Win rate
29.0%
20 W / 49 L
Total PnL
$-1
realized $-524 · unrealized $523
Portfolio
$523
volume $86,291
Predictions
108
25.5/day · avg $799
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 12/04/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Other 44% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Bologna win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Norway win Eurovision 2026? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Netanyahu out by April 30? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
Esports 0% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Top Esports | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Vitality | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Mentions 0% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Politics 38% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 97¢ | 97¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
| Trump out as President by April 30? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Economy 0% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
Elections 0% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Crypto 25% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April? | No | 99¢ | 98¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 17? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 17? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 16? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 14? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Sports 17% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Zeynep Sonmez vs Jasmine Paolini | Zeynep Sonmez | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies | Philadelphia Phillies | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Geopolitics 45% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? | Yes | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
| Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 97¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 21, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | No | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 17? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $61 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 17? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $60 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $80 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $60 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 17? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Top Esports | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 16? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $51 | 16/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $150 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $701 | 15/04/2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $930 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $401 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 14? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $76 | 14/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Vitality | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 14/04/2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026? | No | 99.2¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $683 | 18/04/2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026? | No | 98.0¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $59 | 18/04/2026 |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies | Philadelphia Phillies | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $75 | 20/04/2026 |
| Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 21/04/2026 |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Zeynep Sonmez vs Jasmine Paolini | Zeynep Sonmez | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $26 | 21/04/2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $225 | 29/04/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 29/04/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $974 | 29/04/2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 99.3¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $1,788 | 29/04/2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | No | 99.1¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $2,117 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30? | No | 99.2¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $1,409 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | 99.0¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $2,616 | 30/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 21, 2026? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $39 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | No | 99.1¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $2,097 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April? | No | 97.9¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $408 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April? | No | 97.9¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $343 | 30/04/2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $164 | 30/04/2026 |
| Trump out as President by April 30? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $1,697 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $95 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 30/04/2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | No | 97.1¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | $60 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $24 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April? | No | 99.3¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $469 | 30/04/2026 |
| Netanyahu out by April 30? | No | 99.2¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $354 | 30/04/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | No | 98.8¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $1,048 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $2,445 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30? | No | 98.8¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $1,263 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | 98.9¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $2,042 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April? | No | 97.6¢ | 98¢ | +$-0 | $66 | 01/05/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April? | No | 99.4¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $161 | 01/05/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April? | No | 97.7¢ | 93¢ | +$0 | $49 | 01/05/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April? | No | 99.6¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $21 | 01/05/2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $26 | 01/05/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $77 | 01/05/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 01/05/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April? | No | 98.9¢ | 98¢ | $-0 | $384 | 01/05/2026 |