Win rate
65.5%
148 W / 78 L
Total PnL
$644
realized $-1,975 · unrealized $2,619
Portfolio
$2,619
volume $120,415
Predictions
444
3.1/day · avg $271
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 12/02/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 66% +$945
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Thomas Tuchel be appointed as manager of Manchester United? | No | 97¢ | 95¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Xabi Alonso out as Real Madrid Manager in 2026? | Yes | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$89 | win |
| Will Robert De Zerbi be appointed as manager of Tottenham? | Yes | 26¢ | 100¢ | +$75 | win |
| Will Mauricio Pochettino be appointed as manager of Tottenham? | No | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$46 | win |
| Will Liam Rosenior be the next Chelsea manager? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | win |
| Will Andoni Iraola be the next Chelsea manager? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 85¢ | 86¢ | +$1 | win |
| Starmer out by March 31, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will any Premier League club reach 90 points? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer? | Yes | 55¢ | 66¢ | +$13 | win |
Sports 71% +$255
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 45¢ | 46¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 72¢ | 72¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 65¢ | 0¢ | +$23 | win |
| Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days? | Yes | 34¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Will James Ward-Prowse sign with a new club during the winter transfer window? | No | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | loss |
| Will James Ward-Prowse sign with a new club during the winter transfer window? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will "Goal" be said 5+ times during the World Cup Draw on December 5? | Yes | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$70 | win |
| Will anyone say "Inflation" during 2nd NYC mayoral debate on October 22? | No | 48¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | win |
Mentions 88% +$192
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Khamenei tweet again by March 31? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Khamenei tweet again on March 16, 2026? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Khamenei tweet again on March 15, 2026? | Yes | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | win |
| Will Netanyahu tweet again by Saturday? | Yes | 38¢ | 0¢ | $-45 | loss |
Weather 80% +$68
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026? | No | 33¢ | 0¢ | +$24 | win |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12? | Yes | 52¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | win |
| Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5? | No | 84¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8? | Yes | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1? | Yes | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
Geopolitics 80% +$66
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | No | 34¢ | 0¢ | +$17 | win |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | No | 47¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | Yes | 34¢ | 0¢ | +$5 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Yes | 29¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Keir Starmer say "Russia" or Russian" during the next Prime Minister's Questions? | No | 38¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | win |
Culture 100% +$66
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Angryginge win series 25 of "I'm a Celebrity... Get Me Out of Here!"? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | win |
| Will Jack Osbourne win series 25 of "I'm a Celebrity... Get Me Out of Here!"? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
Elections 50% +$16
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | win |
| Will Curtis Sliwa win Staten Island? | Yes | 48¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
Crypto 25% $-10
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November? | Yes | 43¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November? | No | 42¢ | 0¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will the price of Solana be above $140 on November 16? | Yes | 38¢ | 0¢ | $-14 | loss |
Economy 0% $-24
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting? | Yes | 12¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
Tech 33% $-41
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" in Ohio on Thursday? | Yes | 39¢ | 0¢ | $-43 | loss |
| Will anyone say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during 2nd NYC mayoral debate on October 22? | No | 45¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | loss |
| Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during speech on October 14? | Yes | 45¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | win |
Politics 63% $-1,227
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 39¢ | 0¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st? | Yes | 15¢ | 34¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Trump post "POTUS" this week on Truth Social? | No | 74¢ | 59¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will Trump say "Coward" in March? | Yes | 42¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Trump say "Minnesota" or "Minneapolis" this week? (March 29) | Yes | 72¢ | 100¢ | $-13 | loss |
| Will Trump say "UK" or "United Kingdom" this week? (March 29) | No | 31¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | loss |
| Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25? | Yes | 76¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Trump say "Khamenei" this week? (March 22) | No | 65¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Trump say "Hottest" during events with Japanese PM? | Yes | 55¢ | 0¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will Trump say "MIGA" or "Make Iran Great Again" this week? (March 15) | No | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12? | Yes | 52.0¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $44 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 65.5¢ | 0¢ | +$23 | $225 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5? | No | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | $92 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Mark Rutte say "Putin" during his speech on April 9? | Yes | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $296 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will Melania say "Be Best" during statement on April 9? | No | 73.