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Economy 100% +$154 $1,020 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	88¢	100¢	+$24	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	No	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?	Yes	83¢	100¢	+$46	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?	Yes	82¢	100¢	+$50	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?	No	86¢	100¢	+$20	win
Negative GDP growth in Q2 2025?	No	96¢	100¢	+$7	win
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?	Yes	86¢	100¢	+$7	win

Tech 100% +$63 $949 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	No	93¢	100¢	+$19	win
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	77¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $240 end of November?	No	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $220 end of November?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$2	win
MetaMask airdrop in Q3 2025?	No	97¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will anyone say "iPhone" 50+ times during Apple launch event on September 9?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
OpenAI browser by August 31?	No	75¢	100¢	+$26	win
Will Tesla name a new CEO before July?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Sports 100% +$29 $557 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.2% in November?	No	93¢	100¢	+$12	win
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in October?	No	97¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% or less in August?	No	94¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% or less in July?	No	94¢	100¢	+$5	win

Culture 100% +$8 $194 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$8	win

Elections 50% +$7 $384 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	100¢	99¢	$-0	loss
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	No	75¢	100¢	+$7	win

Crypto 50% $-1 $97 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 28-November 3?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Solana reach $290 in August?	No	96¢	100¢	$-1	loss

Other 60% $-138 $2,745 vol · 20 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?	No	96¢	97¢	$-1	loss
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	81¢	76¢	$-7	loss
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	94¢	94¢	$-0	loss
Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	94¢	94¢	+$0	win
Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?	No	95¢	100¢	$-11	loss
Will LaGuardia Airport (LGA) be open to departures by 2:00 PM ET on March 23, 2026?	No	60¢	0¢	$-26	loss
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	10¢	0¢	$-42	loss
Will three people dissent the March Fed decision?	No	93¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?	No	98¢	100¢	+$6	win

Politics 82% $-210 $1,593 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	39¢	39¢	+$2	win
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	40¢	55¢	$-20	loss
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?	No	91¢	100¢	+$2	win
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?	No	55¢	0¢	$-272	loss
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?	No	74¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Mamdani visit the White House by December 31?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Trump apologize for his 'punishable by DEATH' post by November 30?	No	97¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will Trump say "Turning Point" at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?	Yes	89¢	100¢	+$23	win
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in August?	No	97¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before July?	No	88¢	100¢	+$34	win

Geopolitics 62% $-500 $6,512 vol · 52 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	64¢	78¢	$-2	loss
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	Yes	88¢	96¢	+$2	win
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$3	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	12¢	10¢	$-6	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	93¢	94¢	+$3	win
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$5	win
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	28¢	0¢	$-72	loss
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	40¢	0¢	$-19	loss
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	23¢	3¢	$-9	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	83¢	99¢	+$4	win