Cungly

Other 85% +$13,320 $505,839 vol · 135 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$121	win
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	4¢	4¢	+$20	win
Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	63¢	84¢	+$5	win
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	No	39¢	73¢	+$4	win
Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	73¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	21¢	20¢	+$0	—
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	96¢	96¢	$-19	loss
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	53¢	51¢	$-231	loss
Will Eric Swalwell drop out before California primary?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$2	win

Geopolitics 71% +$9,097 $455,674 vol · 178 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	78¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	68¢	74¢	+$147	win
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	18¢	0¢	+$56	win
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	11¢	0¢	$-200	loss
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	No	50¢	100¢	+$16	win
Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	99¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will the US strike Iran next?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	11¢	0¢	$-65	loss
Iran leadership change by March 13?	Yes	12¢	0¢	$-17	loss

Finance 65% +$1,841 $6,790 vol · 17 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by April 15?	Yes	77¢	100¢	+$125	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 13?	Up	50¢	100¢	+$10	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 13?	Down	50¢	0¢	$-10	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 7?	Up	2¢	100¢	+$1,558	win
Will Palo Alto Networks (PANW) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	54¢	100¢	+$36	win
Will Palo Alto Networks (PANW) beat quarterly earnings?	No	3¢	0¢	$-36	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 10?	Down	37¢	100¢	+$15	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 30?	Down	99¢	100¢	+$11	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 28?	Up	45¢	0¢	+$151	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 28?	Down	46¢	100¢	+$107	win

Elections 82% +$849 $26,185 vol · 19 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	50¢	81¢	+$0	—
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	50¢	19¢	+$0	—
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	72¢	66¢	$-3	loss
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?	Yes	91¢	100¢	+$36	win
Will Matt Goodwin – Reform win the Gorton and Denton by-election?	No	85¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?	Yes	74¢	0¢	$-0	loss
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 48% and 50%?	No	65¢	100¢	+$51	win
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 48% and 50%?	Yes	39¢	0¢	+$4	win
Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$100	win
Will Trump say "Midterm Election" during Iowa speech?	No	81¢	100¢	+$53	win

Mentions 100% +$126 $451 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?	No	71¢	100¢	+$87	win
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?	Yes	21¢	0¢	+$6	win
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?	Yes	42¢	100¢	+$33	win

Tech 50% +$14 $9,457 vol · 15 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Over $7M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	Yes	7¢	0¢	$-264	loss
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	No	52¢	100¢	$-53	loss
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?	Yes	73¢	100¢	+$38	win
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?	No	24¢	0¢	$-9	loss
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	No	5¢	0¢	$-121	loss
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	Yes	11¢	0¢	$-259	loss
Will Starmer say "Artificial Intelligence" or "AI" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?	No	94¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	No	96¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	55¢	0¢	+$6	win
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	—

Weather 100% +$1 $99 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on January 17?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win

Economy 50% $-105 $1,104 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	4¢	0¢	$-110	loss

Sports 62% $-128 $6,371 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	75¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	33¢	0¢	$-30	loss
Will Leavitt say "Olympics" or "Women's Sports" during the next press briefing?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?	Yes	80¢	100¢	$-21	loss
Will J.D. Vance attend Super Bowl LX?	No	100¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during January press conference?	Yes	79¢	0¢	$-96	loss

Culture 50% $-259 $1,107 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$14	win
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	5¢	0¢	$-132	loss
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	40¢	0¢	$-144	loss
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	No	19¢	100¢	+$2	win

Crypto 71% $-355 $5,461 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$7	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	85¢	0¢	$-287	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	43¢	0¢	$-448	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	69¢	100¢	+$337	win
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 27-February 2?	No	28¢	0¢	+$10	win
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$25	win
Will Moonshot be accused of insider trading?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win

Politics 82% $-1,201 $116,529 vol · 183 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	50¢	39¢	+$0	—
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	50¢	61¢	+$0	—
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	Yes	13¢	0¢	$-89	loss
Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	30¢	0¢	+$65	win
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	82¢	92¢	+$31	win
US strikes Iran or Trump announces Fed nominee first?	Trump Announce Fed	70¢	100¢	+$27	win
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	Yes	30¢	0¢	+$17	win
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	58¢	0¢	$-5	loss
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	Yes	60¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	61¢	100¢	$-16	loss