Win rate
68.2%
144 W / 67 L
Total PnL
$-4,076
realized $-4,867 · unrealized $791
Portfolio
$791
volume $366,902
Predictions
377
5.8/day · avg $973
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 17/11/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Politics 71% +$434
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump's remarks not air? | Yes | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | win |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during dinner with Dutch royals? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week? (April 12) | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will Trump say "Ball" 10+ times during trophy presentation? | No | 54¢ | 0¢ | +$14 | win |
| Trump renames Gulf of Mexico to "Gulf of America" in 2025? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Powell say "Trump" during October press conference? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days? | Yes | 35¢ | 0¢ | +$31 | win |
| Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in his first 100 days? | Yes | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Will Coinbase list $TRUMP in January? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-19 | loss |
Mentions 58% +$88
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 24¢ | 100¢ | $-96 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | $-18 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in March 2026? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$67 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026? | No | 82¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Elon tweet 350-374 times Jan 17-24? | Yes | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-14 | loss |
Sports 100% +$26
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Powell say "inflation" 60 or more times during January press conference? | No | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | win |
Tech 0% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Weather 50% $-35
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on April 18? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on April 16? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on April 15? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 17-18°F on January 22? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
Other 70% $-76
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1? | Yes | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$177 | win |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1? | No | 95¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? | Yes | 30¢ | 0¢ | $-65 | loss |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? | No | 80¢ | 78¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will "House Tour" get 15 million or more views in the first week? | No | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$243 | win |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will MrBeast's video get between 79 and 80 million views on week 1? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | win |
| Will MrBeast's latest video get 76 million or more views on day 6? | Yes | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$70 | win |
Elections 0% $-160
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election? | No | 81¢ | 100¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Will the AfD win less than 20% of the vote in the German election? | No | 75¢ | 100¢ | $-137 | loss |
Economy 33% $-464
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting? | No | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-451 | loss |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | +$12 | win |
Crypto 70% $-3,866
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET | Down | 25¢ | 0¢ | $-75 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | Up | 51¢ | 0¢ | $-76 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET | Up | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-150 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET | Down | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-212 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET | Up | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET | Down | 50¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET | Up | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET | Up | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET | Down | 48¢ | 0¢ | $-43 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET | Up | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$316 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on April 18? | Yes | 5.3¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | $28 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on April 16? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $75 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET | Down | 25.0¢ | 0¢ | $-75 | $75 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | Up | 51.0¢ | 0¢ | $-76 | $76 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET | Up | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-150 | $150 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET | Down | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-212 | $212 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on April 15? | No | 97.6¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $614 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will "House Tour" get 15 million or more views in the first week? | No | 77.3¢ | 100¢ | +$243 | $830 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Trump's remarks not air? | Yes | 82.0¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | $164 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during dinner with Dutch royals? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $163 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week? (April 12) | No | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $100 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | No | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $88 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's video get between 79 and 80 million views on week 1? | No | 95.3¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | $702 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's latest video get 76 million or more views on day 6? | Yes | 91.1¢ | 100¢ | +$70 | $732 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's latest video get between 72 and 73 million views on day 6? | No | 96.1¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $416 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's latest video get less than 72 million views on day 6? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $988 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's latest video get 76 million or more views on day 6? | No | 84.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,196 | $1,429 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's latest video get between 71 and 72 million views on day 5? | No | 62.0¢ | 100¢ | +$175 | $512 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's latest video get between 69 and 70 million views on day 5? | No | 95.8¢ | 100¢ | +$74 | $1,069 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's latest video get between 68 and 69 million views on day 5? | No | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $1,360 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's latest video get between 70 and 71 million views on day 5? | Yes | 12.0¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $24 | 09/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET | Up | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $20 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's latest video get between 71 and 72 million views on day 5? | Yes | 46.1¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | $28 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's latest video get between 70 and 71 million views on day 5? | No | 59.1¢ | 0¢ | $-167 | $368 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's latest video get between 65 and 66 million views on day 4? | No | 91.9¢ | 100¢ | +$91 | $1,048 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's latest video get between 63 and 64 million views on day 4? | No | 94.7¢ | 100¢ | +$61 | $1,644 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's latest video get between 67 and 68 million views on day 4? | No | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | $1,805 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's latest video get 68 million or more views on day 4? | No | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $386 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's latest video get between 64 and 65 million views on day 4? | No | 87.1¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $382 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's latest video get less than 63 million views on day 4? | No | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $33 | 08/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET | Down | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $50 | 08/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET | Up | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's latest video get between 66 and 67 million views on day 4? | No | 67.7¢ | 0¢ | $-87 | $125 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 56 and 58 million views on day 3? | No | 80.9¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | $246 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 44 and 47 million views on day 2? | No | 91.3¢ | 100¢ | +$142 | $1,505 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 47 and 50 million views on day 2? | No | 53.2¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $120 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 47 and 50 million views on day 2? | Yes | 4.0¢ | 0¢ | $-353 | $93 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 14.1¢ | 0¢ | +$61 | $141 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 49.9¢ | 0¢ | +$50 | $708 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 82.3¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $529 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 86.5¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $378 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | $1,683 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | $-18 | $383 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 23.8¢ | 100¢ | $-96 | $239 | 03/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET | Up | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 02/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET | Down | 47.9¢ | 0¢ | $-43 | $43 | 02/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET | Up | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$316 | $316 | 01/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET | Up | 47.0¢ | 100¢ | +$209 | $186 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in March 2026? | No | 92.6¢ | 100¢ | +$67 | $899 | 01/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | Up | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $192 | 01/04/2026 |