? | Yes | -0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
| Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-1,944 | loss |
Other 37% $-10,406
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-112 | loss |
| Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-38 | loss |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 88¢ | 88¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will ThunderTalk Gaming win the LPL 2026 season? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-15 | loss |
| Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-233 | loss |
| Will Amanda Lind be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-119 | loss |
| Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
Elections 20% $-12,487
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Séamas McGrattan win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-80 | loss |
| Will Québec solidaire win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Aldo Rebelo finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-314 | loss |
| Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-369 | loss |
| Will Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-640 | loss |
Sports 6% $-13,892
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-38 | loss |
| Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-251 | loss |
| Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-24 | loss |
| Will Robert Thomas win the 2025–2026 NHL Frank J. Selke Trophy? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will Martin St Louis win the 2025–2026 NHL Jack Adams Award? | No | 100¢ | 97¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Will Jeremy Swayman win the 2025–2026 NHL Vezina Trophy? | No | 99¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Mitch Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Jalen Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-20 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | No | 15.9¢ | 0¢ | +$29 | $61 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Andrey Esipenko win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-20 | $40 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Matthias Bluebaum win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-20 | $40 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Anish Giri win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | No | 95.6¢ | 100¢ | $-36 | $364 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Wei Yi win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-60 | $120 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | No | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | $-61 | $335 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Praggnanandhaa R win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-89 | $379 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-90 | $380 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Arxis’s market cap be between $11B and $12B at market close on IPO day? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $30 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on April 15? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $45 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 15? | No | 97.3¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | $44 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 59°F or below on April 15? | No | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | $-7 | $44 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Arxis not IPO before June 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-7 | $30 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on April 15? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | $-7 | $45 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Arxis’s market cap be less than $10B at market close on IPO day? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | $-7 | $30 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on April 15? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-7 | $45 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on April 15? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-7 | $45 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 78°F or higher on April 15? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-7 | $45 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $55 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will "Untold: The Death & Life of Lamar Odom" be the top global Netflix movie this week? | No | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $65 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will "Anaconda" be the top global Netflix movie this week? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $90 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will "The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson" be the top global Netflix movie this week? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $66 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will "IF" be the top global Netflix movie this week? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $66 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will "Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle" be the top global Netflix movie this week? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $66 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will "The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? | No | 6.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $30 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will "Anaconda" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? | No | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $450 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will "Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | No | 95.2¢ | 100¢ | $-35 | $341 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Tom McKibbin win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | -0.0¢ | 0¢ | +$199 | $3,205 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Michael Brennan win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | -0.0¢ | 0¢ | +$199 | $2,173 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Nicolas Echavarria win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | -0.0¢ | 0¢ | +$199 | $1,830 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Nick Taylor win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | -0.0¢ | 0¢ | +$198 | $751 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Alexander Noren win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | -0.0¢ | 0¢ | +$198 | $751 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will J.J. Spaun win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | -0.0¢ | 0¢ | +$198 | $751 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Ryan Fox win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | -0.0¢ | 0¢ | +$198 | $751 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Harry Hall win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | -0.0¢ | 0¢ | +$198 | $751 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Kurt Kitayama win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | -0.0¢ | 0¢ | +$198 | $751 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Johnny Keefer win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | -0.0¢ | 0¢ | +$198 | $751 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Daniel Berger win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | -0.0¢ | 0¢ | +$198 | $751 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Marco Penge win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | -0.0¢ | 0¢ | +$198 | $751 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Michael Kim win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | -0.0¢ | 0¢ | +$198 | $751 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Ben Griffin win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | -0.0¢ | 0¢ | +$198 | $751 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Sam Stevens win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | -0.0¢ | 0¢ | +$198 | $751 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Harris English win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | -0.0¢ | 0¢ | +$198 | $751 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Si Woo Kim win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | -0.0¢ | 0¢ | +$198 | $751 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Jacob Bridgeman win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | -0.0¢ | 0¢ | +$198 | $751 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Gary Woodland win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | -0.0¢ | 0¢ | +$198 | $751 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Chris Gotterup win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | -0.0¢ | 0¢ | +$198 | $751 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Ryan Gerard win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | -0.0¢ | 0¢ | +$198 | $786 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Matt McCarty win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | -0.0¢ | 0¢ | +$198 | $831 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Aldrich Potgieter win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | -0.0¢ | 0¢ | +$198 | $831 | 13/04/2026 |