Win rate
28.9%
26 W / 64 L
Total PnL
$821
realized $-682 · unrealized $1,503
Portfolio
$1,503
volume $172,008
Predictions
108
2.3/day · avg $1,593
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 23/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Sports 18% +$945
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Panthers vs. Rangers | Rangers | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$660 | win |
| 76ers vs. Cavaliers | Cavaliers | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | win |
| Panthers vs. Red Wings | Panthers | 43¢ | 100¢ | +$96 | win |
| Red Wings vs. Predators | Red Wings | 52¢ | 100¢ | +$138 | win |
| Thunder vs. Nuggets | Thunder | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$59 | win |
Crypto 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 12? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on February 12? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 9? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on February 6? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in January? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Mentions 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Economy 50% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$153 | win |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-153 | loss |
Tech 0% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Culture 0% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Elections 12% $-6
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | — |
Politics 5% $-26
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Other 36% $-38
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opinion FDV above $4B one day after launch? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tide | Texas Tech Red Raiders | 51¢ | 0¢ | $-94 | loss |
| Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-10.5) | Wisconsin Badgers | 48¢ | 0¢ | $-104 | loss |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14? | Yes | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | win |
| Will Lille OSC win on 2026-03-08? | No | 37¢ | 100¢ | +$106 | win |
| Southeast Missouri State Redhawks vs. Morehead State Eagles | Morehead State Eagles | 40¢ | 100¢ | +$91 | win |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04? | Yes | 69¢ | 0¢ | $-109 | loss |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-28? | Yes | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | win |
Geopolitics 60% $-40
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 22¢ | 18¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 76¢ | 92¢ | +$-0 | — |
| Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 99¢ | 96¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | 91¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 99¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | Yes | 14¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $675 | 31/03/2026 |
| Panthers vs. Rangers | Rangers | 59.0¢ | 100¢ | +$660 | $950 | 29/03/2026 |
| Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tide | Texas Tech Red Raiders | 51.0¢ | 0¢ | $-94 | $94 | 22/03/2026 |
| Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-10.5) | Wisconsin Badgers | 48.0¢ | 0¢ | $-104 | $104 | 19/03/2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$153 | $155 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-153 | $155 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,022 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14? | Yes | 70.9¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | $96 | 14/03/2026 |
| 76ers vs. Cavaliers | Cavaliers | 82.0¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $119 | 09/03/2026 |
| Will Lille OSC win on 2026-03-08? | No | 36.9¢ | 100¢ | +$106 | $62 | 08/03/2026 |
| Panthers vs. Red Wings | Panthers | 43.0¢ | 100¢ | +$96 | $72 | 07/03/2026 |
| Southeast Missouri State Redhawks vs. Morehead State Eagles | Morehead State Eagles | 40.0¢ | 100¢ | +$91 | $61 | 07/03/2026 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04? | Yes | 69.0¢ | 0¢ | $-109 | $109 | 04/03/2026 |
| Red Wings vs. Predators | Red Wings | 52.0¢ | 100¢ | +$138 | $149 | 02/03/2026 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-28? | Yes | 69.0¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | $88 | 28/02/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 99.3¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 12? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 12/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on February 12? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 12/02/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $35 | 10/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 9? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $36 | 09/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on February 6? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $34 | 06/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 05/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $24 | 04/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $36 | 03/02/2026 |
| Thunder vs. Nuggets | Thunder | 64.0¢ | 100¢ | +$59 | $104 | 02/02/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in January? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $31 | 01/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026? | No | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $32 | 31/01/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | Yes | 14.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $154 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | 91.0¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $910 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $2,507 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $2,730 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $734 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $627 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $734 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $760 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $933 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | $790 | 03/06/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 76.0¢ | 92¢ | +$-0 | $836 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 99.2¢ | 96¢ | $-0 | $212 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $717 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $728 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $843 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $865 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,626 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $2,961 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $708 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.3¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $818 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $830 | 20/07/2026 |