Win rate
52.2%
12 W / 11 L
Total PnL
$-6
realized $-830 · unrealized $824
Portfolio
$824
volume $188,895
Predictions
42
1.6/day · avg $4,497
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 13/03/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Other 86% +$13
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | Yes | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 93¢ | 88¢ | +$1 | win |
| GTA VI released before June 2026? | No | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | — |
| Netanyahu out by April 30? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Geopolitics 100% +$2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 9¢ | 9¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
Elections 0% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 6¢ | 8¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
Economy 0% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | No | 3¢ | 1¢ | $-0 | loss |
Politics 38% $-10
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 96¢ | 95¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 8¢ | 9¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 3¢ | 3¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Denmark win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | Yes | 4¢ | 1¢ | $-10 | loss |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
Sports 33% $-14
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 90¢ | 91¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 4¢ | 4¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year? | No | 6¢ | 1¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | No | 96¢ | 98¢ | $-8 | loss |
Recent Trades (47)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 97.1¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $3,667 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 97.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $4,034 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2.5¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $57 | 29/04/2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | No | 3.2¢ | 1¢ | $-0 | $40 | 29/04/2026 |
| Netanyahu out by April 30? | No | 98.1¢ | 99¢ | +$3 | $2,128 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30? | No | 98.4¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $822 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | No | 98.7¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $1,807 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Denmark win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | Yes | 4.3¢ | 1¢ | $-10 | $88 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 92.7¢ | 88¢ | +$1 | $2,680 | 31/05/2026 |
| GTA VI released before June 2026? | No | 96.5¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | $7,717 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open? | No | 98.4¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $906 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | No | 96.0¢ | 98¢ | $-8 | $4,043 | 13/06/2026 |
| Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year? | No | 5.7¢ | 1¢ | +$4 | $208 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | No | 96.4¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | $905 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 98.7¢ | 99¢ | $-4 | $1,731 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 14.7¢ | 15¢ | +$1 | $144 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 3.9¢ | 4¢ | +$0 | $80 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 84.8¢ | 85¢ | +$0 | $907 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 98.7¢ | 99¢ | $-4 | $907 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 93.1¢ | 93¢ | +$0 | $907 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 97.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $815 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 84.1¢ | 83¢ | +$0 | $1,727 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 97.2¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | $821 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 90.3¢ | 91¢ | $-3 | $828 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | Yes | 94.2¢ | 95¢ | +$2 | $823 | 31/10/2026 |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | 98.3¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | $1,726 | 31/10/2026 |
| Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | 98.7¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | $817 | 31/10/2026 |
| Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? | No | 94.5¢ | 99¢ | +$6 | $822 | 19/12/2026 |
| Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup? | No | 98.0¢ | 98¢ | $-1 | $820 | 19/12/2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 8.6¢ | 9¢ | +$2 | $161 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 75.6¢ | 73¢ | +$2 | $851 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 92.5¢ | 93¢ | +$2 | $823 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 95.9¢ | 96¢ | +$1 | $823 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 98.9¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $1,726 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 97.8¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | $822 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 6.0¢ | 8¢ | +$0 | $489 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 91.9¢ | 91¢ | +$0 | $903 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.2¢ | 2¢ | +$0 | $137 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 98.9¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $897 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 98.4¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | $903 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 83.2¢ | 83¢ | +$0 | $821 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.6¢ | 3¢ | +$0 | $51 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 93.4¢ | 92¢ | +$0 | $7,672 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 98.1¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $823 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 63.1¢ | 61¢ | $-0 | $823 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 95.9¢ | 95¢ | $-1 | $824 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 8.5¢ | 9¢ | $-3 | $83 | 07/11/2028 |