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0x5b5625E54b35321Ee9Ea21060c1A5Bcc08039100-1774573964391
0x5b5625e54b35321ee9ea21060c1a5bcc08039100 · polymarket profile ↗
Win rate
38.0%
309 W / 505 L
Total PnL
$1,208
realized $61 · unrealized $1,147
Portfolio
$1,147
volume $489,177
Predictions
3,994
200.2/day · avg $122
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 26/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 37% +$1,669
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 67¢ | 84¢ | +$63 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | Yes | 26¢ | 30¢ | +$6 | win |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Yes | 25¢ | 26¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | No | 88¢ | 88¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | 90¢ | 91¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 38¢ | 31¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | Yes | 17¢ | 16¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 51¢ | 16¢ | $-3 | loss |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | No | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-124 | loss |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? | Yes | 93¢ | 98¢ | $-6 | loss |
Other 39% +$398
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? | No | 79¢ | 75¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 80¢ | 52¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 60¢ | 63¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027? | Yes | 89¢ | 91¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 62¢ | 56¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 44¢ | 34¢ | $-34 | loss |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? | No | 54¢ | 81¢ | +$0 | win |
| Starmer out by April 30, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 89¢ | $-0 | loss |
Esports 59% +$214
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 | Nongshim Esports Academy | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | win |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy - Game 2 Winner | Hanwha Life Esports Challengers | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Vitality | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-106 | loss |
| Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner | Nemiga Gaming | 37¢ | 100¢ | +$189 | win |
| Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs REKONIX - Game 2 Winner | Team Nemesis | 44¢ | 100¢ | +$83 | win |
| LoL: Myth Esports vs Dynasty - Game 2 Winner | Myth Esports | 44¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner | Virtus.pro | 58¢ | 0¢ | $-174 | loss |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner | MOUZ | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner | Team Liquid | 32¢ | 0¢ | $-76 | loss |
| Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs MOUZ (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs | MOUZ | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-235 | loss |
Politics 52% +$133
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 39¢ | 39¢ | +$0 | win |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? | Yes | 25¢ | 26¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | Yes | 93¢ | 92¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? | No | 22¢ | 12¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will Trump be impeached by June 30? | No | 96¢ | 97¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | No | 63¢ | 60¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Trump talk to Mark Rutte in April? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? | No | 77¢ | 51¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Trump announces tariff for Iran military cooperation by April 17? | No | 86¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
Finance 50% +$99
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by April 15? | Yes | 44¢ | 100¢ | +$102 | win |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 17? | Up | 94¢ | 93¢ | $-3 | loss |
Culture 20% +$7
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Campinas: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Murkel Dellien | Pedro Boscardin Dias | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will "Thrash" be the top global Netflix movie this week? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 70m? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Economy 0% $-3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 95¢ | 96¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | No | 88¢ | 93¢ | $-0 | loss |
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 82¢ | 93¢ | $-2 | loss |
Mentions 0% $-3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 97¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Ted Cruz post 40-59 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Tech 0% $-4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on April 17? | Up | 73¢ | 61¢ | $-4 | loss |
Weather 0% $-7
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C or higher on April 14? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on April 13? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 74°F or higher on April 13? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C or higher on April 13? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on April 13? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 61°F or below on April 13? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on April 13? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on April 13? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 13? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 13? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Elections 4% $-151
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 87¢ | 94¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 62¢ | 62¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 41¢ | 40¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 86¢ | 74¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 30¢ | 0¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will TISZA win 50-54% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election? | No | 62¢ | 6¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Sports 36% $-450
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins | Miami Marlins | 54¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | win |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins | Detroit Tigers | 55¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants | San Francisco Giants | 45¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | win |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers | Texas Rangers | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | win |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Sox | Baltimore Orioles | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | win |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins | Cincinnati Reds | 43¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Rays | Tampa Bay Rays | 44¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Houston Astros vs. Colorado Rockies | Houston Astros | 47¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angels | Los Angeles Angels | 47¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationals | Washington Nationals | 48¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
Crypto 47% $-1,135
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 15? | No | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
