LeonK4NT

Politics 50% +$199 $1,738 vol · 14 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	37¢	39¢	+$3	win
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	45¢	100¢	+$10	win
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	48¢	45¢	$-11	loss
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	53¢	34¢	$-30	loss
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	74¢	52¢	$-53	loss
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?	Yes	9¢	0¢	$-125	loss
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	Yes	40¢	48¢	+$24	win
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?	No	88¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this week?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-24	loss
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?	No	23¢	100¢	+$508	win

Tech 100% +$160 $2,194 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	68¢	71¢	+$12	win
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	83¢	90¢	+$85	win
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	96¢	99¢	+$1	win
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?	No	67¢	100¢	+$20	win
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	No	67¢	100¢	+$40	win

Finance 67% +$41 $164 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?	No	23¢	22¢	$-1	loss
Will SpaceX file for an IPO by March 27, 2026?	No	77¢	100¢	+$15	win

Weather 100% +$24 $156 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakers	Purdue Boilermakers	78¢	100¢	+$24	win

Culture 100% +$8 $23 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	73¢	100¢	+$8	win

Esports 71% +$1 $946 vol · 17 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs	TheMongolz	26¢	100¢	+$9	win
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs	PARIVISION	55¢	0¢	$-14	loss
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BC.Game Esports - Map 1 Winner	TheMongolz	69¢	100¢	+$12	win
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Wildcard - Map 2 Winner	B8	77¢	100¢	+$7	win
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner	PARIVISION	52¢	0¢	$-46	loss
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 3 Winner	Vitality	70¢	100¢	+$21	win
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A	Team Falcons	77¢	100¢	+$12	win
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B	TheMongolz	68¢	100¢	+$13	win
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner	Vitality	84¢	100¢	+$8	win
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP - Map 2 Winner	PARIVISION	69¢	0¢	$-21	loss

Economy 50% +$0 $462 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US recession by end of 2026?	No	69¢	74¢	+$50	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?	Yes	29¢	0¢	$-50	loss

Sports 50% $-5 $563 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	78¢	78¢	+$7	win
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	11¢	16¢	+$11	win
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	42¢	44¢	+$1	win
Warriors vs. Pistons	Pistons	73¢	100¢	$-16	loss

Crypto 83% $-9 $275 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?	No	39¢	93¢	+$8	win
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	Yes	37¢	100¢	+$13	win
XRP all time high before 2026?	Yes	48¢	100¢	+$35	win
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?	No	85¢	100¢	+$1	win
Citigroup launches a USD stablecoin in 2025?	Yes	38¢	0¢	$-68	loss
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2000 on May 9?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$3	win

Elections 86% $-40 $645 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	12¢	10¢	+$4	win
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	27¢	29¢	+$2	win
Will Kim Dong-yeon win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?	Yes	24¢	0¢	+$44	win
Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?	No	73¢	0¢	$-145	loss
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?	Yes	82¢	90¢	+$5	win
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?	Yes	70¢	100¢	+$27	win
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?	Yes	71¢	100¢	+$24	win

Other 56% $-260 $11,292 vol · 89 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	No	68¢	66¢	+$1	win
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	56¢	34¢	$-108	loss
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	No	28¢	36¢	+$23	win
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	Yes	63¢	19¢	+$6	win
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	58¢	64¢	+$14	win
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	No	77¢	96¢	+$10	win
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?	No	92¢	98¢	+$2	win
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	Yes	11¢	5¢	$-64	loss
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?	Yes	29¢	26¢	$-13	loss
Epstein client list released by June 30?	Yes	17¢	12¢	$-9	loss

Geopolitics 57% $-344 $8,718 vol · 51 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	43¢	100¢	+$12	win
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	26¢	0¢	+$2	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	45¢	30¢	$-9	loss
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	46¢	0¢	$-187	loss
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 30, 2026?	No	25¢	0¢	+$0	win
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	Yes	24¢	100¢	+$45	win
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?	No	97¢	99¢	+$0	win
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	50¢	34¢	$-45	loss
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	76¢	68¢	$-85	loss
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	43¢	6¢	$-204	loss