inventa

Crypto 44% +$440 $1,208 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	37¢	0¢	$-100	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	28¢	0¢	$-200	loss
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Ethan Quinn vs Otto Virtanen	Ethan Quinn	74¢	100¢	+$18	win
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Ethan Quinn vs Otto Virtanen	Otto Virtanen	33¢	0¢	$-19	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	11¢	100¢	+$804	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	48¢	100¢	+$108	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	8¢	0¢	$-100	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	7¢	0¢	$-314	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	45¢	100¢	+$242	win

Weather 100% +$150 $132 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-04-04?	Yes	44¢	100¢	+$150	win

Economy 67% +$6 $291 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US recession by end of 2026?	No	69¢	74¢	+$13	win
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	10¢	8¢	$-7	loss
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	Yes	67¢	68¢	+$0	win

Finance 100% +$2 $50 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Anna Bondar vs Sorana Cirstea	Sorana Cirstea	71¢	74¢	+$2	win

Sports 37% $-18 $6,467 vol · 35 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	9¢	9¢	$-10	loss
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	85¢	84¢	$-7	loss
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	62¢	44¢	$-125	loss
Will the San Jose Sharks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	0¢	0¢	$-32	loss
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauff	Karolina Muchova	65¢	100¢	+$28	win
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Iga Swiatek vs Mirra Andreeva	Mirra Andreeva	52¢	100¢	+$3	win
Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5	Over	51¢	52¢	+$2	win
Cincinnati Reds vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5	Under	54¢	52¢	$-1	loss
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5	Over	49¢	48¢	$-4	loss
Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5	Under	58¢	57¢	$-1	loss

Esports 60% $-58 $479 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A	G2	73¢	100¢	+$42	win
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs paiN Academy - Map 2 Winner	MIBR Academy	50¢	50¢	+$0	—
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A	Gentle Mates	34¢	0¢	$-35	loss
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports (BO5) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs	FUT Esports	56¢	100¢	+$23	win
Valorant: TEC Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Alpha	Bilibili Gaming	81¢	0¢	$-100	loss
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BC.Game Esports - Map 2 Winner	BC.Game Esports	15¢	0¢	+$13	win

Other 51% $-98 $6,197 vol · 80 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	34¢	36¢	+$39	win
Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	99¢	99¢	+$0	win
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	81¢	82¢	+$0	—
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	20¢	16¢	$-30	loss
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	No	86¢	78¢	$-16	loss
Kash Patel out by April 30?	No	86¢	96¢	+$2	win
Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?	No	96¢	96¢	$-0	loss
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	No	60¢	96¢	+$19	win
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	75¢	54¢	+$14	win
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	66¢	45¢	+$3	win

Elections 33% $-181 $3,824 vol · 13 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	18¢	19¢	$-0	loss
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	40¢	40¢	$-1	loss
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	66¢	66¢	$-0	loss
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	98¢	75¢	$-1	loss
Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	6¢	1¢	$-158	loss
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	79¢	100¢	+$106	win
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$67	win
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	No	81¢	100¢	+$31	win
Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?	No	68¢	0¢	+$0	—
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?	Yes	43¢	0¢	$-26	loss

Politics 31% $-421 $2,210 vol · 13 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	42¢	42¢	$-8	loss
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	85¢	84¢	$-3	loss
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	No	8¢	8¢	+$37	win
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	72¢	86¢	+$19	win
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?	No	96¢	98¢	$-2	loss
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	99¢	99¢	$-0	loss
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	80¢	54¢	$-18	loss
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?	No	70¢	100¢	+$22	win
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?	Yes	9¢	0¢	$-345	loss
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?	Yes	66¢	100¢	+$23	win

Geopolitics 51% $-474 $9,633 vol · 42 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	71¢	76¢	+$92	win
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	43¢	30¢	+$6	win
Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	89¢	91¢	$-4	loss
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	68¢	69¢	+$7	win
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	No	62¢	100¢	+$17	win
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	95¢	96¢	$-2	loss
Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	81¢	86¢	+$5	win
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	75¢	24¢	$-89	loss
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	70¢	72¢	+$6	win
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	84¢	76¢	$-3	loss