Win rate
36.2%
206 W / 363 L
Total PnL
$-1,433
realized $-2,713 · unrealized $1,279
Portfolio
$1,279
volume $487,918
Predictions
4,447
47.2/day · avg $110
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 12/10/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Esports 64% +$259
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: NIP vs Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B | NIP | 79¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Group A | G2 Esports | 16¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | loss |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winner | G2 Esports | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | FUT Esports | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs | Team Liquid | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | Natus Vincere | 44¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN - Map 1 Winner | TheMongolz | 22¢ | 100¢ | +$156 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2 | Legacy | 38¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner | Legacy | 18¢ | 100¢ | +$120 | win |
| Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2 | Team Liquid | 54¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
Crypto 34% +$53
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 65¢ | 50¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 64¢ | 86¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 3? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on April 3? | No | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in March? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | No | 73¢ | 0¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will XRP dip to $0.80 in March? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in March? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Solana reach $120 in March? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Weather 100% +$5
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Sinja Kraus vs Storm Hunter | Storm Hunter | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
Mentions 38% +$4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026? | Yes | 74¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026? | No | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026? | No | 83¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026? | No | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Finance 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Elections 11% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 6¢ | 5¢ | $-1 | loss |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 82¢ | 88¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 46¢ | 40¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 81¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will António José Seguro win the second round by 30–40%? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election? | Yes | 78¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Economy 17% $-3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | No | 96¢ | 97¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | Yes | 90¢ | 92¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
| No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Culture 8% $-36
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 74¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 75¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Train Dreams win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 24¢ | 0¢ | $-7 | loss |
Politics 26% $-86
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 92¢ | 92¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | No | 90¢ | 88¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Trump act to ban mail-in voting or voting machines by June 30? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | Yes | 40¢ | 58¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | win |
| Trump out as President by April 30? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? | Yes | 37¢ | 44¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Trump visit North Korea by April 30? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
Geopolitics 24% $-140
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 81¢ | 88¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will the US strike Iran next? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 38¢ | 18¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | No | 24¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | loss |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 73¢ | 72¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 78¢ | 82¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Sports 42% $-512
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 97¢ | 95¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 65¢ | 56¢ | $-0 | loss |
| UFC Fight Night: John Castaneda vs. Mark Vologdin (Bantamweight, Prelims) | Mark Vologdin | 47¢ | 46¢ | $-1 | loss |
| UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott (Welterweight, Main Card) | Mike Malott | 72¢ | 72¢ | $-0 | loss |
| UFC 327: Patricio Pitbull vs. Aaron Pico (Featherweight, Prelims) | Aaron Pico | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Will Denmark qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 71¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 21¢ | 0¢ | $-11 | loss |
| Suns vs. Timberwolves | Timberwolves | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Cavaliers vs. Bucks: O/U 226.5 | Over | 51¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Nuggets vs. Grizzlies | Grizzlies | 32¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
Other 42% $-673
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US strike Cuba next? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 16¢ | 48¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 77¢ | 84¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? | No | 74¢ | 76¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? | No | 63¢ | 70¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 72¢ | 72¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Yes | 37¢ | 40¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | No | 88¢ | 60¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026? | No | 96¢ | 97¢ | $-0 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | 89.3¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | $73 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | 12.0¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | $70 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 97.2¢ | 100¢ | $-12 | $139 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | Yes | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $55 | 15/04/2026 |
| UFC 327: Patricio Pitbull vs. Aaron Pico (Featherweight, Prelims) | Aaron Pico | 71.0¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $31 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | Yes | 36.0¢ | 1¢ | $-1 | $29 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 81.0¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $31 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Denmark qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 70.6¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | $74 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 86.3¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | $23 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11? | No | 34.0¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | $23 | 11/04/2026 |
| Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5 | Under | 64.0¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $103 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 11/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | No | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $23 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08? | No | 76.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $42 | 08/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Yes | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $393 | 07/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | Yes | 38.1¢ | 88¢ | $-1 | $206 | 07/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 52.3¢ | 0¢ | $-14 | $66 | 07/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th? | Yes | 3.2¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | $59 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m? | No | 97.5¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $63 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 21.0¢ | 0¢ | $-11 | $226 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 3? | No | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $50 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on April 3? | No | 5.3¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | $24 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | Yes | 55.3¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | $117 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Khamenei" or "Khomeini" during Address to the Nation? | No | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $25 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $27 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March? | No | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $53 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $32 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in March? | No | 98.2¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $29 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March? | Yes | 95.4¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $58 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will XRP dip to $0.60 in March? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $37 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will XRP dip to $1.00 in March? | No | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $35 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in March? | No | 97.6¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $39 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Solana reach $120 in March? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $82 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March? | No | 78.0¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $43 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will XRP dip to $0.80 in March? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $38 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $295 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $120 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $170 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in March? | Yes | 59.3¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | $35 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | No | 72.6¢ | 0¢ | $-6 | $458 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $538 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $357 | 31/03/2026 |
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | No | 94.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $77 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026? | No | 95.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $34 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-03-31? | No | 76.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $42 | 31/03/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $156 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $136 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March? | Yes | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $60 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March? | Yes | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $24 | 31/03/2026 |