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Crypto 52% +$14,715 $536,423 vol · 403 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	No	40¢	74¢	+$252	win
Will Trove launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	2¢	0¢	$-11	loss
Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	25¢	0¢	$-223	loss
Will Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first?	Silver	70¢	100¢	+$148	win
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	Gold	77¢	100¢	+$36	win
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?	Yes	23¢	22¢	$-2	loss
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 80 by April 30?	Yes	11¢	2¢	$-3	loss
Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 100 by April 30?	Yes	24¢	2¢	$-127	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 17?	Yes	57¢	72¢	+$155	win
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on April 15?	Yes	46¢	100¢	+$239	win

Other 58% +$8,415 $123,092 vol · 139 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Sentio FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	38¢	100¢	+$2,260	win
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	49¢	100¢	+$470	win
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	24¢	0¢	+$1,013	win
Sentient FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	85¢	100¢	+$144	win
Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	79¢	100¢	+$500	win
Aztec FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	58¢	100¢	+$737	win
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	40¢	100¢	+$20	win
Over $15M committed to the Trove public sale?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-2,681	loss
Sentient FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	28¢	0¢	$-965	loss
Moonbirds FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	5¢	0¢	$-63	loss

Tech 76% +$5,151 $42,070 vol · 17 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	5¢	0¢	+$4	win
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	Yes	43¢	0¢	$-637	loss
Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	No	39¢	0¢	$-704	loss
Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?	Yes	25¢	0¢	$-104	loss
Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?	Yes	57¢	100¢	+$1,160	win
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?	No	76¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	Yes	45¢	0¢	$-83	loss
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$17	win
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$15	win
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	85¢	100¢	+$21	win

Politics 60% +$3,380 $50,127 vol · 43 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$3,398	win
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	Yes	32¢	0¢	+$0	—
Will Bill Clinton Testify to Congress about Epstein?	Yes	78¢	100¢	+$23	win
Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in April?	No	4¢	0¢	$-52	loss
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?	Yes	26¢	6¢	$-70	loss
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?	No	69¢	100¢	+$33	win
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?	Yes	15¢	0¢	+$56	win
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?	No	54¢	100¢	+$219	win
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?	Yes	61¢	100¢	+$175	win
Will Trump say "Biden" during Monday news conference?	No	69¢	0¢	$-67	loss

Sports 61% +$637 $4,460 vol · 36 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Hyperliquid listed on Coinbase before 2027?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$22	win
Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?	No	57¢	100¢	+$86	win
Will Allstate run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?	No	44¢	100¢	+$289	win
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5	Under	55¢	100¢	+$44	win
Warriors vs. Lakers	Lakers	55¢	100¢	+$45	win
Spread: Magic (-10.5)	Magic	46¢	100¢	+$59	win
76ers vs. Lakers	Lakers	60¢	100¢	+$33	win
Bulls vs. Raptors	Bulls	27¢	0¢	$-30	loss
Predators vs. Capitals	Predators	26¢	0¢	$-34	loss
Kings vs. Golden Knights	Kings	46¢	0¢	$-50	loss

Culture 67% +$30 $1,005 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	60¢	0¢	+$39	win
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	34¢	100¢	+$18	win
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	74¢	0¢	$-27	loss

Elections 57% $-566 $12,345 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	68¢	66¢	+$20	win
Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	28¢	1¢	$-603	loss
Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?	No	34¢	4¢	$-914	loss
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 70 seats?	Yes	26¢	0¢	$-115	loss
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$216	win

Economy 0% $-589 $1,504 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	14¢	0¢	$-562	loss
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	48¢	100¢	$-27	loss

Esports 44% $-667 $3,056 vol · 27 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner	Natus Vincere	52¢	100¢	+$48	win
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs	Aurora Gaming	53¢	100¢	+$141	win
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Astralis	48¢	0¢	$-105	loss
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Natus Vincere	57¢	100¢	+$45	win
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs	PARIVISION	38¢	100¢	+$105	win
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs	Natus Vincere	37¢	0¢	$-147	loss
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage	PARIVISION	36¢	0¢	$-36	loss
Counter-Strike: G2 vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffs	G2	39¢	0¢	$-75	loss
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffs	Spirit	34¢	0¢	$-120	loss
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffs	Aurora Gaming	35¢	0¢	$-75	loss

Finance 57% $-2,974 $15,549 vol · 23 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
SpaceX and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	Yes	62¢	100¢	+$275	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 8?	Up	49¢	100¢	+$215	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 6?	Up	53¢	100¢	+$94	win
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?	No	61¢	100¢	+$276	win
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,700 on the final trading day of February 2026?	No	15¢	0¢	$-276	loss
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?	Yes	22¢	0¢	$-721	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 23?	Down	50¢	100¢	$-10	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 20?	Down	5¢	0¢	$-4,128	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 19?	Down	40¢	100¢	+$668	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 17?	Up	77¢	100¢	+$279	win

Geopolitics 52% $-6,002 $75,768 vol · 89 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	10¢	100¢	$-112	loss
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	79¢	0¢	$-5,001	loss
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	7¢	4¢	+$2	win
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	46¢	18¢	$-321	loss
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	55¢	66¢	+$60	win
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	No	25¢	18¢	$-171	loss
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	Yes	16¢	53¢	+$584	win
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	14¢	0¢	+$292	win
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?	Yes	21¢	1¢	+$262	win
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	Yes	45¢	100¢	+$226	win