| XRP Up or Down - April 13, 9PM ET | Down | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Solana Up or Down - April 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET | Down | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 8PM ET | Up | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Solana Up or Down - April 13, 8PM ET | Up | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8PM ET | Up | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 9PM ET | Down | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 9PM ET | Down | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7PM ET | Up | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 7PM ET | Down | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Jelena Ostapenko vs Gabriela Ruse | Gabriela Ruse | 40.0¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| Madrid: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Elvina Kalieva | Marina Bassols Ribera | 40.0¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner | BNK FEARX | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $83 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $33 | 17/04/2026 |
| Trump announces tariff for Iran military cooperation by April 17? | No | 86.0¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $42 | 17/04/2026 |
| Wuning: Kody Pearson vs Li Tu | Kody Pearson | 16.0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Alexander Zverev | Joao Fonseca | 39.0¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $44 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: ZYB Esport vs TLN Pirates (BO1) - LFL Regular Season | TLN Pirates | 22.0¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | $23 | 17/04/2026 |
| Campinas: Guido Justo vs Gustavo Heide | Guido Justo | 25.9¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 17/04/2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 17? | Up | 93.8¢ | 93¢ | $-3 | $322 | 17/04/2026 |
| Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on April 17? | Up | 73.5¢ | 61¢ | $-4 | $23 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: Joblife vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Season | Joblife | 52.0¢ | 100¢ | +$92 | $100 | 16/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Casper Ruud | Felix Auger-Aliassime | 40.0¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | $25 | 16/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Bublik | Alexander Bublik | 46.0¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | $25 | 16/04/2026 |
| Madrid: Joel Schwaerzler vs Roman Safiullin | Joel Schwaerzler | 46.0¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | $25 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 | Nongshim Esports Academy | 56.5¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | $36 | 16/04/2026 |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins | Miami Marlins | 54.0¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $25 | 16/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Joao Fonseca | Joao Fonseca | 62.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $25 | 16/04/2026 |
| Wuning: Clement Chidekh vs Buvaysar Gadamauri | Clement Chidekh | 68.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $25 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy - Game 2 Winner | Hanwha Life Esports Challengers | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $39 | 16/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Zizou Bergs vs Alexander Zverev | Alexander Zverev | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $25 | 16/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Tomas Machac vs Jannik Sinner | Jannik Sinner | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $25 | 16/04/2026 |
| Wuning: Sergey Fomin vs Harry Wendelken | Sergey Fomin | 29.0¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | $23 | 16/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Tomas Etcheverry | Tomas Etcheverry | 11.2¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 16/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Alexander Blockx vs Alex de Minaur | Alexander Blockx | 29.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 16/04/2026 |
| Mexico City: Luka Pavlovic vs Aidan Mayo | Aidan Mayo | 33.2¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 16/04/2026 |
| Monza: Arthur Fery vs Valentin Royer | Arthur Fery | 37.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 16/04/2026 |
| Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Tamara Korpatsch vs Anastasia Potapova | Tamara Korpatsch | 38.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 16/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Hubert Hurkacz | Hubert Hurkacz | 43.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 16/04/2026 |
| Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Lilli Tagger vs Liudmila Samsonova | Liudmila Samsonova | 47.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 16/04/2026 |
| Sarasota: Duje Ajdukovic vs Darwin Blanch | Duje Ajdukovic | 47.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 16/04/2026 |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins | Detroit Tigers | 55.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 16/04/2026 |
| Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Karolina Pliskova vs Ekaterina Alexandrova | Ekaterina Alexandrova | 70.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 16/04/2026 |
| Mexico City: Nicolas Mejia vs Tibo Colson | Nicolas Mejia | 72.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: Esprit Shōnen vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Season | Esprit Shōnen | 43.1¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | $36 | 16/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Vitality | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-106 | $106 | 16/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$256 | $1,921 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner | Team Liquid | 45.1¢ | 100¢ | +$213 | $175 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 1 Winner | Vivo Keyd Stars | 62.8¢ | 100¢ | +$82 | $138 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: Vitality.Bee vs TLN Pirates (BO1) - LFL Regular Season | TLN Pirates | 67.0¢ | 100¢ | +$66 | $134 | 15/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | Yes | 77.1¢ | 90¢ | +$51 | $924 | 15/04/2026 |
| Madrid: Yue Yuan vs Marina Bassols Ribera | Marina Bassols Ribera | 33.0¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | $25 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 80.7¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | $346 | 15/04/2026 |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants | San Francisco Giants | 45.0¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $25 | 15/04/2026 |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers | Texas Rangers | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $25 | 15/04/2026 |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Sox | Baltimore Orioles | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $25 | 15/04/2026 |
| Madrid: Nerman Fatic vs Franco Agamenone | Nerman Fatic | 60.0¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $25 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 15? | No | 79.0¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $63 | 15/04/2026 |
| Sarasota: Stefan Dostanic vs Alex Rybakov | Stefan Dostanic | 62.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $25 | 15/04/2026 |