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $22 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will Mark Rutte say "Drone" during his speech on April 9? | Yes | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $58 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will Mark Rutte say "Freedom" during his speech on April 9? | Yes | 95.8¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $111 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will Khamenei tweet again by March 10? | Yes | 80.8¢ | 100¢ | +$101 | $427 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Khamenei tweet again by March 7? | Yes | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$58 | $140 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Khamenei tweet again by March 14? | Yes | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $188 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,900 by end of March? | Yes | 42.6¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $35 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | Yes | 34.3¢ | 0¢ | +$5 | $45 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Khamenei tweet again by March 31? | Yes | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $98 | 31/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Yes | 29.3¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | $20 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Coward" in March? | Yes | 42.2¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | $27 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will another country boycott Eurovision 2026 by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 39.5¢ | 0¢ | $-10 | $40 | 31/03/2026 |
| Miami Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Taylor Fritz | Taylor Fritz | 65.0¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | $32 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Minnesota" or "Minneapolis" this week? (March 29) | Yes | 72.0¢ | 100¢ | $-13 | $38 | 29/03/2026 |
| Will Trump say "UK" or "United Kingdom" this week? (March 29) | No | 31.0¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | $33 | 29/03/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25? | Yes | 76.1¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $100 | 25/03/2026 |
| Will Khamenei tweet again on March 16, 2026? | Yes | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $943 | 23/03/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (March 22) | No | 63.2¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $45 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Khamenei" this week? (March 22) | No | 64.6¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $46 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Hottest" during events with Japanese PM? | Yes | 55.0¢ | 0¢ | $-8 | $28 | 19/03/2026 |
| Will Starmer say "Mandelson" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event? | No | 78.7¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | $118 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will JD Vance say "Trillion" during Michigan visit? | Yes | 37.6¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | $29 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will Khamenei tweet again on March 13, 2026? | Yes | 76.9¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | $329 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Khamenei tweet again on March 15, 2026? | Yes | 57.9¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | $71 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Trump say "MIGA" or "Make Iran Great Again" this week? (March 15) | No | 62.8¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $45 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Netanyahu tweet again by Saturday? | Yes | 38.0¢ | 0¢ | $-45 | $52 | 14/03/2026 |
| Will Starmer say "Khamenei" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event? | No | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | $86 | 11/03/2026 |
| Will Starmer say "Labour" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event? | Yes | 79.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $92 | 11/03/2026 |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8? | Yes | 61.6¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $52 | 08/03/2026 |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1? | Yes | 62.4¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $40 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February? | Yes | 11.0¢ | 0¢ | $-17 | $27 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Mental institution" in Corpus Christi on Friday? | No | 42.0¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | $21 | 27/02/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Kevin Warsh" during the State of the Union address? | No | 70.7¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $35 | 24/02/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" during the State of the Union address? | No | 82.2¢ | 100¢ | $-30 | $262 | 24/02/2026 |
| Will Starmer say "Mandelson" during the next Prime Minister's Questions? | No | 56.1¢ | 100¢ | $-17 | $62 | 18/02/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (February 15) | Yes | 38.0¢ | 0¢ | $-16 | $31 | 15/02/2026 |
| Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days? | Yes | 34.0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $20 | 15/02/2026 |
| Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-02-13? | No | 55.0¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $28 | 13/02/2026 |
| Will Trump's remarks not air? | No | 96.5¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $506 | 13/02/2026 |
| Will Kobbie Mainoo sign with a new club during the winter transfer window? | No | 88.3¢ | 100¢ | +$74 | $559 | 03/02/2026 |
| Will Federico Chiesa sign with a new club during the winter transfer window? | No | 62.0¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | $60 | 03/02/2026 |
| Will Marc-André ter Stegen sign with a new club during the winter transfer window? | Yes | 95.3¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $625 | 03/02/2026 |
| Will Carlos Baleba sign with a new club during the winter transfer window? | No | 96.7¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $683 | 03/02/2026 |
| Will Marc Guehi sign with a new club during the winter transfer window? | Yes | 34.5¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $31 | 03/02/2026 |
| Will Joshua Zirkzee sign with a new club during the winter transfer window? | No | 87.2¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $39 | 03/02/2026 |
| Will James Ward-Prowse sign with a new club during the winter transfer window? | Yes | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $295 | 03/02/2026 |