Win rate
59.1%
13 W / 9 L
Total PnL
$-57
realized $-829 · unrealized $772
Portfolio
$772
volume $3,473
Predictions
42
3.7/day · avg $83
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 07/04/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 75% +$21
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | No | 77¢ | 72¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 37¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 37¢ | 44¢ | +$14 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | No | 93¢ | 99¢ | +$7 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Iran leadership change by April 30? | No | 90¢ | 96¢ | +$7 | win |
| BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5 | Over | 79¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | loss |
Politics 100% +$2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President by April 30? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$2 | win |
Other 67% $-2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 61¢ | 42¢ | $-18 | loss |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Jannik Sinner | Jannik Sinner | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Fenerbahçe SK vs. Çaykur Rizespor: O/U 1.5 | Over | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5 | Over | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-04-11? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Crypto 0% $-6
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 39¢ | 38¢ | $-6 | loss |
Mentions 0% $-22
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 72¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
Elections 40% $-27
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 67¢ | 64¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 25¢ | 23¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 36¢ | 19¢ | $-18 | loss |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 32¢ | 18¢ | $-12 | loss |
Recent Trades (22)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Jannik Sinner | Jannik Sinner | 97.1¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $117 | 18/04/2026 |
| Fenerbahçe SK vs. Çaykur Rizespor: O/U 1.5 | Over | 81.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $32 | 17/04/2026 |
| Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5 | Over | 89.3¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $27 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 72.4¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $22 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 98.7¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $138 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 36.3¢ | 19¢ | $-18 | $36 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 32.0¢ | 18¢ | $-12 | $29 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-04-11? | Yes | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $28 | 11/04/2026 |
| BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5 | Over | 79.0¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 11/04/2026 |
| Trump out as President by April 30? | No | 98.4¢ | 99¢ | +$2 | $148 | 30/04/2026 |
| Iran leadership change by April 30? | No | 90.2¢ | 96¢ | +$7 | $108 | 30/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 37.2¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $26 | 30/04/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 36.6¢ | 44¢ | +$14 | $40 | 30/04/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | No | 93.2¢ | 99¢ | +$7 | $196 | 30/04/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Yes | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $60 | 30/04/2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | No | 77.2¢ | 72¢ | $-2 | $31 | 31/05/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 58.1¢ | 62¢ | +$16 | $64 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 52.8¢ | 66¢ | +$3 | $72 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 25.2¢ | 23¢ | +$3 | $25 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 67.1¢ | 64¢ | $-2 | $60 | 30/09/2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 61.3¢ | 42¢ | $-18 | $57 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 39.2¢ | 38¢ | $-6 | $126 | 01/01/2027 |