0x5AA1ad6163AD7357FA6e22efac5188B3dF88d9B7-1773062321047

Sports 50% +$685 $10,397 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	7¢	7¢	+$20	win

Politics 67% +$158 $2,746 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	24¢	27¢	+$207	win
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	37¢	39¢	+$35	win

Economy 100% +$8 $500 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Houthis successfully target shipping by April 15?	Yes	43¢	0¢	+$8	win

Crypto 0% $-50 $50 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	59¢	0¢	$-50	loss

Mentions 0% $-104 $490 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?	Yes	21¢	20¢	$-4	loss
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?	Yes	17¢	0¢	$-90	loss

Elections 30% $-998 $5,857 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	11¢	12¢	+$40	win
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	47¢	43¢	$-63	loss
Will the Republican Party hold between 195 and 199 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	13¢	12¢	$-6	loss
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	36¢	34¢	$-10	loss
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	59¢	57¢	$-21	loss
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?	Yes	40¢	0¢	$-486	loss
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?	Yes	39¢	0¢	$-500	loss

Other 37% $-1,069 $27,172 vol · 19 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	19¢	18¢	+$8	win
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	55¢	56¢	+$304	win
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	26¢	24¢	$-88	loss
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	26¢	24¢	$-9	loss
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	3¢	2¢	$-123	loss
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	25¢	100¢	+$375	win
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	19¢	46¢	+$28	win
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?	Yes	11¢	0¢	$-50	loss
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	38¢	0¢	$-298	loss

Geopolitics 45% $-2,003 $8,244 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	66¢	100¢	+$280	win
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?	Yes	38¢	19¢	$-518	loss
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	5¢	6¢	+$321	win
Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	37¢	4¢	$-838	loss
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	31¢	3¢	$-361	loss
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?	Yes	36¢	9¢	$-75	loss
Will Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 30, 2026?	Yes	28¢	9¢	$-41	loss
Will Iran strike Oman again in March?	Yes	12¢	0¢	+$32	win