echo021301

Geopolitics 78% +$145 $4,073 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?	No	89¢	100¢	+$12	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	41¢	30¢	+$1	win
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	51¢	0¢	+$109	win
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	51¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?	No	25¢	0¢	+$73	win
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	No	65¢	0¢	+$82	win
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	No	46¢	100¢	+$6	win

Elections 67% +$133 $605 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	48¢	11¢	$-8	loss
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	68¢	89¢	+$139	win
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?	Yes	32¢	100¢	+$2	win

Finance 50% +$33 $3,725 vol · 16 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	83¢	91¢	+$161	win
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	No	31¢	23¢	$-8	loss
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	22¢	25¢	+$12	win
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at >$8,000 in December?	No	94¢	94¢	$-0	loss
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	Yes	66¢	95¢	$-1	loss
Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	45¢	48¢	+$2	win
Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?	No	76¢	84¢	$-20	loss
No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	51¢	66¢	+$24	win
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	No	71¢	80¢	+$3	win
Will Discord’s market cap be between $20B and $25B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	12¢	1¢	$-18	loss

Sports 60% +$24 $590 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?	No	78¢	90¢	+$27	win
Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?	Yes	27¢	21¢	$-13	loss
Will the Florida Panthers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	4¢	0¢	$-7	loss
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	Yes	64¢	99¢	+$16	win
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	80¢	77¢	+$1	win

Esports 0% $-25 $211 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?	Yes	51¢	43¢	$-25	loss

Weather 92% $-46 $2,895 vol · 38 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C or below on April 17?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on April 17?	No	98¢	98¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on April 17?	No	97¢	100¢	+$19	win
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on April 17?	No	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on April 16?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on April 16?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on April 15?	No	94¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 15?	No	96¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C or higher on April 15?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 90°F or higher on April 14?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win

Tech 27% $-126 $1,607 vol · 15 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Yes	43¢	38¢	$-4	loss
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?	Yes	21¢	26¢	$-4	loss
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	No	48¢	62¢	+$5	win
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?	No	76¢	57¢	$-7	loss
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	43¢	42¢	$-12	loss
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?	No	6¢	0¢	$-4	loss
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 end of February?	Yes	24¢	0¢	$-5	loss
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $420 end of February?	Yes	35¢	0¢	$-53	loss
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $260 end of January?	No	45¢	100¢	+$11	win
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $440 end of January?	No	47¢	100¢	+$8	win

Culture 17% $-146 $655 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	45¢	100¢	$-30	loss
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	34¢	100¢	+$27	win
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	30¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	66¢	100¢	$-65	loss

Politics 14% $-344 $3,795 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	54¢	61¢	$-1	loss
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$2	win
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	24¢	16¢	$-7	loss
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in January 2026?	Yes	50¢	100¢	$-98	loss
Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in January 2026?	No	58¢	100¢	$-226	loss
Will Trump visit China by March 31?	Yes	63¢	0¢	$-10	loss

Crypto 42% $-579 $3,665 vol · 33 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Perena launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	10¢	0¢	$-8	loss
Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	24¢	16¢	+$2	win
Will Paradex launch a token by March 31 2026?	Yes	50¢	100¢	+$37	win
Will Loopscale launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	62¢	89¢	$-5	loss
Will Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	54¢	84¢	+$7	win
Will ETHGAS launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	75¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Will Fomo launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	80¢	82¢	+$0	win
Will ETHGAS launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	13¢	0¢	$-109	loss
Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?	Yes	87¢	0¢	$-749	loss
Will Perena launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	43¢	81¢	+$180	win

Other 50% $-1,256 $6,208 vol · 33 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?	Yes	19¢	4¢	$-11	loss
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?	No	39¢	68¢	+$0	—
Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	28¢	100¢	+$162	win
Trove FDV above $60M one day after launch?	Yes	15¢	0¢	$-13	loss
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	72¢	0¢	+$25	win
Over $4M committed to the Fabric public sale?	Yes	77¢	0¢	$-386	loss
Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	75¢	91¢	$-43	loss
Will Anyone's Legend win the LPL 2026 season?	Yes	22¢	16¢	+$8	win
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?	No	51¢	86¢	+$12	win
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?	Yes	25¢	24¢	$-17	loss