Win rate
61.0%
83 W / 53 L
Total PnL
$-61
realized $-1,389 · unrealized $1,329
Portfolio
$1,329
volume $35,483
Predictions
635
21.8/day · avg $56
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 27/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 67% +$226
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | No | 23¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | loss |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | Yes | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 72¢ | 72¢ | +$55 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | Yes | 28¢ | 30¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 89¢ | 91¢ | +$1 | win |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 87¢ | 90¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 60¢ | 81¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 87¢ | 94¢ | +$28 | win |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | No | 89¢ | 96¢ | +$3 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 15¢ | 8¢ | $-7 | loss |
Sports 33% +$6
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 84¢ | 83¢ | $-0 | loss |
| UFC Fight Night: Ricky Simon vs. Adrian Yanez (Bantamweight, Prelims) | Adrian Yanez | 50¢ | 50¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Suns vs. Pacers | Suns | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
Crypto 69% +$4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 38¢ | 38¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 29¢ | 42¢ | +$13 | win |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 57¢ | 50¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April? | Yes | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April? | No | 65¢ | 0¢ | $-19 | loss |
| Will Solana reach $100 in April? | No | 71¢ | 70¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 17? | Yes | 44¢ | 58¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 10? | No | 51¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | loss |
| Will Solana reach $85 on April 8? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March? | Yes | 45¢ | 0¢ | $-58 | loss |
Politics 50% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | No | 80¢ | 99¢ | +$16 | win |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | No | 46¢ | 46¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | Yes | 46¢ | 55¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026? | No | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March? | Yes | 77¢ | 0¢ | $-13 | loss |
Esports 60% $-7
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A | G2 Esports | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A | TYLOO | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A | BNK FEARX | 63¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Group A | Bilibili Gaming | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2 | FUT Esports | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Other 52% $-30
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 73¢ | 64¢ | $-28 | loss |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 74¢ | 76¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | Yes | 48¢ | 48¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 73¢ | 72¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Yes | 87¢ | 60¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | No | 91¢ | 60¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will there be 5 or fewer US strikes on Somalia in March 2026? | No | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-04-04? | No | 56¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $146 end of March? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 17? | Yes | 44.0¢ | 58¢ | +$8 | $24 | 17/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | Yes | 43.4¢ | 88¢ | +$46 | $91 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026? | No | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $24 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | No | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $25 | 15/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | No | 37.0¢ | 12¢ | +$1 | $24 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | 78.0¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | $104 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | 20.0¢ | 100¢ | $-7 | $49 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 10? | No | 51.1¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | $33 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Solana reach $85 on April 8? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $26 | 09/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Yes | 76.0¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | $53 | 07/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 61.1¢ | 0¢ | $-7 | $86 | 07/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | No | 70.0¢ | 12¢ | $-8 | $41 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will there be 5 or fewer US strikes on Somalia in March 2026? | No | 80.9¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $20 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-04-04? | No | 56.5¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in March? | Yes | 81.4¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $132 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March? | No | 81.8¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $155 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March? | Yes | 85.1¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $149 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in March? | Yes | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $34 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in March? | No | 94.4¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $29 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March? | No | 84.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $41 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March? | No | 31.1¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $27 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March? | Yes | 45.0¢ | 0¢ | $-58 | $61 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | Yes | 76.8¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | $159 | 31/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $235 | 31/03/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026? | No | 75.1¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $22 | 31/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Yes | 13.0¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | $27 | 31/03/2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | No | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $50 | 31/03/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | No | 87.2¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $98 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $146 end of March? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | 89.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $49 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March? | Yes | 77.0¢ | 0¢ | $-13 | $42 | 31/03/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? | Yes | 29.4¢ | 0¢ | $-15 | $22 | 31/03/2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Ricky Simon vs. Adrian Yanez (Bantamweight, Prelims) | Adrian Yanez | 50.0¢ | 50¢ | $-0 | $151 | 29/03/2026 |
| Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-8.5) | Alabama Crimson Tide | 44.0¢ | 0¢ | $-12 | $33 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-22? | Yes | 81.1¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $167 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on March 21? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $36 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on March 21? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $28 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-22? | No | 20.2¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | $33 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will Solana reach $90 on March 20? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $51 | 21/03/2026 |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A | G2 Esports | 72.9¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $68 | 20/03/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A | TYLOO | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $169 | 20/03/2026 |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A | BNK FEARX | 63.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 20/03/2026 |
| Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-19? | No | 62.0¢ | 0¢ | $-17 | $20 | 19/03/2026 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18? | Yes | 63.2¢ | 100¢ | +$54 | $99 | 18/03/2026 |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Group A | Bilibili Gaming | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $31 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18? | Yes | 78.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $76 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw? | No | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $29 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18? | No | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $31 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18? | No | 23.4¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | $34 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18? | No | 37.2¢ | 0¢ | $-48 | $83 | 18/03/2026 |