Win rate
21.2%
100 W / 372 L
Total PnL
$-4,248
realized $-5,640 · unrealized $1,392
Portfolio
$1,392
volume $691,739
Predictions
736
14.0/day · avg $940
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 24/10/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Elections 100% +$26
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | win |
Tech 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Yes | 42¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | win |
Other 0% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Finance 0% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 13? | Down | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Geopolitics 33% $-7
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Yes | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | 74¢ | 0¢ | $-14 | loss |
Politics 67% $-12
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 16¢ | 16¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Trump sue the BBC? | Yes | 64¢ | 100¢ | $-29 | loss |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
Sports 47% $-178
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76ers vs. Nets | 76ers | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Wizards vs. Pacers | Wizards | 18¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Bucks vs. Knicks | Bucks | 38¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | loss |
| Cavaliers vs. Hawks | Cavaliers | 67¢ | 0¢ | $-92 | loss |
| Clippers vs. Lakers | Clippers | 22¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | loss |
| Hawks vs. Wizards | Hawks | 37¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | loss |
| Timberwolves vs. Kings | Kings | 40¢ | 100¢ | +$48 | win |
| Cavaliers vs. Raptors | Raptors | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$48 | win |
| Pistons vs. Pacers | Pistons | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Bulls vs. Pelicans | Bulls | 68¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
Crypto 83% $-183
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in November? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 6? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on November 6? | Yes | 91¢ | 0¢ | $-206 | loss |
Mentions 17% $-6,974
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 28¢ | 0¢ | $-303 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-266 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-943 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $300 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $250 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $22 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 23.7¢ | 0¢ | $-259 | $260 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 28.1¢ | 0¢ | $-303 | $309 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 0.2¢ | 0¢ | $-19 | $22 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 0.8¢ | 0¢ | +$16 | $34 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 4.0¢ | 1¢ | $-7 | $101 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 9.4¢ | 13¢ | +$98 | $164 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 3.1¢ | 88¢ | +$948 | $35 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 10.7¢ | 0¢ | +$49 | $188 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | Yes | 5.6¢ | 0¢ | +$6 | $44 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $150 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $250 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | Yes | 5.6¢ | 100¢ | $-11 | $44 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | 74.3¢ | 0¢ | $-14 | $178 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | Yes | 5.6¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | $44 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | Yes | 5.6¢ | 0¢ | $-44 | $44 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | Yes | 5.6¢ | 0¢ | $-44 | $44 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | Yes | 5.6¢ | 0¢ | $-44 | $44 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | Yes | 5.6¢ | 0¢ | $-44 | $44 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-174 | $400 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | Yes | 5.6¢ | 0¢ | $-266 | $44 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $1,000 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | $34 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | $34 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | $34 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | $34 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | $34 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | $34 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | $34 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | $34 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | $34 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | $34 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | $34 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | $34 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | $34 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | $34 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | $34 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | $34 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | $34 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | $34 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | $34 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | $34 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-943 | $1,000 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $97 | 13/04/2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 13? | Down | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $74 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $500 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | Yes | 1.8¢ | 0¢ | $-10 | $27 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | Yes | 1.8¢ | 0¢ | $-19 | $27 | 10/04/2026 |