Win rate
29.7%
27 W / 64 L
Total PnL
$659
realized $-659 · unrealized $1,317
Portfolio
$1,317
volume $247,799
Predictions
106
2.2/day · avg $2,338
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 22/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Sports 10% +$675
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Heat vs. Cavaliers | Cavaliers | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$900 | win |
| Lakers vs. Pistons | Lakers | 55¢ | 0¢ | $-98 | loss |
| Flames vs. Rangers | Rangers | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$81 | win |
| Knicks vs. Lakers | Lakers | 42¢ | 100¢ | +$93 | win |
| Lakers vs. Nuggets | Lakers | 37¢ | 0¢ | $-62 | loss |
| Hurricanes vs. Kraken | Hurricanes | 63¢ | 0¢ | $-174 | loss |
Other 32% +$123
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 131.5 | Under | 49¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17? | Yes | 33¢ | 100¢ | +$245 | win |
| BNP Paribas Open: Jessica Pegula vs Jelena Ostapenko | Jessica Pegula | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | win |
| Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-03-07? | No | 67¢ | 0¢ | $-85 | loss |
| Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5) | FC Bayern München | 42¢ | 100¢ | +$123 | win |
Crypto 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 22? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 27? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 26? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 13? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 11? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 7? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Tech 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Mentions 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Elections 0% $-8
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Park Hong-keun win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
Economy 33% $-14
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-14 | loss |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-235 | loss |
Geopolitics 78% $-15
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 99¢ | 0¢ | $-16 | loss |
| US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Politics 6% $-42
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heat vs. Cavaliers | Cavaliers | 66.0¢ | 100¢ | +$900 | $1,748 | 27/03/2026 |
| Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 131.5 | Under | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $383 | 26/03/2026 |
| Lakers vs. Pistons | Lakers | 55.0¢ | 0¢ | $-98 | $98 | 23/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 22? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $99 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$235 | $243 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | $-14 | $1,308 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-235 | $243 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17? | Yes | 33.0¢ | 100¢ | +$245 | $121 | 17/03/2026 |
| BNP Paribas Open: Jessica Pegula vs Jelena Ostapenko | Jessica Pegula | 79.0¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $114 | 16/03/2026 |
| Flames vs. Rangers | Rangers | 56.0¢ | 100¢ | +$81 | $103 | 10/03/2026 |
| Knicks vs. Lakers | Lakers | 41.9¢ | 100¢ | +$93 | $67 | 08/03/2026 |
| Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-03-07? | No | 67.0¢ | 0¢ | $-85 | $85 | 07/03/2026 |
| Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5) | FC Bayern München | 42.0¢ | 100¢ | +$123 | $89 | 06/03/2026 |
| Lakers vs. Nuggets | Lakers | 37.0¢ | 0¢ | $-62 | $62 | 06/03/2026 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04? | No | 41.0¢ | 0¢ | $-68 | $68 | 04/03/2026 |
| Hurricanes vs. Kraken | Hurricanes | 63.0¢ | 0¢ | $-174 | $174 | 03/03/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 99.2¢ | 0¢ | $-16 | $37 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Como 1907 win on 2026-02-28? | No | 30.0¢ | 0¢ | $-142 | $142 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 27? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $41 | 27/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 26? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $37 | 26/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 13? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $38 | 13/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 11? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 11/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 11? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 11/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 7? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $36 | 07/02/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $42 | 06/02/2026 |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open? | Yes | 73.9¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | $111 | 01/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $42 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $37 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 14, 2026? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $37 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $37 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $36 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | Yes | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $63 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $39 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,365 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,490 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,543 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.5¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | $1,672 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,558 | 30/05/2026 |
| Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $1,438 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,016 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,631 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,712 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,743 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | $1,523 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Park Hong-keun win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,650 | 03/06/2026 |
| Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,723 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $3,087 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $1,620 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.4¢ | 99¢ | $-4 | $4,104 | 01/07/2026 |