Win rate
49.0%
71 W / 74 L
Total PnL
$-1,840
realized $-4,109 · unrealized $2,269
Portfolio
$2,269
volume $195,887
Predictions
499
7.7/day · avg $393
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 30/04/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Elections 50% +$75
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 87¢ | 84¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%? | Yes | 44¢ | 100¢ | +$79 | win |
Politics 57% +$64
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 58¢ | 61¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 5¢ | 7¢ | +$60 | win |
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 85¢ | 84¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 87¢ | 92¢ | +$42 | win |
| Will Mike Rounds be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Dakota? | Yes | 85¢ | 95¢ | +$7 | win |
| Trump out as President by March 31? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 50% by March 31? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Trump say "Charlie Kirk" during the State of the Union address? | No | 41¢ | 0¢ | $-56 | loss |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? | No | 36¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | loss |
Economy 33% $-19
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | Yes | 3¢ | 2¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-16 | loss |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Auburn Tigers | Auburn Tigers | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
Weather 40% $-224
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils | St. Johns Red Storm | 30¢ | 0¢ | $-160 | loss |
| St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks | St. Johns Red Storm | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | win |
| Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakers | Miami Hurricanes | 26¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Northern Iowa Panthers vs. St. John's Red Storm | St. Johns Red Storm | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | win |
| Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanes | Missouri Tigers | 46¢ | 0¢ | $-56 | loss |
Geopolitics 47% $-472
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | Yes | 69¢ | 100¢ | $-9 | loss |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | No | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-12 | loss |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | No | 78¢ | 78¢ | $-1 | loss |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | No | 63¢ | 63¢ | $-2 | loss |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | No | 61¢ | 62¢ | +$2 | win |
| Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April? | No | 71¢ | 66¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | No | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$3 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-339 | loss |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | No | 57¢ | 20¢ | $-33 | loss |
Sports 47% $-701
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 12¢ | 12¢ | +$1 | win |
| Suns vs. Thunder | Thunder | 89¢ | 88¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5 | Over | 45¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | win |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5 | Over | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| NCAA Tournament: No. 15 seed to pull off an upset? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Golden Knights vs. Oilers | Golden Knights | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | win |
| Will St. John's win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-156 | loss |
| Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| NCAA Tournament: 1 seed knocked out before round of 16? | No | 66¢ | 0¢ | $-126 | loss |
| Hawks vs. Rockets | Rockets | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
Other 50% $-891
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? | No | 90¢ | 92¢ | +$1 | win |
| Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? | No | 71¢ | 78¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | No | 94¢ | 92¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | Yes | 15¢ | 6¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April? | Yes | 63¢ | 22¢ | $-18 | loss |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 36¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | win |
| Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines | Michigan Wolverines | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
| Oklahoma Sooners vs. West Virginia Mountaineers | Oklahoma Sooners | 58¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Oklahoma Sooners vs. Baylor Bears | Oklahoma Sooners | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$67 | win |
| Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini | Illinois Fighting Illini | 34¢ | 0¢ | $-140 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | 84.0¢ | 0¢ | $-237 | $1,743 | 15/04/2026 |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5 | Over | 45.0¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | $22 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 36.0¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | $23 | 13/04/2026 |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5 | Over | 48.6¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 09/04/2026 |
| Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines | Michigan Wolverines | 74.0¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $69 | 07/04/2026 |
| NCAA Tournament: No. 15 seed to pull off an upset? | No | 90.3¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $27 | 07/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 1.6¢ | 0¢ | $-339 | $398 | 07/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | No | 57.1¢ | 20¢ | $-33 | $50 | 07/04/2026 |
| Golden Knights vs. Oilers | Golden Knights | 60.8¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | $50 | 05/04/2026 |
| Oklahoma Sooners vs. West Virginia Mountaineers | Oklahoma Sooners | 58.1¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $141 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 29.6¢ | 100¢ | +$711 | $299 | 04/04/2026 |
| Oklahoma Sooners vs. Baylor Bears | Oklahoma Sooners | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | +$67 | $70 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | No | 94.3¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $28 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Kansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 1.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $42 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Houston win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 11.0¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | $35 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 9.3¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | $36 | 04/04/2026 |
| Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini | Illinois Fighting Illini | 34.2¢ | 0¢ | $-140 | $140 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will St. John's win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 1.3¢ | 0¢ | $-156 | $156 | 04/04/2026 |
| Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Creighton Bluejays | Creighton Bluejays | 63.5¢ | 100¢ | +$46 | $81 | 03/04/2026 |
| Baylor Bears vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers | Minnesota Golden Gophers | 43.1¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 02/04/2026 |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in March? | No | 95.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $30 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 7? | No | 64.4¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $29 | 31/03/2026 |
| Trump out as President by March 31? | No | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $37 | 31/03/2026 |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28, 2026? | No | 97.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $25 | 31/03/2026 |
| Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 50% by March 31? | No | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $29 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | Yes | 94.5¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $30 | 31/03/2026 |
| Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils | Connecticut Huskies | 24.6¢ | 100¢ | +$202 | $66 | 29/03/2026 |
| Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes | Illinois Fighting Illini | 75.9¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | $154 | 28/03/2026 |
| Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies | Michigan State Spartans | 47.0¢ | 0¢ | $-41 | $41 | 28/03/2026 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines | Michigan Wolverines | 82.0¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $50 | 27/03/2026 |
| Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclones | Iowa State Cyclones | 64.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 27/03/2026 |
| St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils | St. Johns Red Storm | 29.9¢ | 0¢ | $-160 | $160 | 27/03/2026 |
| Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakers | Purdue Boilermakers | 75.6¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | $115 | 26/03/2026 |
| Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Auburn Tigers | Auburn Tigers | 79.8¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $55 | 26/03/2026 |
| Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcats | Arizona Wildcats | 78.0¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $40 | 26/03/2026 |
| Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougars | Houston Cougars | 57.9¢ | 0¢ | $-195 | $195 | 26/03/2026 |
| Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes | Nebraska Cornhuskers | 55.9¢ | 0¢ | $-198 | $198 | 26/03/2026 |
| Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. New Mexico Lobos | New Mexico Lobos | 77.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $21 | 25/03/2026 |
| Illinois State Redbirds vs. Dayton Flyers | Dayton Flyers | 75.1¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | $35 | 25/03/2026 |
| NCAA Tournament: 1 seed knocked out before round of 16? | No | 65.8¢ | 0¢ | $-126 | $153 | 23/03/2026 |
| Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclones | Iowa State Cyclones | 66.6¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | $97 | 22/03/2026 |
| Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tide | Alabama Crimson Tide | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $25 | 22/03/2026 |
| St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks | St. Johns Red Storm | 61.2¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $36 | 22/03/2026 |
| Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliers | Virginia Cavaliers | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $20 | 22/03/2026 |
| Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakers | Miami Hurricanes | 25.6¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 22/03/2026 |
| UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskies | UCLA Bruins | 37.7¢ | 0¢ | $-65 | $65 | 22/03/2026 |
| Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gators | Florida Gators | 79.5¢ | 0¢ | $-137 | $137 | 22/03/2026 |
| Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans | Michigan State Spartans | 63.1¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $40 | 21/03/2026 |
| Hawks vs. Rockets | Rockets | 58.5¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $22 | 21/03/2026 |
| TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils | Duke Blue Devils | 82.5¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $62 | 21/03/2026 |