Newshound

Geopolitics 55% +$17,814 $225,077 vol · 288 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	76¢	100¢	+$214	win
Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	31¢	70¢	+$155	win
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay	No	70¢	84¢	+$88	win
Will Maduro's rule survive a US military engagement?	No	65¢	100¢	+$35	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	56¢	70¢	+$11	win
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	90¢	0¢	+$7	win
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	Yes	10¢	12¢	+$3	win
Will Ali Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?	No	67¢	73¢	$-17	loss
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	68¢	22¢	$-199	loss

Politics 65% +$10,250 $174,207 vol · 488 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	15¢	100¢	+$29	win
Will Donald Trump visit Iowa in 2026?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$22	win
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	96¢	100¢	+$8	win
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	No	69¢	100¢	+$90	win
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	82¢	92¢	+$19	win
Will Kristi Noem be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	43¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	24¢	0¢	$-46	loss
US congress stock trading ban before 2027?	Yes	24¢	12¢	$-242	loss
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?	Yes	24¢	22¢	$-5	loss
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	16¢	16¢	+$9	win

Finance 65% +$5,259 $21,841 vol · 41 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	Yes	78¢	95¢	$-147	loss
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?	No	74¢	100¢	$-63	loss
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	No	36¢	5¢	$-87	loss
ECB rate hike in 2026?	No	55¢	24¢	$-212	loss
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?	No	61¢	66¢	+$3	win
Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	76¢	86¢	+$65	win
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?	Yes	87¢	92¢	+$20	win
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?	Yes	30¢	100¢	+$70	win
Glencore and Rio Tinto sale/merger announced by June 30?	No	91¢	95¢	+$14	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 6?	Down	66¢	0¢	$-676	loss

Other 65% +$3,765 $183,562 vol · 350 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	78¢	100¢	+$569	win
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	48¢	38¢	$-19	loss
Will Marco Rubio visit China by April 30, 2026?	Yes	67¢	2¢	+$24	win
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	No	45¢	74¢	+$13	win
US strike on Mexico by March 31?	No	92¢	100¢	$-92	loss
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?	No	71¢	62¢	$-237	loss
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by March 31, 2026?	Yes	16¢	0¢	$-53	loss
Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?	Yes	44¢	10¢	$-69	loss
US strike on Mexico by March 31?	Yes	9¢	0¢	+$188	win
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	79¢	82¢	+$3	win

Crypto 47% +$1,203 $11,417 vol · 58 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	41¢	40¢	$-0	loss
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?	Yes	4¢	0¢	$-42	loss
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?	Yes	24¢	100¢	+$433	win
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?	Yes	14¢	0¢	$-29	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 4?	Yes	22¢	100¢	+$350	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in February?	Yes	71¢	100¢	+$58	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on February 19?	Yes	39¢	0¢	$-70	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 18?	No	9¢	0¢	$-50	loss
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 January 26-1?	Yes	19¢	0¢	$-57	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 30?	No	41¢	0¢	$-45	loss

Economy 61% +$652 $37,595 vol · 41 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
BLS delays another CPI release before 2027?	Yes	83¢	100¢	+$981	win
BLS delays another CPI release before 2027?	No	52¢	0¢	$-7	loss
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	No	35¢	0¢	+$978	win
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	70¢	100¢	$-1,373	loss
US recession in 2025?	No	61¢	100¢	+$0	win
No change in Bank of England's interest rates after February 2026 meeting?	Yes	70¢	100¢	+$102	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	50¢	0¢	$-100	loss
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	83¢	100¢	+$17	win
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	No	92¢	100¢	+$11	win
Next BLS jobs report during government shutdown?	No	92¢	100¢	+$35	win

Tech 57% +$516 $7,023 vol · 16 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?	Yes	72¢	36¢	+$13	win
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by June 30, 2026?	Yes	76¢	100¢	+$24	win
GPT ads by March 31?	Yes	58¢	100¢	+$31	win
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?	Yes	57¢	100¢	+$345	win
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?	Yes	20¢	0¢	$-31	loss
Will Sydney Sweeney be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?	Yes	24¢	0¢	$-36	loss
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31?	Yes	32¢	100¢	+$74	win
OpenAI browser by October 31?	No	7¢	0¢	$-274	loss
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during October press conference?	Yes	65¢	100¢	+$100	win
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down - October 15	Up	51¢	100¢	+$4	win

Elections 55% +$177 $6,252 vol · 29 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	22¢	52¢	$-51	loss
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	11¢	39¢	+$53	win
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	Yes	7¢	0¢	+$9	win
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	No	55¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Labour leadership election scheduled by March 31?	No	59¢	100¢	+$69	win
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?	Yes	59¢	100¢	+$41	win
Ukraine election called by March 31, 2026?	No	65¢	100¢	+$25	win
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?	No	46¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?	Yes	53¢	0¢	$-6	loss
Will Mary Lou McDonald win the Irish Presidential Election?	No	95¢	100¢	+$56	win

Mentions 100% +$39 $22 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Khamenei tweet again by March 14?	Yes	36¢	100¢	+$39	win

Sports 27% $-279 $940 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bad Bunny perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?	No	2¢	0¢	$-23	loss
Will NUEVAYOL be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?	Yes	86¢	100¢	+$14	win
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?	Yes	6¢	0¢	$-30	loss
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in December?	Yes	25¢	0¢	$-91	loss
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during December press conference?	No	14¢	0¢	$-43	loss
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during September press conference?	Yes	88¢	100¢	+$45	win
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in August?	Yes	53¢	0¢	$-80	loss
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in June?	Yes	60¢	0¢	$-24	loss
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in June?	Yes	16¢	0¢	$-65	loss
Taylor Swift shown on the Super Bowl LIX broadcast 10 or more times?	Yes	31¢	0¢	$-23	loss