Win rate
93.0%
40 W / 3 L
Total PnL
$-71
realized $-670 · unrealized $599
Portfolio
$599
volume $42,880
Predictions
43
0.2/day · avg $997
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 24/11/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 100% +$30
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 92¢ | 91¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 8? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Crypto 90% +$29
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? | No | 99¢ | 98¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 March 2-8? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 February 9-15? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 February 2-8? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Stable launch a token in 2025? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 12? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Tech 100% +$8
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
Economy 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Mentions 95% $-8
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-53 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Other 0% $-133
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | $-133 | loss |
Recent Trades (43)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $590 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $591 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $1,768 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $589 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $583 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $585 | 10/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 March 2-8? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $585 | 09/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February? | No | 98.2¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $572 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $582 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 February 9-15? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $571 | 16/02/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 February 2-8? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $570 | 09/02/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $570 | 30/01/2026 |
| Will Stable launch a token in 2025? | Yes | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $1,392 | 01/01/2026 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | Yes | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | $-133 | $538 | 01/01/2026 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 18? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $738 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 20? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $745 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $567 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 11? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $732 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 6? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $698 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 8? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $701 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $752 | 26/12/2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | $-53 | $753 | 26/12/2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $749 | 23/12/2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $748 | 23/12/2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $744 | 19/12/2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $736 | 16/12/2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $734 | 16/12/2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025? | No | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $710 | 12/12/2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $707 | 12/12/2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 12? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $560 | 12/12/2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $173 | 12/12/2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $1,410 | 09/12/2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $608 | 09/12/2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 9? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $702 | 05/12/2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $686 | 05/12/2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $684 | 02/12/2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $682 | 02/12/2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $670 | 01/12/2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | Yes | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $676 | 30/11/2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $735 | 30/11/2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $673 | 28/11/2025 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? | No | 98.6¢ | 98¢ | $-1 | $600 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 91.6¢ | 91¢ | +$5 | $2,388 | 31/12/2026 |