Win rate
79.5%
62 W / 16 L
Total PnL
$128
realized $-929 · unrealized $1,056
Portfolio
$1,056
volume $47,054
Predictions
1,209
22.0/day · avg $39
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 09/09/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Mentions 64% +$150
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026? | Yes | 68¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Crypto 92% +$106
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum ETF Flows on April 14? | Positive | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Bitcoin ETF Flows on April 7? | Negative | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
| Ethereum ETF Flows on April 7? | Negative | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Bitcoin ETF Flows on April 2? | Positive | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Ethereum ETF Flows on March 25? | Negative | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Bitcoin ETF Flows on March 20? | Negative | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Ethereum ETF Flows on March 19? | Negative | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Ethereum ETF Flows on March 18? | Negative | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET | Down | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET | Up | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Other 82% +$102
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 92¢ | 93¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? | No | 80¢ | 90¢ | +$13 | win |
| Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Jiangsu Dragons | Guangzhou Loong Lions | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Shenzhen Leopards vs. Jiangsu Dragons | Shenzhen Leopards | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Nanjing Monkey King vs. Guangzhou Loong Lions | Guangzhou Loong Lions | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Shanxi Loongs vs. Xinjiang Flying Tigers | Shanxi Loongs | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Ningbo Rockets vs. Zhejiang Lions | Zhejiang Lions | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 81¢ | 99¢ | +$57 | win |
| Zhejiang Golden Bulls vs. Liaoning Flying Leopards | Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Ripple above $2.40 on December 20? | Yes | 43¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | loss |
Geopolitics 70% +$96
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | Yes | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Yes | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | win |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
| Iran leadership change by April 30? | No | 90¢ | 97¢ | $-1 | loss |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026? | Yes | 77¢ | 76¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | Yes | 70¢ | 91¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 10? | Yes | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Weather 100% +$15
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 8? | No | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C or higher on April 8? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C or higher on April 5? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C or higher on April 2? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on March 26? | Yes | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on March 25? | Yes | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 21? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 21? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on March 16? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Politics 50% +$8
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 75¢ | 72¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Trump visit China by June 30? | Yes | 86¢ | 92¢ | +$8 | win |
Sports 100% +$5
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warriors vs. Rockets | Warriors | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ningbo Rockets vs. Zhejiang Lions | Zhejiang Lions | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $107 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 97.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Ethereum ETF Flows on April 14? | Positive | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $49 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $80 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 80.8¢ | 99¢ | +$57 | $250 | 12/04/2026 |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 11? | Yes | 94.7¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $100 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 10/04/2026 |
| Zhejiang Golden Bulls vs. Liaoning Flying Leopards | Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $109 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 8? | No | 69.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $56 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C or higher on April 8? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 08/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin ETF Flows on April 7? | Negative | 81.1¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $105 | 07/04/2026 |
| Ethereum ETF Flows on April 7? | Negative | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $29 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $90 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $300 | 07/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | Yes | 69.6¢ | 91¢ | $-30 | $179 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C or higher on April 5? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 47.3¢ | 0¢ | +$103 | $140 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 57.5¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $137 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 92.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $100 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $113 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 03/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin ETF Flows on April 2? | Positive | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $55 | 02/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C or higher on April 2? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 02/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026? | Yes | 67.8¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $21 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $130 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | No | 96.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by June 30? | Yes | 85.9¢ | 92¢ | +$8 | $100 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $20 | 28/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $60 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $130 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on March 26? | Yes | 92.4¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $40 | 26/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on March 25? | Yes | 63.4¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $34 | 25/03/2026 |
| Ethereum ETF Flows on March 25? | Negative | 96.2¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $28 | 25/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | No | 95.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $41 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026? | No | 97.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $41 | 23/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $55 | 23/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 21? | No | 95.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $30 | 21/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $105 | 21/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 21? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 21/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin ETF Flows on March 20? | Negative | 95.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $23 | 20/03/2026 |
| Ethereum ETF Flows on March 19? | Negative | 97.1¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $68 | 19/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026? | No | 93.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $33 | 18/03/2026 |
| Ethereum ETF Flows on March 18? | Negative | 95.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $24 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on March 16? | Yes | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $50 | 16/03/2026 |