Win rate
47.9%
138 W / 150 L
Total PnL
$-5,206
realized $-5,789 · unrealized $583
Portfolio
$583
volume $939,063
Predictions
519
6.5/day · avg $1,809
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 20/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Mentions 50% +$358
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Khamenei tweet again on March 10, 2026? | No | 55¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | $-15 | loss |
Finance 50% +$301
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027? | No | 16¢ | 5¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026? | No | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$304 | win |
Tech 50% +$137
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | No | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$169 | win |
| ChatGPT Outage by February 28? | No | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | loss |
Weather 75% $-18
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 56°F or higher on February 24? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 42-43°F on February 23? | No | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 39°F or below on February 23? | Yes | 34¢ | 0¢ | $-45 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 52-53°F on February 22? | Yes | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
Esports 0% $-23
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Phantom (BO3) - Urban Riga Open #3 Playoffs | Phantom | 84¢ | 100¢ | $-23 | loss |
Politics 38% $-277
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April? | No | 52¢ | 38¢ | +$56 | win |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026? | No | 81¢ | 72¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? | Yes | 6¢ | 23¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | Yes | 69¢ | 1¢ | $-62 | loss |
| Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30? | No | 38¢ | 0¢ | $-181 | loss |
| Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026? | Yes | 38¢ | 8¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026? | No | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | No | 85¢ | 100¢ | $-11 | loss |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31? | No | 36¢ | 12¢ | $-89 | loss |
| Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in January? | No | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
Sports 31% $-841
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 17¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Blue Jackets vs. Canadiens | Canadiens | 37¢ | 0¢ | $-43 | loss |
| Jazz vs. Nuggets | Jazz | 39¢ | 0¢ | $-127 | loss |
| Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers | 54¢ | 0¢ | $-400 | loss |
| Pelicans vs. Pistons | Pistons | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$65 | win |
| Warriors vs. Mavericks | Warriors | 33¢ | 100¢ | +$203 | win |
| Warriors vs. Mavericks | Mavericks | 66¢ | 0¢ | $-200 | loss |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5) | Suns | 58¢ | 0¢ | $-217 | loss |
| Spread: Hornets (-4.5) | Heat | 55¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | loss |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Lakers | 46¢ | 100¢ | $-27 | loss |
Other 59% $-1,115
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein not be revealed in 2026? | Yes | 43¢ | 82¢ | +$26 | win |
| AI bubble burst in 2026? | No | 78¢ | 91¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-48 | loss |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | Yes | 43¢ | 80¢ | +$33 | win |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 34¢ | 34¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15? | No | 50¢ | 59¢ | $-10 | loss |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | No | 80¢ | 23¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 19¢ | 49¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-251 | loss |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28? | Yes | 37¢ | 34¢ | $-9 | loss |
Geopolitics 46% $-1,270
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 90¢ | 91¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 38¢ | 16¢ | $-3 | loss |
| US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026? | No | 76¢ | 0¢ | $-887 | loss |
| Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? | No | 93¢ | 97¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Yes | 9¢ | 6¢ | $-34 | loss |
| Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026? | No | 36¢ | 0¢ | $-808 | loss |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by April 30, 2026? | No | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$2 | win |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | Yes | 18¢ | 28¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | No | 12¢ | 0¢ | $-1,365 | loss |
Crypto 41% $-3,248
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | Up | 88¢ | 0¢ | $-41 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March? | No | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 27? | Yes | 82¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET | Up | 28¢ | 0¢ | $-118 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 on March 14? | Yes | 14¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 14? | No | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 11? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET | Down | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET | Up | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET | Down | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | No | 82.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1,147 | $2,981 | 15/04/2026 |
| Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5) | Real Madrid CF | 76.0¢ | 100¢ | +$168 | $531 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 88.9¢ | 100¢ | +$100 | $3,920 | 15/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | No | 36.3¢ | 9¢ | +$19 | $862 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $150 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026? | No | 79.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $200 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | No | 0.2¢ | 0¢ | $-336 | $48 | 15/04/2026 |
| Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) | Club Atlético de Madrid | 69.5¢ | 100¢ | +$88 | $200 | 14/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | Up | 88.0¢ | 0¢ | $-41 | $41 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12? | No | 15.0¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | $100 | 12/04/2026 |
| JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. FC Mito Holly Hock: O/U 1.5 | Over | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$139 | $139 | 11/04/2026 |
| Spread: Nagoya Grampus (-1.5) | Vissel Kōbe | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $100 | 11/04/2026 |
| Blue Jackets vs. Canadiens | Canadiens | 37.0¢ | 0¢ | $-43 | $100 | 11/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | No | 86.2¢ | 100¢ | +$146 | $970 | 10/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | Yes | 20.5¢ | 0¢ | $-0 | $129 | 10/04/2026 |
| FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 66.0¢ | 0¢ | $-102 | $202 | 08/04/2026 |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5 | Over | 64.0¢ | 0¢ | $-204 | $298 | 08/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | No | 44.9¢ | 9¢ | +$589 | $3,824 | 07/04/2026 |
| Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 68.8¢ | 100¢ | +$63 | $139 | 07/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th? | No | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | $300 | 07/04/2026 |
| Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5 | Over | 78.0¢ | 0¢ | $-500 | $500 | 07/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | No | 12.6¢ | 9¢ | +$588 | $1,078 | 07/04/2026 |
| Incheon United FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 3.5 | Over | 59.6¢ | 0¢ | $-76 | $76 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-04? | Yes | 7.0¢ | 100¢ | +$149 | $69 | 04/04/2026 |
| Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $54 | 04/04/2026 |
| Real Betis Balompié vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5 | Over | 66.0¢ | 0¢ | $-231 | $231 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-03-31? | Yes | 73.9¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $100 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March? | No | 82.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $100 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-03-31? | Yes | 35.5¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 01/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? | No | 92.1¢ | 100¢ | +$248 | $3,660 | 31/03/2026 |
| Czechia vs. Denmark: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 51.9¢ | 100¢ | +$46 | $50 | 31/03/2026 |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Italy: O/U 1.5 | Over | 71.1¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | $100 | 31/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Yes | 31.0¢ | 0¢ | +$26 | $208 | 31/03/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th? | No | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $1,040 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | 95.4¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $390 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8? | No | 68.9¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | $119 | 31/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 79.0¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $192 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March? | Yes | 60.0¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | $87 | 31/03/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | No | 85.4¢ | 100¢ | $-11 | $750 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the DHS shutdown end between March 20-23, 2026? | Yes | 6.2¢ | 0¢ | $-19 | $21 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31? | No | 36.5¢ | 12¢ | $-89 | $176 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 17, 2026? | No | 12.4¢ | 0¢ | $-155 | $155 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the DHS shutdown end between March 24-27, 2026? | No | 70.1¢ | 100¢ | $-235 | $556 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the DHS shutdown end between March 24-27, 2026? | Yes | 40.8¢ | 0¢ | $-272 | $298 | 31/03/2026 |
| Jazz vs. Nuggets | Jazz | 39.1¢ | 0¢ | $-127 | $127 | 28/03/2026 |
| Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers | 53.9¢ | 0¢ | $-400 | $400 | 28/03/2026 |
| Algeria vs. Guatemala: O/U 2.5 | Over | 46.0¢ | 100¢ | +$70 | $60 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will Austria win on 2026-03-27? | Yes | 60.0¢ | 100¢ | +$67 | $100 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-03-27? | Yes | 73.0¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | $100 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will Austria vs. Ghana end in a draw? | Yes | 14.0¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $21 | 27/03/2026 |