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Geopolitics 75% +$98 $3,718 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	100¢	100¢	$-4	loss
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-07?	Yes	53¢	100¢	+$101	win
US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Crypto 100% +$1 $195 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 22?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 27?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 13?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 11?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Culture 0% $-3 $3,153 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	100¢	100¢	$-2	loss

Elections 0% $-17 $16,149 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	99¢	99¢	$-2	loss
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	100¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Will Juan Manuel Galán win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	100¢	100¢	$-2	loss

Politics 0% $-28 $28,287 vol · 14 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	99¢	99¢	$-4	loss
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	99¢	99¢	$-2	loss
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	No	100¢	100¢	$-2	loss

Other 30% $-177 $6,658 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	100¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	100¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers	Vanderbilt Commodores	58¢	0¢	$-85	loss
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?	No	39¢	0¢	$-60	loss
Will SS Lazio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?	Yes	30¢	0¢	$-121	loss
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-03-01?	Yes	40¢	100¢	+$94	win
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Sports 9% $-403 $68,214 vol · 34 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	100¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	99¢	99¢	$-5	loss
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	99¢	99¢	$-6	loss
Knicks vs. Hornets	Hornets	52¢	100¢	+$1,223	win
T20 World Cup: India vs New Zealand	India	71¢	100¢	+$34	win
Will F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	100¢	100¢	$-3	loss
Cavaliers vs. Magic	Cavaliers	59¢	0¢	$-91	loss
Panthers vs. Red Wings	Panthers	41¢	100¢	+$9	win
Pistons vs. Spurs	Pistons	41¢	0¢	$-81	loss
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	56¢	0¢	$-172	loss